Northern Indiana vs Toledo Villa Prediction

USL League TwoUSA USA · Group Stage
Northern Indiana
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Toledo Villa
11/06/2026
Northern IndianaNorthern Indiana
3-1
Finished
Toledo VillaToledo Villa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.54
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Northern Indiana Rest
4 days
Toledo Villa Rest
3 days

Northern Indiana vs Toledo Villa: the result in context

Northern Indiana beat Toledo Villa 3-1 in the USL League Two on 11 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Northern Indiana had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Toledo Villa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.36
X
20%4.67
2
14%6.70
Double Chance
1X
86%1.07
X2
34%2.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.76
No
50%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 1.05 = 3.27
Over 1.5
82%1.15
Over 2.5
66%1.54
Over 3.5
45%2.36
Under 1.5
18%4.50
Under 2.5
34%2.26
Under 3.5
55%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Northern IndianaNorthern Indiana
Toledo VillaToledo Villa
1495Elo Rating 1340
1.67Attack 1.58
1.80Defense 0.15
73%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Northern IndianaNorthern Indiana
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toledo VillaToledo Villa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Northern IndianaNorthern Indiana
4W1D5L
07/06/2026
Northern IndianaDayton Dutch Lions
30
W
04/06/2026
Northern IndianaLouisville City II
20
W
30/05/2026
Kings Hammer ColumbusNorthern Indiana
31
L
24/05/2026
Northern IndianaWest Virginia Alliance
12
L
13/07/2025
Northern IndianaUnion Macomb
11
D
10/07/2025
Northern IndianaFlint City Bucks
12
L
02/07/2025
Lansing CityNorthern Indiana
02
W
28/06/2025
Northern IndianaMidwest United
02
L
26/06/2025
Kalamazoo FCNorthern Indiana
21
L
21/06/2025
Union MacombNorthern Indiana
01
W
Toledo VillaToledo Villa
1W2D7L
07/06/2026
Toledo VillaLouisville City II
01
L
04/06/2026
Dayton Dutch LionsToledo Villa
11
D
31/05/2026
West Virginia AllianceToledo Villa
31
L
25/05/2026
Louisville City IIToledo Villa
60
L
14/07/2025
Toledo VillaAkron City
03
L
11/07/2025
Toledo VillaCleveland Force
23
L
07/07/2025
Steel CityToledo Villa
21
L
03/07/2025
Akron CityToledo Villa
00
D
29/06/2025
Toledo VillaErie Sports Center
51
W
20/06/2025
Toledo VillaSteel City
23
L

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About the Northern Indiana vs Toledo Villa forecast

The forecasts for this USL League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL League Two

More USL League Two fixtures and forecasts are on the USL League Two Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Northern Indiana and Toledo Villa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.