Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. Prediction

Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.9%
Nueva Chicago Rest
7 days
San Martin S.J. Rest
7 days

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.: the result in context

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. drew 1-1 in the Primera Nacional on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.37
X
31%2.77
2
28%3.23
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
59%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.25
No
58%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.89 = 2.10
Over 1.5
59%1.60
Over 2.5
33%2.88
Over 3.5
15%6.00
Under 1.5
41%2.20
Under 2.5
67%1.36
Under 3.5
85%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'L. Jachfe INF. Masuero out
47'N. Funez
56'T. Ocampo INS. Cocimano out
64'M. PerezAssist: L. Ambrogio
64'F. Coronel INN. Iachetti out
64'D. A. Mercado Carrizo INS. Gonzalez out
69'N. Iachetti
70'D. Barros INE. Cardozo out
74'L. Monje
77'L. Monje INN. Pelaitay out
77'G. Rossi INR. Nieva out
80'L. Ambrogio INN. Petrecca out
80'E. Roldan INA. Ruiz out
89'S. Jaurena INL. Acosta out

Team Comparison

Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
1480Elo Rating 1563
0.54Attack 0.98
1.94Defense 1.61
17%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.4Wins · 57%
1.4Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional01/12/2024
San Martin S.J.Nueva Chicago
10
Primera Nacional24/11/2024
Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.
21
Primera Nacional16/08/2023
Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.
00
Primera Nacional06/04/2023
San Martin S.J.Nueva Chicago
00
Primera Nacional21/05/2022
San Martin S.J.Nueva Chicago
31
Primera Nacional29/11/2020
San Martin S.J.Nueva Chicago
10
Primera Nacional16/11/2019
San Martin S.J.Nueva Chicago
10

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, San Martin S.J. are 9th and Nueva Chicago 17th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Nueva Chicago 25-34, San Martin S.J. 37-35. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.