Paganese vs Gelbison Prediction

Paganese
2-3
Finished
HT 2-0
Gelbison
Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani 27/09/2026
PaganesePaganese
2-3
Finished
GelbisonGelbison

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-10.4%
Paganese Rest
7 days
Gelbison Rest
6 days

Paganese vs Gelbison: the result in context

Gelbison beat Paganese 3-2 in the Serie D - Girone G on 27 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Paganese had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Gelbison.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.78
X
26%3.30
2
24%3.84
Double Chance
1X
76%1.19
X2
50%1.79
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'
28'
54'
67'
83'

Team Comparison

PaganesePaganese
GelbisonGelbison
1526Elo Rating 1528
1.33Attack 1.58
1.78Defense 1.21
23%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PaganesePaganese
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GelbisonGelbison
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PaganesePaganese0Wins · 0%
Draws375%
GelbisonGelbison1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie D - Girone G06/04/2025
PaganeseGelbison
11
Serie D - Girone G24/11/2024
GelbisonPaganese
11
Serie D - Girone H03/03/2024
PaganeseGelbison
11
Serie D - Girone H28/10/2023
GelbisonPaganese
30

Recent Form

PaganesePaganese
6W2D2L
20/09/2026
TrasteverePaganese
16
W
16/09/2026
PaganeseAfragolese
00
D
12/09/2026
Latte DolcePaganese
23
W
06/09/2026
PaganeseUnipomezia
21
W
17/05/2026
Martina FrancaPaganese
01
W
10/05/2026
Città di FasanoPaganese
1121
W
03/05/2026
Città di FasanoPaganese
60
L
26/04/2026
PaganeseNola 1925
50
W
19/04/2026
GravinaPaganese
10
L
11/04/2026
PaganeseAfragolese
11
D
GelbisonGelbison
6W1D3L
20/09/2026
SarneseGelbison
31
L
16/09/2026
GelbisonBudoni
21
W
13/09/2026
TrastevereGelbison
21
L
06/09/2026
GelbisonAfragolese
00
D
10/05/2026
NissaGelbison
40
L
03/05/2026
GelbisonGela
10
W
26/04/2026
EnnaGelbison
01
W
19/04/2026
GelbisonAcireale
21
W
12/04/2026
SancataldeseGelbison
01
W
02/04/2026
GelbisonAC Palermo
21
W

League Table

Serie D - Girone G 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SarneseSarnese862013:6+720WWWDW
2MonastirMonastir952223:15+817DLWWD
3Certosa V. CampagnanoCertosa V. Campagnano851213:6+716WDWLW
4TrastevereTrastevere943213:16-315DWLDW
5PaganesePaganese841317:10+713LWLLW
6UnipomeziaUnipomezia833214:10+412LDWDW
7OsseseOssese833211:8+312LDWDL
8AlbalongaAlbalonga833213:11+212WDLDD
9AranovaAranova833212:10+212WWLDL
10AnzioAnzio83328:6+212DDWWL
11AfragoleseAfragolese82429:7+210WDLLW
12Città di AnagniCittà di Anagni831410:12-210LWDWW
13GelbisonGelbison831410:13-310WLLWL
14VenafroVenafro82246:11-58WDWLL
15BudoniBudoni821512:20-87LLLWW
16Sarrabus OgliastraSarrabus Ogliastra81347:11-46LDLDD
17Latte DolceLatte Dolce81349:14-56DLWDL
18Atletico LodigianiAtletico Lodigiani80178:22-141LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SarneseSarnese813:620
2MonastirMonastir923:1517
3Certosa V. CampagnanoCertosa V. Campagnano813:616
4TrastevereTrastevere913:1615
5PaganesePaganese817:1013
6UnipomeziaUnipomezia814:1012
7OsseseOssese811:812
8AlbalongaAlbalonga813:1112
9AranovaAranova812:1012
10AnzioAnzio88:612
11AfragoleseAfragolese89:710
12Città di AnagniCittà di Anagni810:1210
13GelbisonGelbison810:1310
14VenafroVenafro86:118
15BudoniBudoni812:207
16Sarrabus OgliastraSarrabus Ogliastra87:116
17Latte DolceLatte Dolce89:146
18Atletico LodigianiAtletico Lodigiani88:221

About the Paganese vs Gelbison forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D - Girone G match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paganese and Gelbison in the Serie D - Girone G table

In the Serie D - Girone G table, Paganese are 5th and Gelbison 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Paganese 17-10, Gelbison 10-13. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone G Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.