Paide vs Trans Narva Prediction

Paide
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Trans Narva
Paide linnastaadion, Paide·M. Pukk 18/10/2026
PaidePaide
2-1
Finished
Trans NarvaTrans Narva

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Paide Rest
3 days
Trans Narva Rest
4 days

Paide vs Trans Narva: result, form and history

Paide beat Trans Narva 2-1 in the Meistriliiga on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Paide had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Trans Narva.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.49
X
21%4.10
2
15%5.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
36%2.32
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'J. PalaciosAssist: Daniel Cabral
25'R. Smirnov
38'M. Velijev
38'E. Zuravljov
46'J. Palacios INM. Jobarteh out
47'W. Awusi
65'D. Darboe INS. Luts out
68'D. Luts
74'N. Baljabkin ING. Slein out
78'M. VelijevOG
79'R. Smirnov INA. Surogin out
79'A. Gero INY. Betancor out
79'M. Velijev INA. Ivanyushin out
87'E. Zuravljov INK. Miranda da Silva out
87'S. Agaptsev INA. Besigirskis out
88'Daniel Cabral INP. A. Cham out

Team Comparison

PaidePaide
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
1634Elo Rating 1429
1.54Attack 0.97
2.27Defense 0.53
83%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+205 Elo

Game State Tendencies

PaidePaide
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PaidePaide4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Trans NarvaTrans Narva4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga16/08/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
11
Meistriliiga20/05/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
10
Meistriliiga15/03/2026
PaideTrans Narva
10
Meistriliiga27/09/2025
Trans NarvaPaide
23
Meistriliiga20/07/2025
PaideTrans Narva
20
Meistriliiga31/05/2025
PaideTrans Narva
01
Meistriliiga15/03/2025
Trans NarvaPaide
10
Meistriliiga29/09/2024
Trans NarvaPaide
03
Meistriliiga25/09/2024
PaideTrans Narva
23
Meistriliiga04/07/2024
PaideTrans Narva
22

Recent Form

PaidePaide
6W0D4L
14/10/2026
PaideTammeka
21
W
11/10/2026
FC Levadia TallinnPaide
10
L
19/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedPaide
13
W
16/09/2026
PaideVaprus
20
W
13/09/2026
PaideLaagri
12
L
09/09/2026
TammekaPaide
02
W
06/09/2026
PaideFC Levadia Tallinn
02
L
30/08/2026
Flora TallinnPaide
12
W
26/08/2026
FC Levadia TallinnPaide
41
L
23/08/2026
PaideNõmme United
41
W
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
1W4D5L
14/10/2026
Trans NarvaKuressaare
01
L
10/10/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
22
D
20/09/2026
Trans NarvaFC Levadia Tallinn
11
D
12/09/2026
Kalju NommeTrans Narva
20
L
08/09/2026
Trans NarvaFlora Tallinn
22
D
05/09/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
31
L
30/08/2026
Trans NarvaTammeka
02
L
26/08/2026
Trans NarvaKalju Nomme
20
W
21/08/2026
FC Levadia TallinnTrans Narva
40
L
16/08/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
11
D

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn33266189:23+6684WWWWD
2PaidePaide33186953:39+1460WWWLW
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme331661156:34+2254WLDLW
5TammekaTammeka331621547:52-550WLLWL
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7VaprusVaprus331061745:67-2236LLDDL
8KuressaareKuressaare331051834:52-1835LLWWD
9Nõmme UnitedNõmme United331112154:76-2234WWLLL
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva33552326:75-4920LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3389:2384
2PaidePaide3353:3960
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3356:3454
5TammekaTammeka3347:5250
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7VaprusVaprus3345:6736
8KuressaareKuressaare3334:5235
9Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3354:7634
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3326:7520
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Paide vs Trans Narva forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paide and Trans Narva in the Meistriliiga table

The table shows a wide gap: Paide are 2nd in the Meistriliiga, while Trans Narva sit 10th, 40 points behind. League goal record so far: Paide 53-39, Trans Narva 26-75. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paide have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.