Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction

Pakhtakor
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium, Tashkent·Choi Hyun-Jae 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Pakhtakor Rest
2 days
Al-Qadisiyah FC Rest
2 days

Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: result, form and history

Pakhtakor and Al-Qadisiyah FC drew 1-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Choi Hyun-Jae averages 4.38 cards a game, 0.88 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.88
X
22%4.50
2
63%1.46
Double Chance
1X
37%2.56
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.67
No
48%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.64 = 2.95
Over 1.5
77%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.56
Over 3.5
36%2.36
Under 1.5
23%4.50
Under 2.5
42%2.33
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'Akmal MozgovoyDissent
35'Tijjani ReijndersAssist: Christopher Bonsu Baah
45'Goal cancelledStephen Chinedu
62'Ali Badra DiabatéFoul
69'Musab Al-Juwayr INMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani out
69'Ali Badra Diabaté INYasir Al-Shahrani out
77'Flamarion Jovino Filho INOybek Bozorov out
77'Bashar Resan INDostonbek Khamdamov out
77'Stephen Chinedu INAymen Hussein out
81'Christopher Bonsu Baah INSuleman Sani out
82'Morteza Pouraliganji INSardor Sabirkhodjaev out
84'Penalty confirmedDostonbek Khamdamov
89'Dostonbek Khamdamov(Penalty)
90'Mateo Retegui INAbdullah Al-Salem out
90+3'Akmal Mozgovoy INIbrokhim Ibrokhimov out

Lineups

Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1Coach: Kamoliddin Tadzhiev
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.66
V. Nazarov6.712V. Nazarov
M. Abdumajidov6.955M. Abdumajidov
M. Pouraliganji6.55M. Pouraliganji
Zayed Tahseen7.54Z. Tahseen
S. Nasrullayev6.834S. Nasrullayev
A. Mozgovoy6.710A. Mozgovoy
Abdurauf Bo'riyev6.623A. Bo'riyev
K. Alijonov6.97K. Alijonov
Flamarion6.150Flamarion
B. Resan7.021B. Resan
S. Chinedu6.390S. Chinedu
K. Casteels6.91K. Casteels
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm6.44J. Abdullatif Ahm
G. Álvarez6.717G. Álvarez
Badra Diabbate Ali6.226B. Diabbate Ali
N. Nández6.58N. Nández
T. Reijnders7.714T. Reijnders
J. Weigl7.05J. Weigl
Musab Al Juwayr6.110M. Al Juwayr
C. Bonsu Baah7.722C. Bonsu Baah
J. Quiñones6.333J. Quiñones
M. Retegui6.532M. Retegui

Pakhtakor Substitutes

22Mukhammad-Bobur Karimov
35S. Kuvvatov
99M. Murkaev
17D. Khamdamov77'for Bashar Resan89'7.8
16Miraziz Abdukarimov
20D. Abdullayev
77O. Bozorov77'for Flamarion Jovino Filho6.4
29Aymen Hussein77'for Stephen Chinedu6.5
8D. Saitov
9I. Ibragimov90+3'for Akmal Mozgovoy
27S. Sobirkho'jaev82'for Morteza Pouraliganji6.2
6Sardor Mirqobilov

Al-Qadisiyah FC Substitutes

70S. Suleiman81'for Christopher Bonsu Baah6.6
30M. Sangare
27E. Houssa
35A. Al Siyahi
12Yasir Al Shahrani69'for Ali Badra Diabaté6.3
9Abdullah Al Salem90'for Mateo Retegui
15Mohammed Al Qahtani69'for Musab Al-Juwayr6.6
28Ahmed Al Kassar
18Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
7Turki Al Ammar
50Meshari Sunyur

Match Stats

PakhtakorAl-Qadisiyah FC
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots6
9Fouls13
5Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total Passes521
375Passes Accurate442
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
1703Elo Rating 1866
1.56Attack 2.03
2.00Defense 2.44
36%Hit Rate 81%
19.0Shots per Game 16.3
4.0Shots on Target 6.3
5.0Corners per Game 8.5
1.0Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

PakhtakorPakhtakor
6W3D1L
09/10/2026
PakhtakorBunyodkor
31
W
19/09/2026
Mash'alPakhtakor
12
W
14/09/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahPakhtakor
11
D
09/09/2026
OlmaliqPakhtakor
13
W
04/09/2026
PakhtakorAndijan
30
W
29/08/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
L
25/08/2026
Dinamo SamarqandPakhtakor
11
D
21/08/2026
PakhtakorSurkhon
00
D
16/08/2026
NasafPakhtakor
12
W
11/08/2026
PakhtakorAl Hussein
30
W

Referee Profile

Choi Hyun-Jae66 matches

4.38Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Choi Hyun-Jae4.38
Other referees3.50

4.38 cards a match, 0.88 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.50).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al AinAl Ain22008:1+76WW
2Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC22005:1+46WW
3Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC22004:1+36WW
4Shabab Al Ahli DubaiShabab Al Ahli Dubai22003:1+26WW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah21104:2+24WD
6Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC21103:2+14DW
7NeftchiNeftchi21012:3-13LW
8Al-NassrAl-Nassr21013:5-23WL
9PakhtakorPakhtakor20202:202DD
10Al ShamalAl Shamal20201:102DD
11Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC20112:3-11LD
12Tractor SaziTractor Sazi20110:1-11DL
13Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa20022:4-20LL
14Al-Wasl FCAl-Wasl FC20022:5-30LL
15Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya20021:5-40LL
16Al SaddAl Sadd20020:5-50LL

Bracket

Preliminary Round 1

About the Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About AFC Champions League Elite

More AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and forecasts are on the AFC Champions League Elite Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Qadisiyah FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Pakhtakor and Al-Qadisiyah FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.