Paks vs MTK Budapest Prediction

Paks
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks 10/10/2026
PaksPaks
3-0
Finished
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Paks Rest
21 days
MTK Budapest Rest
20 days

Paks vs MTK Budapest: the result in context

Paks beat MTK Budapest 3-0 in the NB I on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Paks have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Paks tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.9 for MTK Budapest.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.91
X
24%4.00
2
25%3.11
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
49%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.29
No
33%3.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.05 = 2.80
Over 1.5
84%1.07
Over 2.5
71%1.27
Over 3.5
49%1.73
Under 1.5
16%6.95
Under 2.5
29%3.40
Under 3.5
51%2.02
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Vilius ArmalasFoul
19'Balázs BaloghFoul
19'Ákos KinyikAssist: János Szabó
25'János SzabóFoul
59'Kristof Hinora INIstván Bognár out
59'Gyorgy Komaromi INSoma Szuhodovszki out
67'Balázs Balogh INKevin Horvath out
69'Vilius Armalas INBenedek Varju out
71'Jozsef Szalai INBarna Tóth out
71'Zsolt Haraszti INMilan Pető out
74'Kevin HorvathAssist: Barna Tóth
75'Barna TóthFoul
78'Adrian Zeljkovic INSámuel Barnabás Bakó out
78'Mark Kerezsi Zalan INMilán Gábo Klausz out
87'Soma Szuhodovszki
89'József Windecker INGergo Gyurkits out
90+1'Milan PetőAssist: Barna Tóth
90+4'Benedek VarjuFoul

Lineups

Paks
5-4-1Coach: G. Bognár
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1Coach: Máté Pinezits
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating5.92
M. Gyetván6.528M. Gyetván
M. Győrfi7.36M. Győrfi
G. Vas6.512G. Vas
Á. Kinyik7.62Á. Kinyik
J. Szabó6.830J. Szabó
E. Silye7.014E. Silye
Z. Haraszti7.210Z. Haraszti
J. Windecker6.822J. Windecker
B. Balogh6.38B. Balogh
K. Papp6.721K. Papp
J. Szalai6.27J. Szalai
T. Fadgyas5.824T. Fadgyas
V. Armalas5.926V. Armalas
I. Beriashvili5.74I. Beriashvili
S. Radić6.655S. Radić
M. Timoteus5.713M. Timoteus
Adrian Zeljković5.580A. Zeljković
M. Kata6.16M. Kata
G. Jurek6.211G. Jurek
K. Hinora6.517K. Hinora
G. Komáromi5.877G. Komáromi
Zalán Márk Kerezsi6.320Z. Márk Kerezsi

Paks Substitutes

5B. Vécsei
15C. Belényesi
27J. Galambos
18G. Gyurkits89'for József Windecker7.3
9J. Hahn
19K. Horváth67'for Balázs Balogh74'8.1
1Á. Kovácsik
4A. Lapu
17M. Pető71'for Zsolt Haraszti90+1'7.7
29B. Tóth71'for Jozsef Szalai75'7.0

MTK Budapest Substitutes

2B. Varju69'for Vilius Armalas90+4'5.4
29S. Szuhodovszki59'for Gyorgy Komaromi87'5.1
27P. Kovács
9M. Klausz78'for Mark Kerezsi Zalan6.3
10I. Bognár59'for Kristof Hinora5.9
43Bence Varga
8A. G. Zubor
30Sámuel Barnabás Bakó78'replaced by Adrian Zeljkovic

Match Stats

PaksMTK Budapest
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls15
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
363Total Passes461
261Passes Accurate349
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

PaksPaks
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
1566Elo Rating 1510
1.76Attack 0.94
1.73Defense 1.64
59%Hit Rate 44%
21.4Shots per Game 15.8
6.3Shots on Target 5.3
7.7Corners per Game 4.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PaksPaks
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PaksPaks7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest1Wins · 10%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

NB I20/03/2026
MTK BudapestPaks
02
NB I06/12/2025
PaksMTK Budapest
31
NB I24/08/2025
MTK BudapestPaks
23
NB I11/04/2025
MTK BudapestPaks
12
NB I07/12/2024
PaksMTK Budapest
42
NB I03/12/2024
MTK BudapestPaks
31
NB I03/03/2024
MTK BudapestPaks
02
NB I05/11/2023
PaksMTK Budapest
00
NB I28/07/2023
MTK BudapestPaks
11
NB I16/04/2022
PaksMTK Budapest
40

League Table

NB I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC1163219:12+721WWLWW
2Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy1170416:12+421LWWWL
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC1045118:10+817WDDDD
4PaksPaks1152422:19+317WLWWL
5Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC1144318:16+216WWDLW
6VasasVasas1143418:15+315LLDWW
7UjpestUjpest1143418:16+215LLDWD
8Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC1126312:13-112DDDLW
9MTK BudapestMTK Budapest1133516:22-612LWLLL
10NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza1132612:21-911WLLDL
11Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved1024413:17-410LWDLL
12Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE1131713:22-910DLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC1119:1221
2Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy1116:1221
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC1018:1017
4PaksPaks1122:1917
5Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC1118:1616
6VasasVasas1118:1515
7UjpestUjpest1118:1615
8Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC1112:1312
9MTK BudapestMTK Budapest1116:2212
10NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza1112:2111
11Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved1013:1710
12Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE1113:2210
Relegation

About the Paks vs MTK Budapest forecast

The forecasts for this NB I match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paks and MTK Budapest in the NB I table

The table shows a wide gap: Paks are 4th in the NB I, while MTK Budapest sit 9th, 5 points behind. League goal record so far: Paks 22-19, MTK Budapest 16-22. The full standings are on the NB I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.