Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction

05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
Patronato Rest
14 days
San Martin Tucuman Rest
14 days

Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman: result, form and history

San Martin Tucuman beat Patronato 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

San Martin Tucuman have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.45
X
39%2.75
2
24%3.20
Double Chance
1X
76%1.29
X2
62%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.38
No
65%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 0.76 = 1.82
Over 1.5
55%1.66
Over 2.5
27%2.97
Over 3.5
12%6.60
Under 1.5
45%2.10
Under 2.5
73%1.33
Under 3.5
88%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'V. Salazar
21'B. CabreraAssist: D. Diellos
39'W. Rueda
41'S. Brinone
46'A. Cisnero INL. Arfaras out
61'A. Veliez
62'A. Veliez ING. Monroy out
63'H. Rivero IND. Diaz out
63'R. Reynaga INT. Attis out
66'G. Monroy
74'B. Cabrera ING. Rodriguez out
75'B. Cortes INJ. P. Barinaga out
75'V. L. Pereyra INF. Heredia out
78'D. Diellos ING. Rodriguez out
78'V. Salazar INJ. Juarez out
82'A. Graneros
83'F. Meritello
85'A. Miro
87'N. Genez INL. Pacco out

Team Comparison

PatronatoPatronato
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
1528Elo Rating 1567
1.10Attack 1.62
2.39Defense 1.34
39%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

PatronatoPatronato
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

PatronatoPatronato1Wins · 13%
Draws112%
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman6Wins · 75%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional15/02/2026
San Martin TucumanPatronato
00
Primera Nacional29/06/2025
San Martin TucumanPatronato
01
Primera Nacional23/02/2025
PatronatoSan Martin Tucuman
01
Primera Nacional06/10/2024
PatronatoSan Martin Tucuman
01
Primera Nacional21/05/2024
San Martin TucumanPatronato
20
Primera Nacional17/09/2023
PatronatoSan Martin Tucuman
13
Primera Nacional08/05/2023
San Martin TucumanPatronato
20
Copa Argentina27/07/2018
PatronatoSan Martin Tucuman
12

Recent Form

PatronatoPatronato
2W7D1L
21/06/2026
PatronatoMidland
11
D
14/06/2026
PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
07/06/2026
AgropecuarioPatronato
11
D
31/05/2026
PatronatoTristan Suarez
11
D
24/05/2026
Club Atlético GüemesPatronato
10
L
17/05/2026
PatronatoChacarita Juniors
20
W
09/05/2026
San Martin S.J.Patronato
11
D
03/05/2026
PatronatoNueva Chicago
21
W
25/04/2026
TemperleyPatronato
00
D
19/04/2026
PatronatoDeportivo Maipu
00
D
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
2W2D6L
20/06/2026
TemperleySan Martin Tucuman
11
D
13/06/2026
ColegialesSan Martin Tucuman
20
L
07/06/2026
San Martin TucumanQuilmes
00
D
31/05/2026
MidlandSan Martin Tucuman
20
L
25/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
01
L
17/05/2026
Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin Tucuman
10
L
13/05/2026
San Martin TucumanGimnasia Jujuy
20
W
09/05/2026
BanfieldSan Martin Tucuman
5141
L
03/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
21
W
26/04/2026
AgropecuarioSan Martin Tucuman
20
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez341614433:15+1862WDDWD
2TemperleyTemperley341612641:28+1360DWWLW
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy341610851:42+958WDLDD
4AtlantaAtlanta341841240:33+758LWWWD
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3414101037:31+652WDLWL
6MidlandMidland341491140:29+1151LWDLW
7ColegialesColegiales341481235:31+450WDWWL
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu341391240:33+748LDWWD
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3412111136:34+247DDLLW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3411131038:35+346WLWDL
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela341291328:34-645WLLLW
12AlmagroAlmagro341181531:41-1041LWWLL
13AgropecuarioAgropecuario3410101427:38-1140LWDLW
14QuilmesQuilmes341091530:29+139LLDWL
15PatronatoPatronato347161129:33-437LWLWD
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors341061826:35-936WLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago34991624:33-936LLLWD
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes34682025:57-3226WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3433:1562
2TemperleyTemperley3441:2860
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3451:4258
4AtlantaAtlanta3440:3358
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3437:3152
6MidlandMidland3440:2951
7ColegialesColegiales3435:3150
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3440:3348
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3436:3447
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3438:3546
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3428:3445
12AlmagroAlmagro3431:4141
13AgropecuarioAgropecuario3427:3840
14QuilmesQuilmes3430:2939
15PatronatoPatronato3429:3337
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3426:3536
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3424:3336
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3425:5726
PromotionRelegation

About the Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Patronato and San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th and Patronato 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Patronato 29-33, San Martin Tucuman 38-35. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.