Pavia vs Arconatese Prediction
Italy · Group D - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Pavia vs Arconatese: the result in context
Pavia and Arconatese drew 1-1 in the Serie D - Girone D on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Pavia
ArconateseGame State Tendencies
Pavia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Arconatese- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Pavia
Sant'AngeloPaviaPavia
SolbiatesePavia
Crema
PisaPavia
BrenoPavia
ChievoPaviaPavia
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
USD CasatesePaviaPavia
Scanzorosciate
Leon Monza e BrianzaPaviaArconateseArconatese
Pro Patria
PistoieseArconateseArconatese
CorreggeseUSD CasateseArconateseBrenoArconateseArconateseChievo
Sangiuliano CityArconateseArconatese
Fanfulla
Pro PalazzoloArconatese
AC MagentaArconateseLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:3 | +17 | 24 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | +11 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 18 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 | LDDDW |
| 6 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Sant'Angelo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | +2 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 8 |  Città di Varese | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 13 | DWWLD |
| 9 | USD Casatese | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 | LLWLW |
| 10 | Pavia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Solbiatese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 12 | Correggese | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 13 | Crema | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Varesina | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 | DDDDL |
| 15 | Arconatese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |  Coriano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 | DDLLL |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 9 | 20:3 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 9 | 14:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 9 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 9 | 14:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 9 | 19:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 9 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 7 | Sant'Angelo | 9 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Città di Varese | 9 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 9 | USD Casatese | 9 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Pavia | 9 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Solbiatese | 9 | 7:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Correggese | 9 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Crema | 9 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Varesina | 9 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Arconatese | 9 | 7:20 | 6 |
| 16 | Coriano | 9 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 17 | Oltrepò | 9 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 9 | 7:23 | 4 |
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This match
More Serie D - Girone D matches
About the Pavia vs Arconatese forecast
The forecasts for this Serie D - Girone D match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Pavia and Arconatese in the Serie D - Girone D table
In the Serie D - Girone D table, Pavia are 10th and Arconatese 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Pavia 10-7, Arconatese 7-20. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone D Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Pavia and Arconatese have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.