Pinheiro vs Lago Verde Prediction

18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseHighGap-2.5%
Pinheiro Rest
3 days
Lago Verde Rest
2 days

Pinheiro vs Lago Verde: the result in context

Lago Verde beat Pinheiro 2-0 in the Maranhense - 2 on 18 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lago Verde had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Pinheiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.20
X
22%3.60
2
53%1.95
Double Chance
1X
47%1.74
X2
75%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.69
No
56%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.21
Over 2.5
38%1.68
Over 3.5
18%2.70
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
62%2.06
Under 3.5
82%1.41
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

PinheiroPinheiro
Lago VerdeLago Verde
1483Elo Rating 1632
1.18Attack 2.70
1.70Defense 2.07
34%Hit Rate 73%

Game State Tendencies

PinheiroPinheiro
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lago VerdeLago Verde
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (4 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PinheiroPinheiro0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Lago VerdeLago Verde2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Maranhense - 221/06/2026
Lago VerdePinheiro
10
Maranhense - 230/05/2026
PinheiroLago Verde
12

Recent Form

PinheiroPinheiro
2W5D3L
15/07/2026
Sao LuisPinheiro
01
W
11/07/2026
PinheiroSao Luis
11
D
28/06/2026
PinheiroViana
21
W
21/06/2026
Lago VerdePinheiro
10
L
07/06/2026
VianaPinheiro
00
D
30/05/2026
PinheiroLago Verde
12
L
24/04/2025
IAPEPinheiro
20
L
10/04/2025
MaranhãoPinheiro
11
D
06/04/2025
PinheiroTuntum
00
D
03/04/2025
PinheiroSampaio Correa
00
D
Lago VerdeLago Verde
6W0D0L
15/07/2026
Lago VerdeExpressinho
52
W
11/07/2026
ExpressinhoLago Verde
01
W
04/07/2026
VianaLago Verde
04
W
21/06/2026
Lago VerdePinheiro
10
W
14/06/2026
Lago VerdeViana
71
W
30/05/2026
PinheiroLago Verde
12
W

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

Maranhense - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AraiosesAraioses54106:0+613DWWWW
2Sao LuisSao Luis53119:4+510WWLWD
3Lago VerdeLago Verde430113:3+109WWWW
4Timon MATimon MA42204:1+38DDWW
5PinheiroPinheiro42114:3+17WLDL
6TupanTupan51316:606DDLD
7ExpressinhoExpressinho52035:6-16WLLW
8CordinoCordino41213:305DDWL
9Americano BacabalAmericano Bacabal51133:9-64LDWLL
10São José MASão José MA51044:8-43LLLWL
11BalsasBalsas40223:6-32DDLL
12VianaViana40132:13-111LLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1AraiosesAraioses56:013
2Sao LuisSao Luis59:410
3Lago VerdeLago Verde413:39
4Timon MATimon MA44:18
5PinheiroPinheiro44:37
6TupanTupan56:66
7ExpressinhoExpressinho55:66
8CordinoCordino43:35
9Americano BacabalAmericano Bacabal53:94
10São José MASão José MA54:83
11BalsasBalsas43:62
12VianaViana42:131

About the Pinheiro vs Lago Verde forecast

As a knockout tie in the Maranhense - 2, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pinheiro and Lago Verde in the Maranhense - 2 table

Lago Verde and Pinheiro are close in the Maranhense - 2 table, 3rd and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Pinheiro 4-3, Lago Verde 13-3. The full standings are on the Maranhense - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pinheiro have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Lago Verde have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Pinheiro and Lago Verde have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.