Porreres vs Santanyí Prediction

Porreres
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Santanyí
04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Porreres Rest
8 days
Santanyí Rest
8 days

Porreres vs Santanyí: the result in context

Santanyí beat Porreres 1-0 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 on 4 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Porreres had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Santanyí.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.15
X
28%3.08
2
26%3.08
Double Chance
1X
74%1.26
X2
54%1.66
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'

Team Comparison

PorreresPorreres
SantanyíSantanyí
1477Elo Rating 1594
1.96Attack 1.33
2.00Defense 2.69
58%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PorreresPorreres
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
SantanyíSantanyí
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

PorreresPorreres
3W1D6L
26/09/2026
ArenalPorreres
12
W
20/09/2026
PorreresInter Ibiza
21
W
13/09/2026
FormenteraPorreres
31
L
09/09/2026
BinéfarPorreres
10
L
06/09/2026
PorreresAndratx
20
W
03/05/2026
PorreresAlcoyano
00
D
26/04/2026
PoblensePorreres
31
L
19/04/2026
PorreresAtlético Baleares
01
L
12/04/2026
BarbastroPorreres
20
L
05/04/2026
PorreresBarcelona B
15
L
SantanyíSantanyí
2W3D1L
26/09/2026
SantanyíMercadal
11
D
19/09/2026
AlcúdiaSantanyí
12
W
13/09/2026
SantanyíConstància
11
D
06/09/2026
CardassarSantanyí
00
D
30/08/2026
AndratxSantanyí
21
L
29/08/2026
CollerenseSantanyí
12
W

League Table

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Platges CalviàPlatges Calvià860215:7+818WWWWW
2ConstànciaConstància852115:5+1017DWWWW
3Ibiza Islas PitiusasIbiza Islas Pitiusas752011:2+917DWWDW
4ManacorManacor751117:8+916DLWWW
5CardassarCardassar842215:9+614DLWWL
6SantanyíSantanyí73408:3+513DWWDW
7PorreresPorreres740312:8+412WLLWW
8PE Sant JordiPE Sant Jordi733112:9+312DWDLD
9AlcúdiaAlcúdia740313:11+212WWLLL
10FormenteraFormentera732211:8+311LWLWD
11LlosetenseLlosetense83148:11-310LLLWW
12MercadalMercadal82249:14-58LWLLD
13BinissalemBinissalem72149:12-37DWWLL
14AndratxAndratx813410:14-46DLLLD
15MigjornMigjorn812510:19-95DDLLW
16ArenalArenal71156:15-94DLLLW
17SineuSineu80264:17-132DDLLL
18Inter IbizaInter Ibiza70253:16-132DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Platges CalviàPlatges Calvià815:718
2ConstànciaConstància815:517
3Ibiza Islas PitiusasIbiza Islas Pitiusas711:217
4ManacorManacor717:816
5CardassarCardassar815:914
6SantanyíSantanyí78:313
7PorreresPorreres712:812
8PE Sant JordiPE Sant Jordi712:912
9AlcúdiaAlcúdia713:1112
10FormenteraFormentera711:811
11LlosetenseLlosetense88:1110
12MercadalMercadal89:148
13BinissalemBinissalem79:127
14AndratxAndratx810:146
15MigjornMigjorn810:195
16ArenalArenal76:154
17SineuSineu84:172
18Inter IbizaInter Ibiza73:162
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About the Porreres vs Santanyí forecast

The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Porreres and Santanyí in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table

Santanyí and Porreres are close in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, 6th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Porreres 12-8, Santanyí 8-3. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Porreres have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Santanyí have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Porreres and Santanyí have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.