Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

Fitzpatrick Stadium 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Portland Hearts of Pine Rest
6 days
Charlotte Independence Rest
6 days

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence: the result in context

Portland Hearts of Pine beat Charlotte Independence 4-1 in the USL League One on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Charlotte Independence had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Portland Hearts of Pine.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.50
X
20%4.00
2
55%1.74
Double Chance
1X
45%1.87
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'R. Manin INM. Lyons out
24'M. LopezFoul
34'F. Ngah INJ. Skinner out
40'A. CamaraAssist: M. Poon-Angeron
45'J. SkinnerAssist: J. Bakero
53'M. Lopez(Penalty missed)
53'M. Lopez
56'M. Lopez INJ. Kamara out
69'M. Poon-Angeron IND. Letayf out
69'W. Varela IND. Barbosa out
81'D. BarbosaFoul
82'D. Barbosa
83'J. BakeroFoul
90'A. CamaraAssist: J. Drack
90+2'B. Evans INS. Faye out
90+2'H. Morse INK. Oladapo out

Team Comparison

Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
1441Elo Rating 1577
1.91Attack 2.18
0.82Defense 1.45
27%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence1Wins · 33%
4.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

USL League One03/09/2026
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
32
USL League One30/08/2025
Portland Hearts of PineCharlotte Independence
42
USL League One20/07/2025
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
11

Recent Form

Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
2W3D5L
18/10/2026
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
20
L
10/10/2026
Portland Hearts of PineBoise
12
L
04/10/2026
Spokane VelocityPortland Hearts of Pine
33
D
26/09/2026
Portland Hearts of PineSarasota Paradise
14
L
20/09/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesPortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
14/09/2026
Portland Hearts of PineAlta
10
W
07/09/2026
Portland Hearts of PineWestchester SC
21
W
03/09/2026
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
32
L
30/08/2026
Portland Hearts of PineFort Wayne
14
L
23/08/2026
Richmond KickersPortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
7W2D1L
18/10/2026
Greenville TriumphCharlotte Independence
03
W
11/10/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNY Cosmos
30
W
04/10/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCharlotte Independence
23
W
26/09/2026
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
11
D
20/09/2026
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
12
W
17/09/2026
BoiseCharlotte Independence
11
D
13/09/2026
Charlotte IndependenceWestchester SC
54
W
06/09/2026
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
20
L
03/09/2026
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
32
W
29/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceAlta
50
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portland Hearts of Pine and Charlotte Independence in the USL League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Charlotte Independence are 1st in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine sit 14th, 32 points behind. League goal record so far: Portland Hearts of Pine 48-58, Charlotte Independence 74-46. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.