PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction

Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.2%
PSM Makassar Rest
6 days
Persebaya Surabaya Rest
4 days

PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya: result, form and history

PSM Makassar beat Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 in the Liga 1 on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.31
X
28%3.30
2
44%2.02
Double Chance
1X
56%1.65
X2
72%1.26
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

0'
16'R. Irianto
46'Ramalho INAlex out
46'R. Irianto INT. Firmansyah out
56'S. Aguero INR. Fandi out
64'Y. Mabella INF. Rivera out
65'R. Pratama INS. Ramdani out
74'Y. FernandesOG
77'S. Lasinari INA. Catur out
78'F. Aditia INR. Bakri out
87'S. Jevtoski INN. Foor out
87'N. Lalic INA. Mannan out
90+3'A. Mannan
90+7'Ardiansyah
90+9'Alex(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

PSM MakassarPSM Makassar
Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
1464Elo Rating 1610
1.48Attack 0.96
1.43Defense 2.11
50%Hit Rate 34%

Game State Tendencies

PSM MakassarPSM Makassar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PSM MakassarPSM Makassar3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga 125/02/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
10
Liga 106/12/2025
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
11
Liga 107/03/2025
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
01
Liga 123/10/2024
Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
11
Liga 128/02/2024
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
00
Liga 118/08/2023
Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
10
Liga 124/02/2023
Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
01
Liga 110/09/2022
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
30
Liga 114/01/2022
Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
21
Liga 118/09/2021
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
31

Recent Form

PSM MakassarPSM Makassar
2W2D6L
16/10/2026
PSIM YogyakartaPSM Makassar
12
W
11/10/2026
PSS SlemanPSM Makassar
30
L
19/09/2026
PSM MakassarPersita
22
D
13/09/2026
PSM MakassarArema FC
33
D
06/09/2026
Persib BandungPSM Makassar
31
L
23/05/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPSM Makassar
20
L
17/05/2026
PSM MakassarPersib Bandung
12
L
09/05/2026
Arema FCPSM Makassar
30
L
04/05/2026
PSM MakassarBhayangkara FC
21
W
27/04/2026
Bali UnitedPSM Makassar
20
L
Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
7W3D0L
18/10/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSS Sleman
22
D
09/10/2026
Isenmulang KaltengPersebaya Surabaya
01
W
19/09/2026
Persebaya SurabayaGarudayaksa
11
D
13/09/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSIM Yogyakarta
10
W
05/09/2026
Bhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
11
D
06/08/2026
Persib BandungPersebaya Surabaya
5161
W
04/08/2026
Persebaya SurabayaArema FC
10
W
01/08/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPort FC
21
W
29/07/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSMS Medan
10
W
26/07/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPersija
10
W

League Table

Liga 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PersijaPersija760117:6+1118WWLWW
2Dewa UnitedDewa United742112:10+214LWDWW
3Bali UnitedBali United741220:8+1213DWLWL
4Persib BandungPersib Bandung741211:8+313WLWDW
5Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd741212:10+213LWDLW
6PersitaPersita633012:9+312DWWDW
7Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya73319:6+312WLDWD
8Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC725011:8+311DWDDW
9Persik KediriPersik Kediri73138:6+210LWLWD
10Arema FCArema FC723216:14+29WLLDD
11PSM MakassarPSM Makassar72329:12-39DWWLD
12Java UnitedJava United723210:1007DDWWL
13Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo52034:6-26LWLWL
14GarudayaksaGarudayaksa71247:14-75LLWLD
15PSS SlemanPSS Sleman61149:11-24LDWLL
16Isenmulang KaltengIsenmulang Kalteng71243:12-93DDWLL
17PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta70253:11-82DLLLL
18PersijapPersijap70163:15-121DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PersijaPersija717:618
2Dewa UnitedDewa United712:1014
3Bali UnitedBali United720:813
4Persib BandungPersib Bandung711:813
5Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd712:1013
6PersitaPersita612:912
7Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya79:612
8Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC711:811
9Persik KediriPersik Kediri78:610
10Arema FCArema FC716:149
11PSM MakassarPSM Makassar79:129
12Java UnitedJava United710:107
13Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo54:66
14GarudayaksaGarudayaksa77:145
15PSS SlemanPSS Sleman69:114
16Isenmulang KaltengIsenmulang Kalteng73:123
17PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta73:112
18PersijapPersijap73:151

About the PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PSM Makassar and Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 table

In the Liga 1 table, Persebaya Surabaya are 7th and PSM Makassar 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: PSM Makassar 9-12, Persebaya Surabaya 9-6. The full standings are on the Liga 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.