Quilmes vs Almagro Prediction

Quilmes
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Almagro
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 09/08/2026
QuilmesQuilmes
1-1
Finished
AlmagroAlmagro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+7.9%
Quilmes Rest
3 days
Almagro Rest
4 days

Quilmes vs Almagro: the result in context

Quilmes and Almagro drew 1-1 in the Primera Nacional on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Almagro have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.54
X
34%3.40
2
18%6.65
Double Chance
1X
82%1.08
X2
52%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%2.50
No
66%1.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 0.78 = 1.88
Over 1.5
53%1.50
Over 2.5
30%2.50
Over 3.5
11%4.92
Under 1.5
47%2.44
Under 2.5
70%1.45
Under 3.5
89%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'A. Bindella
44'J. Orlando
46'F. De La Vega INE. Martinez out
46'A. Bindella INT. Ortega out
46'G. Vega INA. Lavezzi out
57'R. Martinez INN. Colazo out
58'F. Bustamante INT. Lopez out
58'C. Salto INJ. Bustos out
65'J. Yangali
65'U. Vera INJ. Coronel out
74'A. SpetaleAssist: A. Batista
77'J. Fernandes INT. Dornell out
77'E. Silcan INN. Tolosa out
78'J. Bustos
84'A. Spetale INA. Bolivar out
87'J. OrlandoAssist: J. Vitale

Team Comparison

QuilmesQuilmes
AlmagroAlmagro
1520Elo Rating 1507
0.82Attack 1.22
2.31Defense 1.77
41%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

QuilmesQuilmes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AlmagroAlmagro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

QuilmesQuilmes1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
AlmagroAlmagro5Wins · 62%
1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional21/03/2026
AlmagroQuilmes
10
Primera Nacional31/08/2025
AlmagroQuilmes
22
Primera Nacional27/04/2025
QuilmesAlmagro
01
Primera Nacional23/09/2022
QuilmesAlmagro
11
Primera Nacional11/12/2020
AlmagroQuilmes
01
Primera Nacional20/10/2019
AlmagroQuilmes
21
Primera Nacional23/09/2018
QuilmesAlmagro
01
Primera Nacional25/11/2017
QuilmesAlmagro
02

Recent Form

QuilmesQuilmes
4W3D3L
06/08/2026
QuilmesGimnasia Jujuy
20
W
01/08/2026
PatronatoQuilmes
33
D
27/07/2026
QuilmesColegiales
01
L
12/07/2026
MidlandQuilmes
10
L
04/07/2026
QuilmesAtlanta
21
W
20/06/2026
ColegialesQuilmes
31
L
13/06/2026
QuilmesGimnasia Y Tiro
10
W
07/06/2026
San Martin TucumanQuilmes
00
D
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
W
24/05/2026
AgropecuarioQuilmes
00
D
AlmagroAlmagro
5W2D3L
05/08/2026
AlmagroGimnasia Y Tiro
02
L
01/08/2026
AlmagroMidland
11
D
28/07/2026
AtlantaAlmagro
13
W
12/07/2026
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
30
L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
W
20/06/2026
AlmagroAtlanta
20
W
13/06/2026
AlmagroAgropecuario
21
W
07/06/2026
Tristan SuarezAlmagro
00
D
31/05/2026
AlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
20
W
24/05/2026
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
10
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2TemperleyTemperley341612641:28+1360DWWLW
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy341610851:42+958WDLDD
4AtlantaAtlanta341841240:33+758LWWWD
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3414101037:31+652WDLWL
6MidlandMidland341491140:29+1151LWDLW
7ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu341391240:33+748LDWWD
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3412111136:34+247DDLLW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
13AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3410101427:38-1140LWDLW
15PatronatoPatronato347161129:33-437LWLWD
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors341061826:35-936WLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago34991624:33-936LLLWD
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes34682025:57-3226WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2TemperleyTemperley3441:2860
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3451:4258
4AtlantaAtlanta3440:3358
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3437:3152
6MidlandMidland3440:2951
7ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3440:3348
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3436:3447
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
13AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3427:3840
15PatronatoPatronato3429:3337
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3426:3536
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3424:3336
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3425:5726
PromotionRelegation

About the Quilmes vs Almagro forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Quilmes and Almagro in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Quilmes (12th) and Almagro (13th) are level on 42 points. League goal record so far: Quilmes 32-30, Almagro 32-42. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.