Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir Prediction

Raith Rovers
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Stenhousemuir
01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+9.4%
Raith Rovers Rest
7 days
Stenhousemuir Rest
7 days

Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir: the result in context

Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir drew 1-1 in the Championship on 1 Aug 2026. Stenhousemuir had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Raith Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.44
X
24%3.94
2
31%6.83
Double Chance
1X
69%1.08
X2
55%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.12
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%2.00
Over 3.5
19%3.50
Under 1.5
36%3.08
Under 2.5
62%1.75
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'P. McMullanAssist: D. Easton
30'L. Hodgkiss
38'M. Anderson
56'K. Montagu
60'P. McMullan INC. Telfer out
68'L. Stevenson INP. Hanlon out
68'D. Carrick INM. Aitken out
73'L. Hodgkiss INE. O'Reilly out
73'L. O'Donnell INF. Robson out
82'C. Penman INO. MacIntyre out
82'K. Bilham INL. Grant out
83'A. Lyall INL. Gibson out
85'E. O'Reilly
86'M. Gillies

Team Comparison

Raith RoversRaith Rovers
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
1513Elo Rating 1548
0.95Attack 0.54
1.78Defense 1.57
36%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

Raith RoversRaith Rovers
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Raith RoversRaith Rovers
4W1D5L
24/07/2026
Raith RoversHeart Of Midlothian
01
L
21/07/2026
Raith RoversPeterhead
10
W
18/07/2026
Hamilton AcademicalRaith Rovers
5141
L
14/07/2026
KilmarnockRaith Rovers
4020
L
11/07/2026
Raith RoversElgin City
31
W
30/06/2026
Raith RoversEdinburgh City
40
W
27/06/2026
Raith RoversHamilton Academical
22
D
01/05/2026
Raith RoversRoss County
32
W
24/04/2026
ST JohnstoneRaith Rovers
20
L
18/04/2026
ArbroathRaith Rovers
21
L
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
8W1D1L
25/07/2026
StenhousemuirLivingston
3010
W
21/07/2026
PartickStenhousemuir
3252
W
18/07/2026
BrechinStenhousemuir
12
W
11/07/2026
StenhousemuirForfar Athletic
20
W
16/05/2026
StenhousemuirAlloa Athletic
01
L
13/05/2026
Alloa AthleticStenhousemuir
13
W
09/05/2026
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
4131
W
05/05/2026
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
11
D
02/05/2026
MontroseStenhousemuir
02
W
25/04/2026
StenhousemuirAlloa Athletic
10
W

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1072113:5+823DLWWW
2PartickPartick1164112:4+822DWWWD
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1163216:7+921DWWLD
4Inverness CTInverness CT1144314:11+316WLWWD
5DunfermlineDunfermline103618:6+215DDDWW
6LivingstonLivingston1142514:11+314DLLWD
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath113267:17-1011LLLWL
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park112186:18-127LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1013:523
2PartickPartick1112:422
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1116:721
4Inverness CTInverness CT1114:1116
5DunfermlineDunfermline108:615
6LivingstonLivingston1114:1114
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath117:1711
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park116:187
PromotionRelegation

About the Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir in the Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Stenhousemuir are 1st in the Championship, 2 points ahead of Raith Rovers in 3rd. League goal record so far: Raith Rovers 16-7, Stenhousemuir 13-5. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stenhousemuir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.