Real Ávila vs Numancia Prediction

Real Ávila
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Numancia
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap-6.6%
Real Ávila Rest
7 days
Numancia Rest
7 days

Real Ávila vs Numancia: the result in context

Real Ávila and Numancia drew 1-1 in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.95
X
31%2.95
2
37%2.38
Double Chance
1X
63%1.50
X2
68%1.33
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Real ÁvilaReal Ávila
NumanciaNumancia
1461Elo Rating 1544
0.95Attack 0.87
1.51Defense 2.00
31%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Real ÁvilaReal Ávila
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NumanciaNumancia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Real ÁvilaReal Ávila0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
NumanciaNumancia2Wins · 50%
1.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División RFEF - Group 112/04/2026
NumanciaReal Ávila
21
Segunda División RFEF - Group 109/11/2025
Real ÁvilaNumancia
00
Segunda División RFEF - Group 113/04/2025
NumanciaReal Ávila
20
Segunda División RFEF - Group 130/11/2024
Real ÁvilaNumancia
00

Recent Form

Real ÁvilaReal Ávila
4W0D6L
04/10/2026
SS ReyesReal Ávila
30
L
27/09/2026
Real ÁvilaGetafe II
10
W
20/09/2026
Real ÁvilaCalvo Sotelo
21
W
13/09/2026
NavalcarneroReal Ávila
21
L
05/09/2026
A Madrid IIIReal Ávila
21
L
12/08/2026
Atlético TordesillasReal Ávila
02
W
03/05/2026
Real ÁvilaDeportivo La Coruña II
04
L
26/04/2026
Racing Santander IIReal Ávila
41
L
19/04/2026
Real ÁvilaGimnástica Segoviana
21
W
12/04/2026
NumanciaReal Ávila
21
L
NumanciaNumancia
5W3D2L
04/10/2026
Getafe IINumancia
00
D
27/09/2026
NumanciaGuadalajara
10
W
19/09/2026
SS ReyesNumancia
00
D
13/09/2026
NumanciaA Madrid III
20
W
06/09/2026
Atlético PasoNumancia
02
W
22/08/2026
NumanciaZaragoza
21
W
17/05/2026
PoblenseNumancia
21
L
10/05/2026
NumanciaPoblense
01
L
03/05/2026
NumanciaMarino de Luanco
10
W
26/04/2026
LangreoNumancia
11
D

League Table

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ConquenseConquense852118:9+917WDWLW
2SS ReyesSS Reyes851213:8+516WWLWL
3CF TalaveraCF Talavera843111:7+415WDWWW
4Real Valladolid IIReal Valladolid II842218:10+814DWDWL
5A Madrid IIIA Madrid III842211:9+214LDDWW
6NumanciaNumancia83418:4+413LDDDW
7Salamanca UDSSalamanca UDS841312:10+213LDWLW
8NavalcarneroNavalcarnero833213:12+112WDDWL
9Gimnástica SegovianaGimnástica Segoviana824214:13+110DDDDW
10Atlético TordesillasAtlético Tordesillas823312:11+19DWDWL
11Atlético PasoAtlético Paso82339:909WDLWD
12GuadalajaraGuadalajara823316:17-19DLWDD
13Albacete IIAlbacete II823311:22-119WDLLD
14RSD AlcaláRSD Alcalá822411:12-18LDDLL
15Real ÁvilaReal Ávila82157:14-77LLDLW
16Calvo SoteloCalvo Sotelo81345:12-76DLDLW
17Getafe IIGetafe II80538:13-55DDLDL
18Real Madrid IIIReal Madrid III80531:6-55LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ConquenseConquense818:917
2SS ReyesSS Reyes813:816
3CF TalaveraCF Talavera811:715
4Real Valladolid IIReal Valladolid II818:1014
5A Madrid IIIA Madrid III811:914
6NumanciaNumancia88:413
7Salamanca UDSSalamanca UDS812:1013
8NavalcarneroNavalcarnero813:1212
9Gimnástica SegovianaGimnástica Segoviana814:1310
10Atlético TordesillasAtlético Tordesillas812:119
11Atlético PasoAtlético Paso89:99
12GuadalajaraGuadalajara816:179
13Albacete IIAlbacete II811:229
14RSD AlcaláRSD Alcalá811:128
15Real ÁvilaReal Ávila87:147
16Calvo SoteloCalvo Sotelo85:126
17Getafe IIGetafe II88:135
18Real Madrid IIIReal Madrid III81:65
PromotionRelegation

About the Real Ávila vs Numancia forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Ávila and Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Numancia are 6th and Real Ávila 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Ávila 7-14, Numancia 8-4. The full standings are on the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.