Real Estelí vs Alianza Prediction

Real Estelí
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Alianza
Estadio Independencia 12/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseHighGap+5.0%
Real Estelí Rest
4 days
Alianza Rest
3 days

Real Estelí vs Alianza: result, form and history

Real Estelí beat Alianza 3-1 in the CONCACAF Central American Cup on 12 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.60
X
23%3.48
2
21%5.40
Double Chance
1X
79%1.10
X2
45%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.10
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.13
Over 3.5
18%3.88
Under 1.5
37%2.87
Under 2.5
62%1.62
Under 3.5
82%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'H. ArandaAssist: R. Blanco
22'I. Artola INA. Calero out
29'E. CasadoAssist: J. Barrera
37'B. Tamacas
53'J. Portillo
55'M. Mier INGustavo Souza out
55'M. Aguirre INE. A. Rivas Linares out
56'A. Colombino
61'O. Acevedo
64'Gustavo SouzaAssist: E. A. Rivas Linares
66'J. Barrera INJ. Quijano out
66'E. Casado INE. Castillo out
76'R. Blanco INW. Talavera out
76'A. Colombino INJ. Toledo out
82'J. Portillo INF. Castillo out
82'J. Toledo
85'B. Tamacas INJ. Monteagudo out
86'W. Parra
88'B. Bonilla INA. Baez out
88'D. Romero INJ. Barreto out
89'J. GutierrezAssist: A. Baez

Team Comparison

Real EstelíReal Estelí
AlianzaAlianza
1606Elo Rating 1565
1.42Attack 0.97
1.46Defense 1.93
19%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

Real EstelíReal Estelí
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlianzaAlianza
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Real EstelíReal Estelí
8W2D0L
08/08/2026
Real EstelíWalter Ferretti
41
W
05/08/2026
Antigua GFCReal Estelí
02
W
31/07/2026
JalapaReal Estelí
01
W
26/07/2026
Real EstelíMatagalpa
20
W
18/07/2026
Real EstelíUNAN Managua
11
D
12/07/2026
Real EstelíXilotepelt
20
W
04/07/2026
XilotepeltReal Estelí
01
W
17/05/2026
DiriangénReal Estelí
4151
W
10/05/2026
Real EstelíDiriangén
11
D
07/05/2026
Real EstelíJalapa
31
W
AlianzaAlianza
5W1D4L
09/08/2026
InterAlianza
20
L
06/08/2026
AlianzaCS Herediano
10
W
30/07/2026
AlianzaAntigua GFC
21
W
26/07/2026
Inca ArubaAlianza
13
W
10/05/2026
AlianzaÁguila
02
L
06/05/2026
ÁguilaAlianza
21
L
01/05/2026
Fuerte San FranciscoAlianza
01
W
26/04/2026
AlianzaZacatecoluca
42
W
19/04/2026
Municipal LimeñoAlianza
00
D
16/04/2026
AlianzaÁguila
02
L

About the Real Estelí vs Alianza forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Central American Cup

More CONCACAF Central American Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Central American Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Estelí and Alianza have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.