Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: the result in context
Tacoma Defiance beat Real Monarchs 4-2 in the MLS Next Pro on 20 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Real Monarchs
Tacoma DefianceAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Real Monarchs- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Tacoma Defiance- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Monarchs3Wins · 30%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
22/06/2026Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs01/09/2025Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance18/07/2025Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs12/06/2025Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance14/09/2024Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs12/08/2024Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance27/06/2024Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs16/09/2023Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance06/05/2023Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance03/04/2023Tacoma DefianceReal MonarchsRecent Form
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Los Angeles FC IIReal Monarchs
Ventura CountyReal MonarchsTacoma DefianceReal MonarchsReal Monarchs
Portland Timbers II
The TownReal MonarchsReal Monarchs
Sporting KC IIVancouver Whitecaps IIReal MonarchsReal Monarchs
Colorado Rapids IIReal MonarchsThe TownTacoma DefianceThe TownTacoma DefianceTacoma DefiancePortland Timbers II
Minnesota United IITacoma DefianceTacoma DefianceReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Houston Dynamo FC IIPortland Timbers IITacoma DefianceTacoma DefianceVentura CountyVancouver Whitecaps IITacoma Defiance
Austin IITacoma DefianceSporting KC IITacoma DefianceLeague Table
Pacific Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | +8 | 57 | DDDWD |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | +22 | 53 | LWWDW |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | +2 | 45 | LWDLL |
| 4 | The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | +15 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | -17 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | -23 | 27 | LLDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | The Town | 28 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 39:62 | 27 |
Eastern Conference — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | +33 | 65 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | +8 | 57 | DDDWD |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | +22 | 53 | LWWDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | +20 | 52 | LDWLL |
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | +4 | 45 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | +2 | 45 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | +2 | 44 | LDWDD |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | +15 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 | DLWLW |
| 10 |  North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | +1 | 40 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | -17 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | -23 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 13 | Sporting KC II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | -39 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | -24 | 21 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 28 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 28 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 28 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City II | 28 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting KC II | 28 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 28:52 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance forecast
The forecasts for this MLS Next Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance in the MLS Next Pro table
Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs are close in the MLS Next Pro table, 5th and 6th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: Real Monarchs 38-55, Tacoma Defiance 40-44. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.