Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers Prediction

03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Recoleta Rest
18 days
Santiago Wanderers Rest
7 days

Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers: the result in context

Recoleta beat Santiago Wanderers 2-1 in the Primera B on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.25
X
29%3.30
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
59%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.74
No
48%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.07 = 2.39
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.97
Over 3.5
27%3.33
Under 1.5
30%3.20
Under 2.5
53%1.79
Under 3.5
73%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'C. Gonzalez
45'G. Estigarribia
46'A. Dubo IND. San Martin out
46'L. Navarro
54'C. Ponce
55'C. Valenzuela INJ. Luna out
55'I. Flores INC. Silva out
71'
72'I. Lara
75'C. Gonzalez INM. Arguinarena out
75'A. Herrera INC. Villarroel out
75'J. Silva INV. Vargas out
86'G. Alvarez INN. Carvajal out
86'P. Sanchez INR. Riveros out
90+1'C. Ponce
90+1'G. Estigarribia
90+4'M. Camarda

Team Comparison

RecoletaRecoleta
Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers
1458Elo Rating 1502
1.02Attack 1.82
0.80Defense 1.64
17%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend88% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RecoletaRecoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

RecoletaRecoleta2Wins · 25%
Draws563%
Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers1Wins · 12%
2.5Avg Goals
88%Both teams scored7 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera B23/08/2025
RecoletaSantiago Wanderers
11
Primera B18/04/2025
Santiago WanderersRecoleta
11
Primera B16/07/2024
Santiago WanderersRecoleta
11
Primera B25/02/2024
RecoletaSantiago Wanderers
31
Primera B22/07/2023
RecoletaSantiago Wanderers
41
Primera B04/03/2023
Santiago WanderersRecoleta
11
Primera B25/09/2022
Santiago WanderersRecoleta
00
Primera B01/05/2022
RecoletaSantiago Wanderers
12

Recent Form

RecoletaRecoleta
4W4D2L
Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers
4W3D3L
26/09/2026
CobreloaSantiago Wanderers
10
L
09/09/2026
Deportes TemucoSantiago Wanderers
30
L
05/09/2026
Santiago WanderersDeportes Iquique
10
W
29/08/2026
Santiago WanderersMagallanes
21
W
25/08/2026
San LuisSantiago Wanderers
01
W
16/08/2026
Santiago WanderersD. Puerto Montt
11
D
13/08/2026
AntofagastaSantiago Wanderers
00
D
08/08/2026
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos de Arica
11
D
06/08/2026
Santiago WanderersUnion La Calera
04
L
02/08/2026
Deportes Santa CruzSantiago Wanderers
13
W

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco29991145:41+436LDWLD
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido297101226:46-2031LDWLL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco2945:4136
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido2926:4631
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Recoleta and Santiago Wanderers in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, Santiago Wanderers are 3rd and Recoleta 7th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Recoleta 41-43, Santiago Wanderers 48-32. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.