Riga Mariners vs Mārupe Prediction

Riga Mariners
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Mārupe
27/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalGOODModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Riga Mariners Rest
7 days
Mārupe Rest
8 days

Riga Mariners vs Mārupe: result, form and history

Riga Mariners beat Mārupe 2-0 in the 1. Liga on 27 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.55
X
14%4.00
2
14%4.60
Double Chance
1X
86%1.13
X2
28%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.45
Over 3.5
19%2.17
Under 1.5
37%5.50
Under 2.5
61%2.43
Under 3.5
81%1.58
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'A. PavlovskisAssist: R. Owusu
84'A. PavlovskisAssist: A. Grazis

Team Comparison

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
MārupeMārupe
1690Elo Rating 1440
3.34Attack 1.56
0.37Defense 0.99
66%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+250 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MārupeMārupe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
MārupeMārupe0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Liga09/08/2025
Riga MarinersMārupe
31
1. Liga12/04/2025
MārupeRiga Mariners
12

Recent Form

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
7W3D0L
20/06/2026
Riga MarinersJDFS Alberts
10
W
14/06/2026
SkansteRiga Mariners
02
W
30/05/2026
RFK/RFSRiga Mariners
011
W
23/05/2026
Riga MarinersMetta / LU
22
D
16/05/2026
Riga MarinersValmiera / BSS
31
W
09/05/2026
Riga MarinersSmiltene
10
W
02/05/2026
Rēzekne FARiga Mariners
22
D
25/04/2026
Rīgas FS IIRiga Mariners
12
W
19/04/2026
Riga MarinersRiga FC II
22
D
11/04/2026
Tukums IIRiga Mariners
13
W
MārupeMārupe
5W1D4L
19/06/2026
MārupeAliance
4222
W
14/06/2026
MārupeJFK Ventspils
12
L
30/05/2026
JFC JelgavaMārupe
12
W
23/05/2026
MārupeRīgas FS II
14
L
17/05/2026
Riga FC IIMārupe
04
W
09/05/2026
Tukums IIMārupe
12
W
02/05/2026
Super Nova 2Mārupe
01
W
25/04/2026
JDFS AlbertsMārupe
21
L
18/04/2026
MārupeValmiera / BSS
23
L
12/04/2026
Leevon / PPKMārupe
00
D

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Riga Mariners vs Mārupe forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Riga Mariners and Mārupe in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Riga Mariners are 3rd and Mārupe 7th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Riga Mariners 60-31, Mārupe 38-40. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Riga Mariners and Mārupe have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.