Riga vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

Riga
3-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Ararat-Armenia
Skonto stadions, Riga· B. Csonka 14/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.93
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+5.4%
Riga Rest
4 days
Ararat-Armenia Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.68
X
18%3.70
2
37%4.55
Double Chance
1X
63%1.15
X2
55%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.77
No
53%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.19 = 2.73
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.80
Over 3.5
32%2.92
Under 1.5
27%3.52
Under 2.5
48%1.95
Under 3.5
68%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Iago SiqueiraAssist: M. Badamosi
23'A. Ankrah
34'Edgar GrigoryanFoul
41'Salah Oulad M'HandSimulation
44'Orlando GaloFoul
46'E. Grigoryan INA. Ambartsumyan out
46'Z. Shaghoyan
61'A. Tera INZ. Banjaqui out
61'A. Serobyan INFranca Carlos out
63'Sandro LimaAssist: Z. Banjaqui
66'Ahmed AnkrahOther reason
66'Zidane BanjaquiOther reason
69'S. Oulad M'Hand INReginaldo Ramires out
69'O. Galo INCaio Ferreira out
70'Hugo OliveiraFoul
71'Z. Shaghoyan INLuis Felipe out
72'Reginaldo RamiresFoul
80'R. Aouani INK. Wassom out
80'Iago Siqueira INA. Taiwo out
85'Carlos FrançaFoul
86'Paulo Eduardo INA. Cernomordijs out
87'Sandro Lima INA. Ndour out
90'Reginaldo Ramires(Penalty)

Lineups

Riga
3-5-2Coach: Adrian Gula
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Coach: Tulipa
Krišjānis Zviedris1K. ZviedrisKrišjānis Zviedris
Raivis Jurkovskis13R. JurkovskisRaivis Jurkovskis
Baba Musah21B. MusahBaba Musah
Paulo33PauloPaulo
Raki Aouani7R. AouaniRaki Aouani
Iago Siqueira Augusto8I. Siqueira AugustoIago Siqueira Augusto
Ahmed Ankrah40A. AnkrahAhmed Ankrah
Orlando Galo4O. GaloOrlando Galo
Andrés Salazar17A. SalazarAndrés Salazar
Muhammed Badamosi19M. BadamosiMuhammed Badamosi
Salah Oulad M'Hand18S. Oulad M'HandSalah Oulad M'Hand
João Bravim98J. BravimJoão Bravim
Kamo Hovhannisyan13K. HovhannisyanKamo Hovhannisyan
Bruno Wilson43B. WilsonBruno Wilson
Junior Julio3J. JulioJunior Julio
Edgar Grigoryan16E. GrigoryanEdgar Grigoryan
Hugo Oliveira2H. OliveiraHugo Oliveira
Alwyn Tera20A. TeraAlwyn Tera
Karen Muradyan19K. MuradyanKaren Muradyan
Artur Serobyan77A. SerobyanArtur Serobyan
Sandro Lima91S. LimaSandro Lima
Zhirayr Shaghoyan7Z. ShaghoyanZhirayr Shaghoyan

Riga Substitutes

10Reginaldo RamiresF
99Caio FerreiraF
5Karl Gameni WassomD
25Abdulrahman TaiwoF
34Antonijs ČernomordijsD
44Marcis KazainisG
3AbnerD
23Maksims TonisevsD
22Meïssa DiopM

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

10Armen AmbartsumyanM
11Zidane BanjaquiM
95Carlos FrançaM
5Luís FelipeD
25Alioune NdourF
1Arman NersesyanG
14Bruno PereiraD
6Michel AyvazyanM
17Maxence CarlierM
9Arayik EloyanF
90Paul AyongoF

Match Stats

RigaArarat-Armenia
53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

RigaRiga
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
1756Elo Rating 1675
1.97Attack 1.54
1.20Defense 2.47
34%Hit Rate 66%
5.0Shots on Target 0.0
8.0Corners per Game 0.0
4.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Riga 0%Draw 0%100% Ararat-Armenia
2Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

RigaRiga
3W1D1L
10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
23
W
07/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaRiga
20
L
03/07/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
30
W
29/06/2026
AudaRiga
02
W
25/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
00
D
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
3W1D1L
07/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaRiga
20
W
27/06/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaVojvodina
11
D
27/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaGandzasar
10
W
17/05/2026
BKMAArarat-Armenia
23
W
10/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Noah
04
L

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Sparta Praha
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Lyon
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Union St. Gilloise
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Bodo/Glimt
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Olympiakos Piraeus
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NEC Nijmegen
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Mjallby AIF
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Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded

Riga vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Champions League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Riga and Ararat-Armenia have met 1 times recently, averaging 2 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.