Rīgas FS vs Glentoran Prediction

Rīgas FS
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Glentoran
LNK Sporta Parks, Riga·P. Simani 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Rīgas FS Rest
4 days
Glentoran Rest
6 days

Rīgas FS vs Glentoran: the result in context

Rīgas FS beat Glentoran 2-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rīgas FS had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Glentoran.

Referee P. Simani averages 3.48 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.35
X
13%4.87
2
15%6.80
Double Chance
1X
85%1.07
X2
28%2.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.85
No
53%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 0.92 = 2.98
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.56
Over 3.5
41%2.45
Under 1.5
18%4.33
Under 2.5
40%2.25
Under 3.5
59%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'M. Saidy
11'D. Larmour INM. Kane out
22'Zeno Ibsen RossiFoul
43'Herdi PrengaFoul
57'R. Clarke INJ. Jenkins out
61'J. IkaunieksAssist: R. Ndjiki
62'L. Odisharia INM. Kigurs out
63'Marcus KaneHandball
68'R. Ndjiki IND. Lemajic out
68'D. Zelenkovs ING. Mankenda out
72'J. Malone INJ. Kelly out
72'J. Stewart INJ. Daniels out
77'James SingletonFoul
78'Joshua KellyFoul
81'A. Filipovic INR. Savalnieks out
81'J. Ikaunieks INS. Rakic out

Lineups

Rīgas FS
4-2-3-1Coach: Viktors Morozs
Glentoran
4-3-3Coach: Declan Devine
Jevgēņijs Ņerugals16J. Ņerugals
Aleksandar Filipović6A. Filipović
Herdi Prenga23H. Prenga
Žiga Lipušček43Ž. Lipušček
Shina Kumater99S. Kumater
Modou Saidy66M. Saidy
Stefan Panić26S. Panić
Lasha Odisharia8L. Odisharia
Jānis Ikaunieks10J. Ikaunieks
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs18D. Zelenkovs
Rostand Ndjiki15R. Ndjiki
William Crellin31W. Crellin
Daniel Larmour20D. Larmour
Zeno Ibsen Rossi4Z. Ibsen Rossi
James Singleton27J. Singleton
Ryan Cooney2R. Cooney
Aaron McEneff8A. McEneff
Ross Clarke7R. Clarke
Jordan Stewart10J. Stewart
Pat Hoban9P. Hoban
Joe Thomson6J. Thomson
Jack Malone29J. Malone

Rīgas FS Substitutes

49Mārtiņš Ķigurs62'for L. Odisharia
77Gauthier Mankenda68'for D. Zelenkovs
22Darko Lemajić68'for R. Ndjiki
11Roberts Savaļnieks81'for A. Filipovic
81Strahinja Rakić81'for J. Ikaunieks
1Rihards Matrevics
4Roberts Veips
5Niks Sliede

Glentoran Substitutes

3Marcus Kane11'for D. Larmour63'
30Jordan Jenkins
5Joshua Kelly72'for J. Malone78'
11Josh Daniels72'for J. Stewart
1Andrew Mills
33Lorcan Donnelly
12Gregory Sloggett
21Charlie Lindsay
44James Douglas
19Ben Gallagher
23Rhys Walsh
35Cal Weatherup

Team Comparison

Rīgas FSRīgas FS
GlentoranGlentoran
1719Elo Rating 1594
3.11Attack 1.11
2.72Defense 2.73
100%Hit Rate 54%
18.5Shots per Game -
6.7Shots on Target -
7.7Corners per Game -
0.6Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+125 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Rīgas FSRīgas FS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1 in first half)
GlentoranGlentoran
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Rīgas FSRīgas FS1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GlentoranGlentoran0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Recent Form

Rīgas FSRīgas FS
8W1D1L
12/07/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
20
W
09/07/2026
GlentoranRīgas FS
12
W
04/07/2026
Rīgas FSAuda
11
D
30/06/2026
Rīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
31
W
26/06/2026
FK LiepajaRīgas FS
02
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
W
17/06/2026
RigaRīgas FS
21
L
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
W
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
W
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
W
GlentoranGlentoran
3W3D4L
09/07/2026
GlentoranRīgas FS
12
L
04/07/2026
DundelaGlentoran
33
D
01/07/2026
GlentoranKilmarnock
04
L
26/06/2026
Belfast CelticGlentoran
18
W
24/06/2026
GlentoranThe New Saints
11
D
20/06/2026
GlentoranCaernarfon Town
12
L
25/04/2026
Coleraine FCGlentoran
62
L
17/04/2026
GlentoranLarne
00
D
11/04/2026
GlentoranDungannon Swifts
50
W
07/04/2026
Cliftonville FCGlentoran
12
W

Referee Profile

P. Simani166 matches

3.48Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

P. Simani3.48
Other referees3.99

3.48 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Larne
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Brighton
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KI Klaksvik
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PAOK
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Vikingur Reykjavik
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Gornik Zabrze
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Monaco
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Hradec Králové
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SC Freiburg
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Atalanta
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Heart Of Midlothian
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Rangers
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Shamrock Rovers
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KuPS
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Pafos
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Getafe
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Tromso
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HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
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FC ST. Gallen
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Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
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Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
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Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the Rīgas FS vs Glentoran forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rīgas FS and Glentoran have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.