Rubin vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Rubin
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
FC Orenburg
Kazan Arena, Kazan·Pavel Kukuyan, Russia 09/08/2026
RubinRubin
1-1
Finished
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Rubin Rest
5 days
FC Orenburg Rest
4 days

Rubin vs FC Orenburg: the result in context

Rubin and FC Orenburg drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.99
X
28%3.38
2
23%4.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
51%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.94
No
45%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.12 = 2.72
Over 1.5
73%1.37
Over 2.5
48%2.21
Over 3.5
23%3.84
Under 1.5
27%2.85
Under 2.5
52%1.68
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.51
Over 9.5
50%1.91
Over 10.5
39%2.42
Under 8.5
38%2.37
Under 9.5
50%1.84
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.9 = 5.3
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
54%2.02
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
46%1.70

Match Events

38'E. Bolotov
46'I. Samoshnikov INJ. Siwe out
48'E. TsenovAssist: M. Sivis
57'V. Hodza
57'D. Maldonado INU. Iwu out
58'N. Gripshi IND. Kuznetsov out
60'A. TataevOG
63'E. Tsenov IND. Vedernikov out
63'D. Rybchinskiy INA. Kasadzhikov out
74'R. Kul INE. Nazarenko out
74'R. Golybin IND. Vasiljev out
75'R. Bezrukov INA. Jukic out
81'D. Puebla INAlexandre Jesus out
85'I. Saavedra INM. Ignatiev out
90'I. Rozhkov

Lineups

Rubin
5-4-1Coach: Franc Artiga
FC Orenburg
4-3-3Coach: Ildar Akhmetzyanov
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.63
Evgeniy Staver6.338E. Staver
Anderson Arroyo6.212A. Arroyo
Denil Maldonado6.33D. Maldonado
Igor VujačićC6.35I. Vujačić
Egor Teslenko6.92E. Teslenko
Ilya Rozhkov7.351I. Rozhkov
Ruslan Bezrukov6.323R. Bezrukov
Ignacio Saavedra6.714I. Saavedra
Veldin Hodža7.622V. Hodža
Ilya Samoshnikov6.371I. Samoshnikov
Nazmi Gripshi6.211N. Gripshi
Bogdan Ovsyannikov6.61B. Ovsyannikov
Maxime Sivis6.324M. Sivis
Jhon Palacios6.36J. Palacios
Aleksey TataevC5.95A. Tataev
Emil Tsenov7.726E. Tsenov
Ruslan Kul6.378R. Kul
Evgeniy Bolotov7.757E. Bolotov
Dmitry Rybchinskiy6.920D. Rybchinskiy
Damián Puebla6.38D. Puebla
Gedeon Guzina6.330G. Guzina
Renat Golybin6.627R. Golybin

Rubin Substitutes

86Nikita Korets
25Artur Nigmatullin
4Konstantin Nizhegorodov
98Nikita Lobov
18Maksim Ignatjev85'for I. Saavedra
13Jakhongir Urozov
70Dmitriy Kabutov
77Aleksandar Jukić75'for R. Bezrukov6.3
6Ugochukwu Iwu57'for D. Maldonado6.2
43Jacques Siwe46'for I. Samoshnikov6.6
44Daniil Kuznetsov58'for N. Gripshi6.2
59Daniil Motorin

FC Orenburg Substitutes

95Andrey Khodanovich
53Vyacheslav Korobov
3Danila Vedernikov63'for E. Tsenov7.2
38Artem Kasimov
59Maksim Syshchenko
65Ivan Ivashchenko
18Dmitriy Vasilyev74'for R. Golybin6.5
11Egor Nazarenko74'for R. Kul6.7
77Andrey Kasadzhikov63'for D. Rybchinskiy6.3
19Alexandre Jesus81'for D. Puebla6.5
21Benjamín Bosch
9Maksim Saveljev

Match Stats

RubinFC Orenburg
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls14
4Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
414Total Passes265
306Passes Accurate169
74%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

RubinRubin
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
1480Elo Rating 1568
0.34Attack 2.17
0.46Defense 2.35
0%Hit Rate 63%
9.5Shots per Game 12.6
2.5Shots on Target 5.3
4.2Corners per Game 3.6
2.1Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RubinRubin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

RubinRubin3Wins · 33%
Draws445%
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg2Wins · 22%
2.6Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs03/07/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
12
Premier League11/04/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
00
Cup16/09/2025
FC OrenburgRubin
4020
Premier League30/08/2025
FC OrenburgRubin
22
Cup31/07/2025
RubinFC Orenburg
20
Premier League24/05/2025
RubinFC Orenburg
42
Premier League27/10/2024
FC OrenburgRubin
12
Premier League08/04/2024
OrenburgRubin
30
Premier League30/07/2023
RubinOrenburg
11

Recent Form

RubinRubin
2W3D5L
04/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
50
L
01/08/2026
AkronRubin
12
W
26/07/2026
RubinFC Krasnodar
13
L
18/07/2026
LokomotivRubin
31
L
11/07/2026
RubinKrylia Sovetov
20
W
08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
D
03/07/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
12
L
26/06/2026
RubinKAMAZ
11
D
17/05/2026
RubinNizhny Novgorod
22
D
11/05/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
21
L
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
4W0D6L
05/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
51
L
02/08/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
03
L
26/07/2026
FC OrenburgFC Rostov
21
W
11/07/2026
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
20
W
07/07/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
21
L
03/07/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
12
W
25/06/2026
FC OrenburgFK Neftekhimik
01
L
17/05/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Orenburg
30
L
10/05/2026
FC OrenburgKrylia Sovetov
10
W
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
L

Referee Profile

Pavel Kukuyan50 matches

5.29Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pavel Kukuyan5.29
Other referees5.41

5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.41).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1281319:12+725LWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
8BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
14AkhmatAkhmat1225515:17-211LLDLW
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel121388:20-126LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1219:1225
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
8BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
14AkhmatAkhmat1215:1711
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel128:206
Relegation

About the Rubin vs FC Orenburg forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rubin and FC Orenburg in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, FC Orenburg are 6th and Rubin 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Rubin 12-16, FC Orenburg 14-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.