Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction

Samgurali
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Gagra
Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili 11/10/2026
SamguraliSamgurali
3-0
Finished
GagraGagra

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Samgurali Rest
21 days
Gagra Rest
21 days

Samgurali vs Gagra: the result in context

Samgurali beat Gagra 3-0 in the Erovnuli Liga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.96
X
27%3.38
2
28%3.40
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
55%1.68
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Irakli Bidzinashvili
46'Guram Goshteliani INIllia skrypnyk out
46'davit mujiri INAndrey andreychuk out
46'Tornike·GaprindashviliAssist: Irakli Bidzinashvili
58'pedro borges INRichmond Adeyeye out
58'Luka Gurchiani INGivi khachidze out
71'Tornike·Gaprindashvili INniko tsetskhladze out
71'Irakli Bidzinashvili INDavid krasovsky out
71'Irakli Siradze INCebolinha claudio out
74'Luqman Gilmore INzaza iashvili out
75'Saba Zoidze
78'alexander feikrishvili INCesar Vinicius out
87'rodrigues gean INgigi gogia out
88'Cebolinha claudioAssist: Lasha Shergelashvili

Lineups

Samgurali
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Oniani
Gagra
4-4-2Coach: Ž. Ljubenović
A. Siukaev21A. Siukaev
L. Gegetchkori13L. Gegetchkori
M. Shatirishvili25M. Shatirishvili
O. Patarkatsishvili4O. Patarkatsishvili
L. Shergelashvili27L. Shergelashvili
L. Gilmore10L. Gilmore
T. Gaprindashvili9T. Gaprindashvili
Vinicius Vianna20V. Vianna
I. Bidzinashvili8I. Bidzinashvili
Gean Carlos15G. Carlos
I. Siradze19I. Siradze
O. Vorobey1O. Vorobey
Claudinei40Claudinei
Z. Tchavtchanidze14Z. Tchavtchanidze
Augusto2Augusto
S. Zoidze11S. Zoidze
L. Gurchiani33L. Gurchiani
2121a. feikrishvili
Wanderson25Wanderson
P. Borges7P. Borges
G. Goshteliani30G. Goshteliani
D. Mujiri9D. Mujiri

Samgurali Substitutes

28Cláudio Cebolinha71'for Irakli Siradze88'
22G. Gogia87'for rodrigues gean
14T. Goletiani
26Z. Iashvili74'for Luqman Gilmore
33Isac Martins
12A. Kasradze
11D. Krasovski71'for Irakli Bidzinashvili
39Ryan
17N. Tsetskhladze71'for Tornike·Gaprindashvili

Gagra Substitutes

17Vinicius Cesar78'replaced by alexander feikrishvili
8I. Skrypnyk46'for Guram Goshteliani
22G. Sadghobelashvili
5Y. Nazarov
19G. Khachidze58'for Luka Gurchiani
35Alexander Timchenko
4V. Arsić
23A. Andreychuk46'for davit mujiri
29R. Adeyeye58'for pedro borges

Match Stats

SamguraliGagra
53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

SamguraliSamgurali
GagraGagra
1467Elo Rating 1452
1.66Attack 0.39
1.27Defense 1.00
42%Hit Rate 0%
14.5Shots per Game 8.0
6.3Shots on Target 3.9
4.1Corners per Game 5.1
1.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SamguraliSamgurali
  • No tendency data available
GagraGagra
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SamguraliSamgurali5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
GagraGagra2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Erovnuli Liga24/06/2026
GagraSamgurali
00
Erovnuli Liga02/05/2026
SamguraliGagra
20
Erovnuli Liga02/03/2026
GagraSamgurali
01
Erovnuli Liga02/11/2025
SamguraliGagra
11
Erovnuli Liga24/08/2025
GagraSamgurali
20
Erovnuli Liga07/05/2025
SamguraliGagra
02
Erovnuli Liga16/03/2025
GagraSamgurali
02
Erovnuli Liga10/11/2024
SamguraliGagra
42
Erovnuli Liga01/09/2024
GagraSamgurali
13
David Kipiani Cup27/07/2024
SamguraliGagra
0010

Recent Form

SamguraliSamgurali
3W1D6L
19/09/2026
SamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
23
L
14/09/2026
Torpedo KutaisiSamgurali
32
L
09/09/2026
SamguraliDila
13
L
05/09/2026
FC Iberia 1999Samgurali
21
L
30/08/2026
SamguraliRustavi
11
D
26/08/2026
DilaSamgurali
2111
L
22/08/2026
SpaeriSamgurali
34
W
16/08/2026
SamguraliDinamo Batumi
04
L
09/08/2026
MeshakhteSamgurali
12
W
01/08/2026
SamguraliMeshakhte
1000
W
GagraGagra
3W4D3L
19/09/2026
GagraMeshakhte
11
D
14/09/2026
Dinamo TbilisiGagra
40
L
10/09/2026
GagraTorpedo Kutaisi
11
D
05/09/2026
DilaGagra
10
L
31/08/2026
GagraFC Iberia 1999
20
W
26/08/2026
GagraAragvi Dusheti
4030
W
22/08/2026
RustaviGagra
30
L
17/08/2026
GagraSpaeri
11
D
08/08/2026
Dinamo BatumiGagra
22
D
02/08/2026
GarejiGagra
14
W

League Table

Erovnuli Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi30168653:37+1656WWWWD
2FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199930174945:33+1255WWWLW
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi30159650:32+1854WWLWW
4RustaviRustavi30157836:26+1052LWWLW
5DilaDila301241440:37+340LLLWL
6SamguraliSamgurali301151443:55-1238LWWLL
7Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi309101148:41+737LLDLW
8GagraGagra306121226:43-1730DLLDL
9SpaeriSpaeri305121338:49-1127DLDLL
10MeshakhteMeshakhte303111623:49-2620WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3053:3756
2FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 19993045:3355
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3050:3254
4RustaviRustavi3036:2652
5DilaDila3040:3740
6SamguraliSamgurali3043:5538
7Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3048:4137
8GagraGagra3026:4330
9SpaeriSpaeri3038:4927
10MeshakhteMeshakhte3023:4920
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Samgurali vs Gagra forecast

The forecasts for this Erovnuli Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Samgurali and Gagra in the Erovnuli Liga table

Samgurali and Gagra are close in the Erovnuli Liga table, 6th and 8th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: Samgurali 43-55, Gagra 26-43. The full standings are on the Erovnuli Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.