Samtredia vs Gareji Prediction

Samtredia
6-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Gareji
Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia 12/09/2026
SamtrediaSamtredia
6-1
Finished
GarejiGareji

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-11.5%
Samtredia Rest
4 days
Gareji Rest
6 days

Samtredia vs Gareji: result, form and history

Samtredia beat Gareji 6-1 in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Samtredia had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Gareji.

Gareji have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.61
X
26%3.62
2
21%4.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
47%2.07
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'L. GogitadzeAssist: G. Kveladze
27'D. Gvasalia
28'I. Gulisashvili
29'G. Kveladze
45+1'L. Gogitadze
49'M. Mushkudiani
50'M. Mushkudiani INI. Tchikaidze out
54'L. Kalandadze IND. Aidarashvili out
60'L. Gogitadze INE. Barrios out
60'T. Odikadze INE. Ayuk out
60'D. Dobranskyi INT. Jangidze out
69'E. Barrios
70'
71'O. Gagnidze INT. Chikovani out
72'I. Gulisashvili ING. Kikvadze out
72'D. Zurabiani INN. Grigalashvili out
72'B. Gugberidze INM. Kometiani out
76'T. ChikovaniAssist: E. Barrios
81'E. Barrios(Penalty)
82'D. Gvasalia INL. Patarkatsishvili out
90'T. Chikovani

Team Comparison

SamtrediaSamtredia
GarejiGareji
1514Elo Rating 1497
1.45Attack 0.74
2.17Defense 2.27
34%Hit Rate 37%

Game State Tendencies

SamtrediaSamtredia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GarejiGareji
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

SamtrediaSamtredia2Wins · 22%
Draws111%
GarejiGareji6Wins · 67%
3.1Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Erovnuli Liga 230/05/2026
GarejiSamtredia
32
Erovnuli Liga 218/04/2026
SamtrediaGareji
01
David Kipiani Cup27/07/2024
GarejiSamtredia
50
Erovnuli Liga10/12/2023
GarejiSamtredia
31
Erovnuli Liga06/12/2023
SamtrediaGareji
41
Erovnuli Liga 223/10/2022
SamtrediaGareji
20
Erovnuli Liga 228/08/2022
GarejiSamtredia
40
Erovnuli Liga 221/06/2022
GarejiSamtredia
20
Erovnuli Liga 216/04/2022
SamtrediaGareji
00

Recent Form

SamtrediaSamtredia
7W1D2L
07/09/2026
TelaviSamtredia
03
W
02/09/2026
SamtrediaFC Iberia 1999
20
W
28/08/2026
SamtrediaOdishi 1919
30
W
22/08/2026
ShturmiSamtredia
01
W
15/08/2026
SamtrediaGori
10
W
08/08/2026
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
24
W
26/07/2026
SamtrediaShturmi
21
W
22/06/2026
SioniSamtredia
32
L
17/06/2026
Merani MartviliSamtredia
21
L
13/06/2026
SamtrediaKolkheti Poti
22
D
GarejiGareji
4W3D3L
06/09/2026
GarejiSioni
33
D
29/08/2026
Merani MartviliGareji
12
W
22/08/2026
GarejiKolkheti Poti
32
W
15/08/2026
GarejiAragvi Dusheti
02
L
08/08/2026
TelaviGareji
00
D
02/08/2026
GarejiGagra
14
L
25/07/2026
BasaGareji
02
W
22/06/2026
GarejiOdishi 1919
12
L
17/06/2026
GarejiShturmi
00
D
13/06/2026
GoriGareji
13
W

League Table

Erovnuli Liga 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GarejiGareji31159737:33+454LDWLL
2ShturmiShturmi311310834:30+449LWLWW
3TelaviTelavi311211835:31+447LDLWD
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili311271236:40-443WLWLL
5SamtrediaSamtredia311341455:43+1243WLLWW
6Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti311171332:41-940DDWLW
7Odishi 1919Odishi 1919311091233:41-839DWLWD
8SioniSioni319101236:38-237DLWLL
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti318111242:36+635WDWLD
10GoriGori318101330:37-734DWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1GarejiGareji3137:3354
2ShturmiShturmi3134:3049
3TelaviTelavi3135:3147
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3136:4043
5SamtrediaSamtredia3155:4343
6Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti3132:4140
7Odishi 1919Odishi 19193133:4139
8SioniSioni3136:3837
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3142:3635
10GoriGori3130:3734
PromotionRelegation

About the Samtredia vs Gareji forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Samtredia and Gareji in the Erovnuli Liga 2 table

In the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, Gareji are 1st and Samtredia 5th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Samtredia 55-43, Gareji 37-33. The full standings are on the Erovnuli Liga 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.