San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela Prediction

17 De Octubre, Formosa 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
San Martin Formosa Rest
7 days
9 de Julio Rafaela Rest
10 days

San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: result, form and history

San Martin Formosa beat 9 de Julio Rafaela 2-1 in the Torneo Federal A on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: San Martin Formosa had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. 9 de Julio Rafaela tend to win more corners, 8.5 a game to 4.7 for San Martin Formosa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.65
X
28%3.40
2
13%5.09
Double Chance
1X
87%1.12
X2
41%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.13
No
59%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.73 = 2.16
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
35%2.15
Over 3.5
17%3.67
Under 1.5
36%2.80
Under 2.5
65%1.59
Under 3.5
83%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'
18'G. Nunez(Penalty)
22'R. Tapia
27'L. Larrea
82'

Team Comparison

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela
1622Elo Rating 1522
1.13Attack 1.26
2.58Defense 1.58
44%Hit Rate 41%
14.0Shots per Game 12.1
5.4Shots on Target 5.1
4.7Corners per Game 8.5
0.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+100 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa4Wins · 50%
Draws113%
9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela3Wins · 37%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A30/11/2025
San Martin Formosa9 de Julio Rafaela
41
Torneo Federal A23/11/2025
9 de Julio RafaelaSan Martin Formosa
21
Torneo Federal A24/08/2025
San Martin Formosa9 de Julio Rafaela
20
Torneo Federal A04/08/2024
9 de Julio RafaelaSan Martin Formosa
00
Torneo Federal A18/09/2023
9 de Julio RafaelaSan Martin Formosa
21
Torneo Federal A23/07/2023
San Martin Formosa9 de Julio Rafaela
21
Torneo Federal A28/05/2023
9 de Julio RafaelaSan Martin Formosa
10
Torneo Federal A01/04/2023
San Martin Formosa9 de Julio Rafaela
20

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Formosa and 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, San Martin Formosa are 4th and 9 de Julio Rafaela 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: San Martin Formosa 25-19, 9 de Julio Rafaela 28-27. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.