Santos vs Comerciantes Prediction

Santos
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Comerciantes
Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+11.6%
Santos Rest
6 days
Comerciantes Rest
8 days

Santos vs Comerciantes: result, form and history

Santos beat Comerciantes 1-0 in the Segunda División on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Comerciantes have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.30
X
29%2.90
2
41%3.06
Double Chance
1X
59%1.29
X2
70%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.94
No
56%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.41
Over 2.5
38%2.25
Over 3.5
18%4.20
Under 1.5
37%2.54
Under 2.5
62%1.55
Under 3.5
82%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'V. Perlaza
34'J. Baylon
41'A. Acosta
46'J. Baylon INM. Curiel out
55'N. Marcos
56'
57'M. Curiel
69'J. Bazan INH. Arakaki out
69'A. Acosta INP. Vela out
69'V. Perlaza INJ. Zambrano out
80'S. Torres ING. Collante out
88'P. Toledo INA. Cano out
88'G. Morales INY. Tello out
88'R. M. Guerrero Fonseca INL. Flores out
88'A. Ramua INP. N. Rojas Ihuaraqui out

Team Comparison

SantosSantos
ComerciantesComerciantes
1530Elo Rating 1523
2.04Attack 0.92
2.22Defense 1.11
63%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

SantosSantos
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
ComerciantesComerciantes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SantosSantos0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
ComerciantesComerciantes7Wins · 70%
1.5Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Segunda División19/04/2026
ComerciantesSantos
10
Segunda División21/09/2025
SantosComerciantes
00
Segunda División16/08/2025
ComerciantesSantos
30
Segunda División25/05/2025
ComerciantesSantos
32
Segunda División05/04/2025
SantosComerciantes
11
Segunda División29/06/2024
ComerciantesSantos
10
Segunda División07/05/2024
SantosComerciantes
01
Segunda División02/10/2023
ComerciantesSantos
10
Segunda División15/08/2023
SantosComerciantes
00
Segunda División25/05/2023
ComerciantesSantos
10

Recent Form

SantosSantos
5W0D5L
26/07/2026
Ayacucho FCSantos
20
L
19/07/2026
SantosDeportivo Binacional
31
W
28/06/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasSantos
30
L
21/06/2026
SantosAyacucho FC
21
W
29/05/2026
SantosMinas
01
L
23/05/2026
Estudiantil CNISantos
30
L
16/05/2026
SantosTacna Heroica
21
W
04/05/2026
Alianza UniversidadSantos
12
W
25/04/2026
SantosSport Huancayo 2
20
W
19/04/2026
ComerciantesSantos
10
L
ComerciantesComerciantes
3W6D1L
24/07/2026
ComerciantesAlianza Universidad
10
W
18/07/2026
Sport Huancayo 2Comerciantes
11
D
11/07/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes
10
L
27/06/2026
ComerciantesEstudiantil CNI
00
D
20/06/2026
Union ComercioComerciantes
01
W
13/06/2026
ComerciantesSporting Cristal
11
D
22/05/2026
Ayacucho FCComerciantes
00
D
16/05/2026
ComerciantesDeportivo Binacional
30
W
08/05/2026
MinasComerciantes
00
D
03/05/2026
ComerciantesEstudiantil CNI
11
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bentín Tacna HeroicaBentín Tacna Heroica1685322:13+929DWLLD
2ComerciantesComerciantes1668224:15+926WLDDD
3MinasMinas1667325:12+1325WDWDW
4Sport Huancayo 2Sport Huancayo 21674522:13+925WWLWL
5Alianza UniversidadAlianza Universidad1656518:18021DDLWD
6SantosSantos1663719:22-321LWLDL
7Ayacucho FCAyacucho FC1654719:21-219LLWLW
8Estudiantil CNIEstudiantil CNI1645725:21+417DLWLD
9Deportivo BinacionalDeportivo Binacional16241010:49-3910DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bentín Tacna HeroicaBentín Tacna Heroica1622:1329
2ComerciantesComerciantes1624:1526
3MinasMinas1625:1225
4Sport Huancayo 2Sport Huancayo 21622:1325
5Alianza UniversidadAlianza Universidad1618:1821
6SantosSantos1619:2221
7Ayacucho FCAyacucho FC1619:2119
8Estudiantil CNIEstudiantil CNI1625:2117
9Deportivo BinacionalDeportivo Binacional1610:4910

About the Santos vs Comerciantes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santos and Comerciantes in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Comerciantes are 2nd and Santos 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Santos 19-22, Comerciantes 24-15. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Santos have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.