Santos vs Comerciantes Prediction

Santos
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Comerciantes
Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap+3.6%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel33%RiskHighGap+11.6%
Santos Rest
6 days
Comerciantes Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.30
X
29%2.90
2
41%3.06
Double Chance
1X
59%1.29
X2
70%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.94
No
56%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.41
Over 2.5
38%2.25
Over 3.5
18%4.20
Under 1.5
37%2.54
Under 2.5
62%1.55
Under 3.5
82%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'V. Perlaza
34'J. Baylon
41'A. Acosta
46'J. Baylon INM. Curiel out
55'N. Marcos
56'
57'M. Curiel
69'J. Bazan INH. Arakaki out
69'A. Acosta INP. Vela out
69'V. Perlaza INJ. Zambrano out
80'S. Torres ING. Collante out
88'P. Toledo INA. Cano out
88'G. Morales INY. Tello out
88'R. M. Guerrero Fonseca INL. Flores out
88'A. Ramua INP. N. Rojas Ihuaraqui out

Team Comparison

SantosSantos
ComerciantesComerciantes
1498Elo Rating 1578
1.61Attack 2.35
0.87Defense 1.50
23%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend31% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SantosSantos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ComerciantesComerciantes
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Santos 0%Draw 37%63% Comerciantes
1.96Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
36%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SantosSantos
2W0D3L
26/07/2026
Ayacucho FCSantos
20
L
19/07/2026
SantosDeportivo Binacional
31
W
28/06/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasSantos
30
L
21/06/2026
SantosAyacucho FC
21
W
29/05/2026
SantosMinas
01
L
ComerciantesComerciantes
2W2D1L
24/07/2026
ComerciantesAlianza Universidad
10
W
18/07/2026
Sport Huancayo 2Comerciantes
11
D
11/07/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes
10
L
27/06/2026
ComerciantesEstudiantil CNI
00
D
20/06/2026
Union ComercioComerciantes
01
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bentín Tacna HeroicaBentín Tacna Heroica1685322:13+929DWLWD
2ComerciantesComerciantes1668224:15+926WLDDD
3MinasMinas1667325:12+1325WDWDW
4Sport Huancayo 2Sport Huancayo 21674522:13+925WWLWL
5Alianza UniversidadAlianza Universidad1656518:18021DDLWD
6SantosSantos1663719:22-321LWLDL
7Ayacucho FCAyacucho FC1654719:21-219LLWLW
8Estudiantil CNIEstudiantil CNI1645725:21+417DLWLD
9Deportivo BinacionalDeportivo Binacional16241010:49-3910DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bentín Tacna HeroicaBentín Tacna Heroica1622:1329
2ComerciantesComerciantes1624:1526
3MinasMinas1625:1225
4Sport Huancayo 2Sport Huancayo 21622:1325
5Alianza UniversidadAlianza Universidad1618:1821
6SantosSantos1619:2221
7Ayacucho FCAyacucho FC1619:2119
8Estudiantil CNIEstudiantil CNI1625:2117
9Deportivo BinacionalDeportivo Binacional1610:4910

Santos vs Comerciantes Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Segunda División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Segunda División

ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Santos and Comerciantes have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.96 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.