Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina Prediction

Sao Jose
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Santa Catarina
Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel15%SurpriseHighGap-4.2%
Sao Jose Rest
14 days
Santa Catarina Rest
14 days

Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina: the result in context

Sao Jose and Santa Catarina drew 1-1 in the Serie D on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.43
X
32%2.79
2
28%2.98
Double Chance
1X
72%1.32
X2
60%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.15
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 0.93 = 1.97
Over 1.5
57%1.56
Over 2.5
31%2.73
Over 3.5
13%5.35
Under 1.5
43%2.21
Under 2.5
69%1.36
Under 3.5
87%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'Juninho
47'CorujaOG

Team Comparison

Sao JoseSao Jose
Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina
1507Elo Rating 1500
0.44Attack 0.45
1.64Defense 0.45
0%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Sao JoseSao Jose
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Sao JoseSao Jose
3W4D3L
07/06/2026
BlumenauSao Jose
01
W
01/06/2026
Sao JoseIndependiente FSJ
10
W
24/05/2026
Sao JoseMarcílio Dias
11
D
17/05/2026
Brasil DE PelotasSao Jose
00
D
10/05/2026
Sao JoseAzuriz
10
W
03/05/2026
AzurizSao Jose
11
D
25/04/2026
Sao JoseBrasil DE Pelotas
00
D
19/04/2026
Marcílio DiasSao Jose
21
L
12/04/2026
Independiente FSJSao Jose
10
L
04/04/2026
Sao JoseBlumenau
03
L
Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina
6W1D3L
07/06/2026
Santa CatarinaCascavel
10
W
31/05/2026
CianorteSanta Catarina
13
W
23/05/2026
Santa CatarinaSão Luiz
10
W
16/05/2026
Santa CatarinaJoinville
10
W
10/05/2026
Guarany de BagéSanta Catarina
10
L
02/05/2026
Santa CatarinaGuarany de Bagé
30
W
25/04/2026
JoinvilleSanta Catarina
21
L
18/04/2026
São LuizSanta Catarina
44
D
11/04/2026
Santa CatarinaCianorte
10
W
05/04/2026
CascavelSanta Catarina
10
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 7

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1061315:9+619WWWWL
2CianorteCianorte105149:8+116WLDWL
3CascavelCascavel104339:4+515LDWLW
4São LuizSão Luiz1043311:9+215WDLWW
5JoinvilleJoinville1043310:8+215LWDLL
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé101182:18-164LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1015:919
2CianorteCianorte109:816
3CascavelCascavel109:415
4São LuizSão Luiz1011:915
5JoinvilleJoinville1010:815
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé102:184

Group 8

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau1061314:8+619LWWLD
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias104429:5+416DLDWW
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103433:4-113DLDLD
4Sao JoseSao Jose103436:8-213WWDDW
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas102449:12-310DLDDL
6AzurizAzuriz102357:11-49DWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau1014:819
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias109:516
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103:413
4Sao JoseSao Jose106:813
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas109:1210
6AzurizAzuriz107:119
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About the Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sao Jose and Santa Catarina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.