SC Villa vs Mbarara City Prediction

SC Villa
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.0%
SC Villa Rest
5 days
Mbarara City Rest
11 days

SC Villa vs Mbarara City: result, form and history

SC Villa beat Mbarara City 2-0 in the Premier League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

SC Villa have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.21
X
17%4.90
2
10%12.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.04
X2
27%3.71
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'F. SsebuufuAssist: A. Okumu
85'N. Yiga

Team Comparison

SC VillaSC Villa
Mbarara CityMbarara City
1603Elo Rating 1438
1.74Attack 0.54
1.46Defense 2.36
23%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SC VillaSC Villa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mbarara CityMbarara City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC VillaSC Villa7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Mbarara CityMbarara City2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League13/05/2026
Mbarara CitySC Villa
13
Premier League28/01/2026
SC VillaMbarara City
61
Premier League16/04/2025
Mbarara CitySC Villa
02
Premier League16/09/2024
SC VillaMbarara City
42
Premier League30/03/2024
SC VillaMbarara City
21
Premier League25/11/2023
Mbarara CitySC Villa
00
Premier League19/04/2022
SC VillaMbarara City
21
Premier League30/11/2021
Mbarara CitySC Villa
10
Premier League24/04/2021
Mbarara CitySC Villa
21
Premier League09/12/2020
SC VillaMbarara City
30

Recent Form

SC VillaSC Villa
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
LifofaneSC Villa
30
L
14/10/2026
PoliceSC Villa
16
W
11/10/2026
SC VillaLMPS
11
D
07/10/2026
KatakaSC Villa
11
D
03/10/2026
SC VillaMembers
01
L
15/09/2026
LDFSC Villa
10
L
15/09/2026
SC VillaKigezi HomeBoyz
30
W
09/09/2026
SC VillaExpress
20
W
06/09/2026
SC VillaLCS
21
W
04/09/2026
URASC Villa
01
W
Mbarara CityMbarara City
4W2D4L
11/10/2026
Mbarara CityBlacks Power
21
W
07/10/2026
NtugasazeMbarara City
10
L
16/09/2026
Mbarara CityEntebbe UPPC
00
D
11/09/2026
Mbarara CityNEC
00
D
29/08/2026
PoliceMbarara City
10
L
23/05/2026
KCCAMbarara City
41
L
19/05/2026
Mbarara CityBuhimba Saints
20
W
13/05/2026
Mbarara CitySC Villa
13
L
06/05/2026
LugaziMbarara City
01
W
28/04/2026
Mbarara CityExpress
21
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BULBUL761015:4+1119WWDWW
2SC VillaSC Villa752016:3+1317WWDWW
3NECNEC742112:4+814LWDWD
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC74217:2+514WDWDL
5VipersVipers632113:2+1111DWDWW
6MaroonsMaroons731313:8+510WDWLL
7KCCAKCCA63124:4010WWWDL
8Blacks PowerBlacks Power63036:9-39LLLWW
9KitaraKitara42205:3+28WWDD
10UPDFUPDF62224:5-18LWWDL
11LugaziLugazi72234:9-58DDLLW
12PolicePolice72234:10-68DLLWD
13ExpressExpress71334:6-26DLDDL
14Mbarara CityMbarara City61232:5-35LWLDD
15URAURA51133:7-44DLLLW
16NtugasazeNtugasaze61053:13-103LWLLL
17KatakaKataka70254:17-132LLLDL
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz60151:9-81LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BULBUL715:419
2SC VillaSC Villa716:317
3NECNEC712:414
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC77:214
5VipersVipers613:211
6MaroonsMaroons713:810
7KCCAKCCA64:410
8Blacks PowerBlacks Power66:99
9KitaraKitara45:38
10UPDFUPDF64:58
11LugaziLugazi74:98
12PolicePolice74:108
13ExpressExpress74:66
14Mbarara CityMbarara City62:55
15URAURA53:74
16NtugasazeNtugasaze63:133
17KatakaKataka74:172
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz61:91

About the SC Villa vs Mbarara City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Villa and Mbarara City in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, SC Villa are 2nd and Mbarara City 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Villa 16-3, Mbarara City 2-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.