Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction

Shamrock Rovers
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Derry City
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin 22/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Shamrock Rovers Rest
3 days
Derry City Rest
3 days

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City: result, form and history

Shamrock Rovers and Derry City drew 1-1 in the Premier Division on 22 Jun 2026. Shamrock Rovers had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Derry City.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.80
X
27%3.40
2
20%4.37
Double Chance
1X
80%1.20
X2
48%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.93
No
50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 0.86 = 2.62
Over 1.5
74%1.36
Over 2.5
48%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.80
Under 1.5
26%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'J. McCleanFoul
24'K. Santos IND. Markey out
25'L. BoyceAssist: J. McClean
45+4'B. FlemingFoul
50'C. DummiganFoul
56'D. Markey INC. Winchester out
56'C. Dummigan INJ. Olayinka out
56'G. BurkeFoul
61'L. BoyceFoul
70'D. Watts INJ. McGovern out
70'G. Burke INN. Razi out
70'C. O'Sullivan INJ. O'Sullivan out
70'M. Noonan INA. Greene out
72'L. Boyce INT. Doherty out
72'J. McClean INL. Kelly out
76'J. Mulraney INM. Kovalevskis out
77'C. WinchesterFoul
83'A. GreeneAssist: J. McGovern
89'A. BrennanFoul

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
3-5-2
Derry City
4-2-3-1
Ed McGinty1E. McGinty
Lee Grace5L. Grace
Enda Stevens3E. Stevens
Tunmise Sobowale22T. Sobowale
Adam Brennan19A. Brennan
Matthew Healy8M. Healy
Dylan Watts7D. Watts
Jake Mulraney11J. Mulraney
Jack Byrne29J. Byrne
Graham Burke10G. Burke
Aaron Greene9A. Greene
Eddie Beach13E. Beach
James Olayinka28J. Olayinka
Conor Barr22C. Barr
Patrick McClean3P. McClean
Brandon Fleming19B. Fleming
Adam O'Reilly8A. O'Reilly
Cameron Dummigan23C. Dummigan
Kévin Santos21K. Santos
Darragh Markey10D. Markey
Michael Duffy7M. Duffy
James Clarke15J. Clarke

Shamrock Rovers Substitutes

Derry City Substitutes

Team Comparison

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
Derry CityDerry City
1606Elo Rating 1609
1.94Attack 1.47
1.50Defense 1.90
54%Hit Rate 56%
11.9Shots per Game 17.3
4.6Shots on Target 5.3
6.3Corners per Game 4.9
2.9Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Derry CityDerry City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Derry CityDerry City3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division24/04/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
10
Premier Division06/03/2026
Shamrock RoversDerry City
10
FAI President's Cup31/01/2026
Shamrock RoversDerry City
01
Premier Division26/10/2025
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
21
Premier Division03/08/2025
Shamrock RoversDerry City
20
Premier Division23/05/2025
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
12
Premier Division28/03/2025
Shamrock RoversDerry City
00
Premier Division20/09/2024
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
11
Premier Division20/05/2024
Shamrock RoversDerry City
10
Premier Division19/04/2024
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
13

Recent Form

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
6W0D4L
19/06/2026
WaterfordShamrock Rovers
02
W
12/06/2026
ShelbourneShamrock Rovers
21
L
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
W
25/05/2026
BohemiansShamrock Rovers
12
W
22/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
L
15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
L
08/05/2026
Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
13
W
04/05/2026
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
41
W
01/05/2026
Shamrock RoversWaterford
10
W
24/04/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
10
L
Derry CityDerry City
2W5D3L
19/06/2026
Galway UnitedDerry City
21
L
12/06/2026
Derry CityBohemians
41
W
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
L
25/05/2026
Derry CityShelbourne
00
D
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
08/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
10
L
04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
D
01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
D
24/04/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
10
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Shamrock Rovers and Derry City in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st and Derry City 5th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Shamrock Rovers 59-38, Derry City 50-47. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.