Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk Prediction

Shinnik, Yaroslavl 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Rest
8 days
Ska-khabarovsk Rest
9 days

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk: the result in context

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ska-khabarovsk drew 0-0 in the First League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ska-khabarovsk have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Shinnik Yaroslavl tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.0 for Ska-khabarovsk.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.81
X
24%3.69
2
22%4.04
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
46%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.90
No
51%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.88 = 2.39
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.11
Over 3.5
25%3.72
Under 1.5
30%2.97
Under 2.5
54%1.74
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Egor Mosin
17'Konstantin Savichev
46'Egor Mosin INIgor Shkolik out
46'Aleksandr Mukhin INDaniil Borisov out
56'Eduard Valiakhmetov
63'Dmitri Samoilov INDaniil Martovoy out
63'Albek Gongapshev INDenis Pushkarev out
63'Ivan Shmakov INArtem Golubev out
65'Maxim Maksimov INJacobo Alcalde out
66'Arshak Koryan INMikheil Gorelishvili out
71'Yaroslav Grebenkin
80'Sadyg Bagiev INEldar Bliev out
83'Denis Mironov INDanila Yanov out
90+3'

Lineups

Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Boyarintsev
Ska-khabarovsk
3-4-2-1Coach: Sergey Zhukov
N. Yanovich66N. Yanovich
N. Kotin53N. Kotin
V. Karpov62V. Karpov
E. Valiakhmetov17E. Valiakhmetov
M. Karaev49M. Karaev
I. Shmakov54I. Shmakov
D. Samoylov15D. Samoylov
I. Azyavin24I. Azyavin
O. Lanin64O. Lanin
A. Gongapshev10A. Gongapshev
D. Mironov88D. Mironov
M. Shtepa1M. Shtepa
Y. Grebenkin84Y. Grebenkin
K. Savichev4K. Savichev
A. Mukhin29A. Mukhin
A. Zhirov2A. Zhirov
S. Bagiev6S. Bagiev
D. Markitesov8D. Markitesov
E. Mosin14E. Mosin
A. Koryan77A. Koryan
K. Aliev10K. Aliev
M. Maksimov21M. Maksimov

Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes

13D. Yanov83'for Denis Mironov
95D. Vambolt
21D. Pushkarev63'for Albek Gongapshev
7D. Martovoy63'for Dmitri Samoilov
33A. Lavrenkov
14gleb kalinin
50A. Golubev63'for Ivan Shmakov
27A. Cherny
19Y. Arbuzov
77A. Antonov

Ska-khabarovsk Substitutes

20I. Shkolik46'for Egor Mosin
91E. Noskov
31D. Nagaev
24M. Gorelishvili66'for Arshak Koryan
17D. Fomin
37Makar Chirkov
63D. Borisov46'for Aleksandr Mukhin
5E. Bliev80'for Sadyg Bagiev
9Jacobo Alcalde65'for Maxim Maksimov

Match Stats

Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
2Total Shots1
2Shots on Goal1
0Shots off Goal0
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
1499Elo Rating 1407
0.66Attack 1.45
1.67Defense 1.74
19%Hit Rate 23%
5.2Shots per Game 9.1
2.6Shots on Target 5.0
6.7Corners per Game 4.0
1.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk6Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First League26/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
30
First League05/10/2025
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
31
First League09/03/2025
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
01
First League10/08/2024
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
00
First League12/05/2024
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
21
First League16/07/2023
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
20
First League27/05/2023
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
10
First League06/11/2022
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
31
First League05/12/2020
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
23
First League30/08/2020
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
21

Recent Form

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
3W5D2L
18/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlKAMAZ
01
L
14/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlUral
11
D
10/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
20
W
05/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
22
D
30/08/2026
EniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
00
D
22/08/2026
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
13
W
14/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikShinnik Yaroslavl
02
W
08/08/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula
22
D
02/08/2026
Nizhny NovgorodShinnik Yaroslavl
30
L
26/07/2026
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
2W2D6L
18/09/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
11
D
13/09/2026
Arsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
22
D
09/09/2026
Znamya NoginskSka-khabarovsk
04
W
05/09/2026
LeningradetsSka-khabarovsk
32
L
30/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskTorpedo Moskva
02
L
24/08/2026
Nizhny NovgorodSka-khabarovsk
42
L
15/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskVeles
20
W
09/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskSpartak Kostroma
13
L
02/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskUral
03
L
26/07/2026
FC UFASka-khabarovsk
10
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod14121143:15+2837WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi1492323:14+929WWDWL
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
5VelesVeles1583420:18+227DWLDL
6UralUral1474322:10+1225LLWWD
7FC UFAFC UFA1456318:14+421WLDLD
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
9Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
10Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1553720:22-218WDWLL
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1444615:26-1116LWLDL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1443718:23-515LWDWD
13EniseyEnisey1435616:27-1114LLDWL
14KAMAZKAMAZ1434716:23-713WDWDL
15LeningradetsLeningradets1434711:25-1413LLWLD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik14401010:21-1112LLLLW
17TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1424810:22-1210WLLDL
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1414915:28-137LDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1443:1537
2FC SochiFC Sochi1423:1429
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
5VelesVeles1520:1827
6UralUral1422:1025
7FC UFAFC UFA1418:1421
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
9Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
10Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1520:2218
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1415:2616
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1418:2315
13EniseyEnisey1416:2714
14KAMAZKAMAZ1416:2313
15LeningradetsLeningradets1411:2513
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1410:2112
17TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1410:2210
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1415:287

About the Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ska-khabarovsk in the First League table

In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 8th and Ska-khabarovsk 18th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Shinnik Yaroslavl 18-14, Ska-khabarovsk 15-28. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.