Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka 03/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-9.2%
Shonan Bellmare Rest
3 days
Sagan Tosu Rest
3 days

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu: result, form and history

Sagan Tosu beat Shonan Bellmare 1-0 in the J2 League on 3 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.85
X
28%3.27
2
36%2.33
Double Chance
1X
65%1.53
X2
64%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.17 = 2.55
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.77
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'T. Ando
32'H. Matsumoto INS. Matsumura out
46'S. Kozuki INW. Shimoguchi out
56'W. Shimoguchi
63'K. Nishizawa INH. Nakahara out
72'H. Yamada INF. Gonzalez out
72'T. Nishino INH. Okuno out
72'T. Takahashi INH. Goto out
78'K. Abe
82'H. Ishii INK. Onose out
85'H. GotoAssist: R. Shiohama
85'M. Yoshida INK. Yoshino out

Team Comparison

Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
Sagan TosuSagan Tosu
1462Elo Rating 1484
0.70Attack 0.74
2.00Defense 1.87
19%Hit Rate 44%

Game State Tendencies

Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
Sagan TosuSagan Tosu
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare4Wins · 45%
Draws222%
Sagan TosuSagan Tosu3Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

J2/J3 League06/06/2026
Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
10
J1 League31/08/2024
Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
12
J1 League06/05/2024
Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu
21
J1 League24/06/2023
Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu
06
J1 League18/02/2023
Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
15
J1 League29/10/2022
Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu
30
J1 League26/02/2022
Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
11
J1 League16/10/2021
Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
11
J1 League27/02/2021
Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu
01

Recent Form

Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
3W5D2L
31/10/2026
Consadole SapporoShonan Bellmare
10
L
25/10/2026
Shonan BellmareTochigi City
21
W
21/10/2026
Shonan BellmareIwaki
11
D
17/10/2026
Kataller ToyamaShonan Bellmare
11
D
11/10/2026
Shonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
11
D
07/10/2026
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare
40
L
03/10/2026
Fujieda MYFCShonan Bellmare
11
D
26/09/2026
ImabariShonan Bellmare
12
W
19/09/2026
Shonan BellmareBlaublitz Akita
11
D
12/09/2026
Vanraure HachinoheShonan Bellmare
01
W
Sagan TosuSagan Tosu
5W0D5L
31/10/2026
Jubilo IwataSagan Tosu
20
L
28/10/2026
Sagan TosuKawasaki Frontale
02
L
25/10/2026
Sagan TosuVanraure Hachinohe
20
W
21/10/2026
Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu
21
L
17/10/2026
Sagan TosuOmiya Ardija
21
W
14/10/2026
Sagan TosuAvispa Fukuoka
21
W
10/10/2026
Sagan TosuFujieda MYFC
10
W
04/10/2026
Blaublitz AkitaSagan Tosu
10
L
29/09/2026
Sagan TosuTokyo Verdy
2111
W
26/09/2026
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
20
L

League Table

J2 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Omiya ArdijaOmiya Ardija1796232:19+1333LLWWL
2Tegevajaro MiyazakiTegevajaro Miyazaki1795329:18+1132WWWDW
3Albirex NiigataAlbirex Niigata17102524:27-332WDWWL
4Kataller ToyamaKataller Toyama1694329:15+1431WDWWW
5Yokohama FCYokohama FC1794432:19+1331WWDDW
6Vegalta SendaiVegalta Sendai1693428:15+1330DWLWW
7Consadole SapporoConsadole Sapporo1682622:19+326WWWWW
8Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare1768318:15+326LLWLD
9IwakiIwaki1672726:22+423LLDLL
10Jubilo IwataJubilo Iwata1665519:17+223LWDDW
11Oita TrinitaOita Trinita1757520:20022LLWLL
12Blaublitz AkitaBlaublitz Akita1655618:18020DLWWL
13Sagan TosuSagan Tosu1662816:19-320WWDDW
14Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC1747618:21-319WDDDL
15Montedio YamagataMontedio Yamagata17611015:18-319LLLDL
16Tokushima VortisTokushima Vortis1652912:17-517LLLDL
17Tochigi CityTochigi City17431027:32-515WDDWL
18Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe16421011:26-1514DLLLW
19ImabariImabari16331016:32-1612WWLWL
20Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu17331112:35-2312DWLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Omiya ArdijaOmiya Ardija1732:1933
2Tegevajaro MiyazakiTegevajaro Miyazaki1729:1832
3Albirex NiigataAlbirex Niigata1724:2732
4Kataller ToyamaKataller Toyama1629:1531
5Yokohama FCYokohama FC1732:1931
6Vegalta SendaiVegalta Sendai1628:1530
7Consadole SapporoConsadole Sapporo1622:1926
8Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare1718:1526
9IwakiIwaki1626:2223
10Jubilo IwataJubilo Iwata1619:1723
11Oita TrinitaOita Trinita1720:2022
12Blaublitz AkitaBlaublitz Akita1618:1820
13Sagan TosuSagan Tosu1616:1920
14Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC1718:2119
15Montedio YamagataMontedio Yamagata1715:1819
16Tokushima VortisTokushima Vortis1612:1717
17Tochigi CityTochigi City1727:3215
18Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe1611:2614
19ImabariImabari1616:3212
20Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu1712:3512
PromotionRelegation

About the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu in the J2 League table

In the J2 League table, Shonan Bellmare are 8th and Sagan Tosu 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Shonan Bellmare 18-15, Sagan Tosu 16-19. The full standings are on the J2 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.