Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction

Smouha SC
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Smouha SC Rest
28 days
Ghazl El Mehalla Rest
4 days

Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla: the result in context

Smouha SC beat Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 in the Premier League on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.27
X
35%2.59
2
25%3.67
Double Chance
1X
76%1.24
X2
60%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.67
No
65%1.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 0.87 = 1.98
Over 1.5
53%1.79
Over 2.5
27%3.48
Over 3.5
12%7.80
Under 1.5
47%1.91
Under 2.5
73%1.26
Under 3.5
88%1.05
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'P. BadjiAssist: K. El Ghandour
45'P. BadjiFoul
46'A. Emad INM. Ekbad out
46'M. Abdelsalam INA. Yasser out
46'M. RagabFoul
61'M. Farouk INA. Samadou out
61'P. Badji INF. Farid out
61'Makarona ING. Chukwudi out
63'A. Yehia INA. Gomaa out
72'M. Ashraf INR. Arfaoui out
76'A. Gamal INM. Adel out
84'R. ArfaouiFoul
85'K. El Ghandour INC. Niyigena out
85'A. Shika INA. Etman out
90+4'K. MohamedFoul

Lineups

Smouha SC
4-1-4-1
Ghazl El Mehalla
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.58
Ahmed Mayhoub6.928A. Mayhoub
Ali Gamal6.930A. Gamal
Mohamed Ragab7.024M. Ragab
Mohamed Desouki7.33M. Desouki
Abdelghani Mohamed6.921A. Mohamed
Mohamed Kone7.266M. Kone
Mohamed Farouk6.611M. Farouk
Samir Fekri7.38S. Fekri
Khaled El Ghandour7.010K. El Ghandour
Mohamed SaeedC6.614M. Saeed
Pape Badji7.320P. Badji
Amer Mohamed6.616A. Mohamed
Fares Nechat Djabri6.323F. Nechat Djabri
Ahmed El Aash7.73A. El Aash
Ahmed Shousha6.64A. Shousha
Yehia Zakaria6.512Y. Zakaria
Mory Touré7.020M. Touré
Abdel Rahman Shika7.317A. Rahman Shika
Mohamed Ashraf6.27M. Ashraf
Moaz Abdel Salam6.38M. Abdel Salam
Abdel Rahman Emad6.314A. Rahman Emad
Abdo YehiaC6.363A. Yehia

Smouha SC Substitutes

1Hussein Taimor
13Clement Niyigena85'for K. El Ghandour
19Mohamed Adel76'for A. Gamal6.6
22Mohamed Abdelsamia
17Ahmed El Nadry
15Samadou Attidjikou61'for M. Farouk6.6
27Hesham Balaha
23Fady Farid61'for P. Badji6.6
29Gabriel Chukwudi6.0

Ghazl El Mehalla Substitutes

44Ahmed Yasser46'for M. Abdelsalam6.3
11Mohamed Salem Ekbad46'for A. Emad6.3
25Mohamed Koko
15Ahmed Gamal
10Bassam Walid
5Abdel Fattah Sheta
22Ahmed Etman85'for A. Shika
9Rached Arfaoui72'replaced by M. Ashraf84'6.5
30Amr Gomaa63'replaced by A. Yehia6.5

Match Stats

Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls12
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
413Total Passes451
333Passes Accurate353
81%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Smouha SCSmouha SC
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla
1457Elo Rating 1408
0.96Attack 0.87
2.53Defense 1.72
69%Hit Rate 27%
10.3Shots per Game 13.0
3.1Shots on Target 2.2
3.8Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.7

Game State Tendencies

Smouha SCSmouha SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Smouha SCSmouha SC3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla3Wins · 30%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup27/11/2025
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
31
Premier League16/08/2025
Ghazl El MehallaSmouha SC
00
Premier League11/04/2025
Ghazl El MehallaSmouha SC
10
Premier League26/12/2024
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
24
Premier League02/05/2023
Ghazl El MehallaSmouha SC
02
Premier League30/12/2022
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
00
Premier League31/07/2022
Ghazl El MehallaSmouha SC
10
Premier League27/02/2022
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
20
Premier League06/04/2021
Ghazl El MehallaSmouha SC
11
Premier League14/12/2020
Smouha SCGhazl El Mehalla
11

Recent Form

Smouha SCSmouha SC
1W1D8L
14/09/2026
El GeishSmouha SC
01
W
08/09/2026
Smouha SCCeramica Cleopatra
02
L
03/09/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
10
L
26/08/2026
Smouha SCAsyut Petrol
00
D
22/08/2026
AL MasrySmouha SC
10
L
20/05/2026
Pyramids FCSmouha SC
21
L
05/05/2026
Smouha SCZamalek SC
01
L
27/04/2026
Smouha SCAL Masry
01
L
22/04/2026
Smouha SCCeramica Cleopatra
02
L
11/04/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
21
L
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla
2W3D5L
08/10/2026
Ghazl El MehallaAbu Qair Semad
11
D
16/09/2026
Ghazl El MehallaZamalek SC
01
L
07/09/2026
National Bank of EgyptGhazl El Mehalla
31
L
01/09/2026
Ghazl El MehallaEnppi
00
D
27/08/2026
Future FCGhazl El Mehalla
20
L
22/08/2026
Ghazl El MehallaPyramids FC
03
L
29/05/2026
Ghazl El MehallaHaras El Hodood
42
W
23/05/2026
Future FCGhazl El Mehalla
00
D
18/05/2026
Ghazl El MehallaAl Ittihad
10
W
13/05/2026
MasrGhazl El Mehalla
32
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC770017:3+1421WWWWW
2Al AhlyAl Ahly752014:6+817DWWDW
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC75119:3+616WLWWW
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra750213:7+615WLWWW
5Future FCFuture FC741212:9+313LWWWL
6Al IttihadAl Ittihad74129:6+313LWWWW
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon732210:6+411WDWDW
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt83239:9011DDWLW
9MasrMasr73228:8011WDWLW
10Smouha SCSmouha SC73134:4010WWWLL
11AL MasryAL Masry82338:10-29DDDLL
12Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah71519:908DDLDD
13PetrojetPetrojet722310:12-28LDWWL
14Wadi DeglaWadi Degla71427:8-17DDLLD
15El GeishEl Geish72146:12-67LLLDL
16Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol71243:7-45LWLLL
17EnppiEnppi71158:15-74LLLWD
18Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla71153:11-84WLLLD
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad71153:11-84DLLLL
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC70254:10-62LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC717:321
2Al AhlyAl Ahly714:617
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC79:316
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra713:715
5Future FCFuture FC712:913
6Al IttihadAl Ittihad79:613
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon710:611
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt89:911
9MasrMasr78:811
10Smouha SCSmouha SC74:410
11AL MasryAL Masry88:109
12Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah79:98
13PetrojetPetrojet710:128
14Wadi DeglaWadi Degla77:87
15El GeishEl Geish76:127
16Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol73:75
17EnppiEnppi78:154
18Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla73:114
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad73:114
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC74:102
PromotionRelegation

About the Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Smouha SC and Ghazl El Mehalla in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Smouha SC are 10th and Ghazl El Mehalla 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Smouha SC 4-4, Ghazl El Mehalla 3-11. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.