South Melbourne vs Altona Magic Prediction

07/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.53
SignalHIGHModel34%SurpriseHigh
South Melbourne Rest
8 days
Altona Magic Rest
7 days

South Melbourne vs Altona Magic: result, form and history

Altona Magic beat South Melbourne 3-2 in the Victoria NPL on 7 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

South Melbourne have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.60
X
30%3.95
2
22%4.70
Double Chance
1X
78%1.13
X2
51%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.57
No
46%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.19 = 2.54
Over 1.5
69%1.14
Over 2.5
44%1.55
Over 3.5
25%2.38
Under 1.5
31%4.45
Under 2.5
56%2.35
Under 3.5
75%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'J. Painter-Andrews
22'J. Swibel
38'J. Diaz LopezOG
66'O. McCloskey
68'J. Mabok

Team Comparison

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
Altona MagicAltona Magic
1569Elo Rating 1411
1.39Attack 0.72
2.63Defense 1.72
61%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo

Game State Tendencies

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Altona MagicAltona Magic
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Altona MagicAltona Magic1Wins · 10%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL28/02/2026
Altona MagicSouth Melbourne
12
Victoria NPL19/07/2025
South MelbourneAltona Magic
20
Victoria NPL05/04/2025
Altona MagicSouth Melbourne
00
Victoria NPL21/06/2024
South MelbourneAltona Magic
40
Victoria NPL16/03/2024
Altona MagicSouth Melbourne
14
Victoria NPL29/07/2023
Altona MagicSouth Melbourne
14
Victoria NPL30/04/2023
South MelbourneAltona Magic
51
Victoria NPL23/07/2022
South MelbourneAltona Magic
20
Victoria NPL25/04/2022
Altona MagicSouth Melbourne
01
Victoria NPL26/06/2021
South MelbourneAltona Magic
12

Recent Form

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
3W1D6L
30/05/2026
Hume CitySouth Melbourne
11
D
25/05/2026
South MelbourneAvondale
04
L
24/05/2026
South MelbourneAuckland FC 2
12
L
20/05/2026
South MelbourneVanuatu United
40
W
18/05/2026
South MelbourneSunshine Georgies
04
L
08/05/2026
Heidelberg UnitedSouth Melbourne
40
L
01/05/2026
South MelbourneMelbourne City II
12
L
24/04/2026
St. Albans SaintsSouth Melbourne
04
W
19/04/2026
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
03
L
11/04/2026
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
03
W
Altona MagicAltona Magic
2W4D4L
30/05/2026
Altona MagicOakleigh Cannons
02
L
23/05/2026
Altona MagicHume City
13
L
16/05/2026
Altona MagicPreston Lions
10
W
09/05/2026
AvondaleAltona Magic
51
L
02/05/2026
Altona MagicDandenong City
10
W
25/04/2026
Sunshine GeorgiesAltona Magic
11
D
18/04/2026
Altona MagicDandenong Thunder
24
L
11/04/2026
Heidelberg UnitedAltona Magic
22
D
28/03/2026
Altona MagicGreen Gully
11
D
22/03/2026
Melbourne City IIAltona Magic
11
D

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the South Melbourne vs Altona Magic forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

South Melbourne and Altona Magic in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, South Melbourne are 5th and Altona Magic 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: South Melbourne 39-36, Altona Magic 28-42. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.