Sparta Praha vs Zlin Prediction

Sparta Praha
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Zlin
epet ARENA, Prague·Jakub Wulkan, Czechia 31/07/2026
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
3-1
Finished
ZlinZlin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Sparta Praha Rest
5 days
Zlin Rest
6 days

Sparta Praha vs Zlin: the result in context

Sparta Praha beat Zlin 3-1 in the Czech Liga on 31 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sparta Praha have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Sparta Praha tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.9 for Zlin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.20
X
17%6.00
2
7%11.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.04
X2
24%4.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.01
No
47%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.82 = 2.82
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
58%1.48
Over 3.5
32%2.20
Under 1.5
18%5.20
Under 2.5
42%2.52
Under 3.5
68%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.5
66%1.38
Over 9.5
60%1.61
Over 10.5
47%1.98
Under 8.5
34%2.76
Under 9.5
40%2.15
Under 10.5
53%1.73
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'S. PetrutaHolding
14'A. Irving
21'T. UlbrichHolding
23'L. Haraslin(Penalty missed)
46'S. Kanu IND. Smiga out
57'D. Smiga
60'J. BrunesAssist: M. Suchomel
62'L. Haraslin INM. Rynes out
62'H. Sochurek INS. Eneme out
66'A. Karabec(Penalty)
67'S. Petruta INT. Hellebrand out
67'M. Pisoja INL. Bartosak out
73'J. Brunes INM. Vojta out
83'A. Karabec IND. Holly out
83'J. Alcocer ING. Kuol out
84'T. Ulbrich INT. Poznar out
84'F. Appiah INA. Gazi out
86'L. BartosakRoughing
89'D. HollyHolding

Lineups

Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Priske
Zlin
4-2-3-1Coach: Bronislav Cervenka
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.23
Jakub Surovčík6.644J. Surovčík
Martin Suchomel5.92M. Suchomel
Adam Ševinský6.219A. Ševinský
Asger Sørensen8.025A. Sørensen
John Mercado6.317J. Mercado
Andy Irving8.218A. Irving
Hugo Sochurek7.338H. Sochurek
Josimar Alcócer6.37J. Alcócer
Adam Karabec8.210A. Karabec
Lukáš HaraslínC6.022L. Haraslín
Jonatan Braut Brunes7.914J. Braut Brunes
Stanislav Dostal6.217S. Dostal
Miloš KopečnýC6.523M. Kopečný
Jakub Černín5.224J. Černín
Antonín Křapka5.939A. Křapka
Michal Fukala6.022M. Fukala
Stanislav Petruta6.710S. Petruta
Michal Cupak6.026M. Cupak
Marián Pišoja5.282M. Pišoja
Tom Ulbrich6.34T. Ulbrich
Frank Appiah6.220F. Appiah
Stanley Kanu6.314S. Kanu

Sparta Praha Substitutes

5Santiago Eneme62'for H. Sochurek6.6
11Matěj Ryneš62'for L. Haraslin7.3
29Matyáš Vojta73'for J. Brunes6.5
47Krisztián Hegyi
30Jaroslav Zelený
15Viktor Vitályos
3Pavel Kadeřábek
21Joao Grimaldo
36Garang Kuol83'for J. Alcocer6.6
9Jan Kuchta
24Dominik Hollý83'for A. Karabec89'6.3

Zlin Substitutes

9Daniel Šmiga46'for S. Kanu57'7.3
31Lukas Bartosak67'replaced by M. Pisoja86'6.6
53Tomas Hellebrand67'for S. Petruta6.7
64Stepan Bachurek
21David Grygera
11Adam Gaži84'for F. Appiah6.3
28Jakub Kolar
37Tomas Fojtu
88Tomáš Poznar84'for T. Ulbrich6.3
13Filip Dornak
18Moustapha Toure

Match Stats

Sparta PrahaZlin
67%Ball Possession33%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots3
14Fouls14
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
492Total Passes241
439Passes Accurate190
89%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
ZlinZlin
1696Elo Rating 1450
1.10Attack 0.91
1.50Defense 1.34
17%Hit Rate 0%
15.4Shots per Game 9.3
5.1Shots on Target 4.0
5.2Corners per Game 2.9
3.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+246 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
ZlinZlin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha9Wins · 90%
Draws110%
ZlinZlin0Wins · 0%
3.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga08/02/2026
ZlinSparta Praha
03
Czech Liga31/08/2025
Sparta PrahaZlin
31
Czech Liga26/11/2023
Sparta PrahaZlin
20
Czech Liga29/07/2023
ZlinSparta Praha
01
Czech Liga25/02/2023
ZlinSparta Praha
23
Czech Liga03/09/2022
Sparta PrahaZlin
00
Czech Liga27/02/2022
Sparta PrahaZlin
20
Czech Liga25/09/2021
ZlinSparta Praha
25
Czech Liga20/02/2021
ZlinSparta Praha
03
Czech Liga20/09/2020
Sparta PrahaZlin
31

Recent Form

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
6W1D3L
25/07/2026
Zbrojovka BrnoSparta Praha
31
L
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandSparta Praha
51
L
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
L
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
W
04/07/2026
Sparta PrahaOpava
41
W
24/05/2026
Sparta PrahaHradec Králové
21
W
17/05/2026
Slovan LiberecSparta Praha
02
W
12/05/2026
Sparta PrahaPlzen
00
D
09/05/2026
Slavia PrahaSparta Praha
03
W
03/05/2026
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
20
W
ZlinZlin
4W1D5L
25/07/2026
ZlinBaník Ostrava
01
L
18/07/2026
Slask WroclawZlin
31
L
15/07/2026
Polonia WarszawaZlin
02
W
10/07/2026
ZlinDukla Banská Bystrica
21
W
08/07/2026
ZlinHapoel Tel Aviv
12
L
03/07/2026
AS TrencinZlin
13
W
27/06/2026
ZlinSkalica
12
L
27/06/2026
ZlinHanácká
02
L
20/06/2026
ZlinPetržalka
33
D
23/05/2026
ZlinSlovácko
10
W

Referee Profile

Jakub Wulkan47 matches

3.96Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jakub Wulkan3.96
Other referees4.15

3.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.15).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha14104036:8+2834WWDDW
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1382316:8+826WWLLD
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1474322:15+725DWDWL
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1473426:14+1224DDWDW
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1473422:20+224LWDWD
6TepliceTeplice1463522:22021LWDLD
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1463516:18-221DLWLW
8PlzenPlzen1455429:22+720DWLWW
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051455415:15020LWDDW
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1462617:22-520LLDWL
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1453617:18-118WLLDL
12PardubicePardubice1452719:20-117WLWWL
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1342710:23-1314WLDLD
14ArtisArtis1424815:28-1310LLDDW
15SlováckoSlovácko1424813:26-1310WLLLW
16ZlinZlin14031111:27-163LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1436:834
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1316:826
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1422:1525
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1426:1424
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1422:2024
6TepliceTeplice1422:2221
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1416:1821
8PlzenPlzen1429:2220
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051415:1520
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1417:2220
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1417:1818
12PardubicePardubice1419:2017
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1310:2314
14ArtisArtis1415:2810
15SlováckoSlovácko1413:2610
16ZlinZlin1411:273
Relegation

About the Sparta Praha vs Zlin forecast

The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sparta Praha and Zlin in the Czech Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Sparta Praha are 4th in the Czech Liga, while Zlin sit 16th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 26-14, Zlin 11-27. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.