Sporting Gijon vs Eldense Prediction

Sporting Gijon
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Eldense
13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Sporting Gijon Rest
7 days
Eldense Rest
7 days

Sporting Gijon vs Eldense: the result in context

Eldense beat Sporting Gijon 1-0 in the Segunda División on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Sporting Gijon had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Eldense.

Sporting Gijon have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.69
X
26%3.60
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
48%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.93
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.83 = 2.24
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
43%1.99
Over 3.5
22%3.50
Under 1.5
31%3.25
Under 2.5
57%1.81
Under 3.5
78%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.8 = 9.1
Over 8.5
57%1.49
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
33%2.35
Under 8.5
43%2.41
Under 9.5
55%1.91
Under 10.5
67%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.41
Over 4.5
38%1.83
Under 3.5
43%2.77
Under 4.5
62%1.83

Match Events

36'Pablo VázquezFoul
38'Alejandro IbarrondoFoul
40'Justin SmithFoul
59'Roberto López INGuillermo Macho Muñoz out
61'Nacho Martín INMamadou Loum out
63'FidelArgument
63'Juan OteroArgument
69'Nikita Iosifov INKonrad de la Fuente out
69'Andres Cuenca INPablo García out
70'Alejo Sarco INAntonio Manuel Casas Marin out
73'Manuel Nieto INJavi Martínez out
73'David Ruiz INIker Recio Ortega out
73'Carlos Guirao Mora INJorge Rastrojo out
76'Javi MartínezAssist: Jorge Rastrojo
85'Alex Serradell Garralaga INJuan Larios López out
85'Álex Corredera INBruno Rubio Argüelles out

Lineups

Sporting Gijon
4-4-2Coach: N. Larcamón
Eldense
4-2-3-1Coach: Claudio Barragán
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.89
Rubén Yáñez6.31R. Yáñez
Guille Rosas7.52G. Rosas
Aimar Duñabeitia7.224A. Duñabeitia
Pablo Vázquez7.015P. Vázquez
Andrés Cuenca6.844A. Cuenca
César Gelabert6.910C. Gelabert
Nacho Martín6.06N. Martín
Álex Corredera6.614Á. Corredera
N. Iosifov6.520N. Iosifov
A. Sarco6.216A. Sarco
J. Otero6.119J. Otero
Ramón Vila7.11R. Vila
A. Ibarrondo6.819A. Ibarrondo
Alex Serradell6.45A. Serradell
F. Smand7.24F. Smand
D. Ruiz7.221D. Ruiz
J. Smith6.514J. Smith
Carlos Guirao6.715C. Guirao
Fidel6.510Fidel
Roberto López6.612R. López
Aingeru Olabarrieta6.733A. Olabarrieta
Manu Nieto6.211M. Nieto

Sporting Gijon Substitutes

17Antonio Casas70'for Alejo Sarco6.3
3Pablo García69'for Andres Cuenca6.7
4E. Gularte
21M. Loum61'for Nacho Martín7.0
26Iker Martínez
27Enol Prendes
36B. Rubio85'for Álex Corredera6.4
23Jorge Sáenz
5Diego Sánchez
11K. de La Fuente69'for Nikita Iosifov6.4
13Arana

Eldense Substitutes

22J. Yanda
20Waldo Rubio
2Iker Recio73'for David Ruiz7.0
7Jorge Rastrojo73'for Carlos Guirao Mora6.9
29Dinis Rodrigues
13Juanpa
24Javi Martínez73'for Manuel Nieto76'8.0
18Guillermo Macho59'for Roberto López7.0
3Juan Larios85'for Alex Serradell Garralaga7.4

Match Stats

Sporting GijonEldense
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots1
9Fouls14
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
475Total Passes385
397Passes Accurate291
14Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
EldenseEldense
1646Elo Rating 1610
1.79Attack 1.75
1.34Defense 1.85
77%Hit Rate 77%
10.6Shots per Game 13.1
3.6Shots on Target 4.3
4.3Corners per Game 4.3
2.1Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
EldenseEldense
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
EldenseEldense0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División13/04/2025
EldenseSporting Gijon
12
Segunda División24/08/2024
Sporting GijonEldense
00
Segunda División02/06/2024
EldenseSporting Gijon
01
Segunda División27/11/2023
Sporting GijonEldense
20

Recent Form

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
5W1D4L
05/09/2026
Sporting GijonGirona
02
L
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
W
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
W
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
L
01/08/2026
Gimnástica TorrelavegaSporting Gijon
05
W
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
L
18/07/2026
Marino de LuancoSporting Gijon
12
W
30/05/2026
Granada CFSporting Gijon
12
W
EldenseEldense
1W2D7L
05/09/2026
EldenseMallorca
00
D
29/08/2026
LeganesEldense
10
L
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
17/08/2026
AlmeriaEldense
30
L
07/08/2026
AlbaceteEldense
10
L
04/08/2026
EldenseVillarreal II
13
L
01/08/2026
Real MurciaEldense
21
L
25/07/2026
EldenseAl-Ettifaq
31
W
22/07/2026
ValenciaEldense
30
L
17/07/2026
EldenseMillwall
12
L

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1283123:5+1827DWWLD
2AlmeriaAlmeria1282223:10+1326DDWWW
3EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
4Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
5Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1271413:13022WLWWW
6GironaGirona1263322:11+1121LWWDD
7BurgosBurgos1263317:13+421DWWLL
8MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
9OviedoOviedo1253417:15+218LDWWL
10SabadellSabadell1245312:11+117LDLWD
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1252517:21-417WWLLD
12CordobaCordoba1251619:22-316DWWLW
13TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
14EldenseEldense1242613:17-414LLWWW
15Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1234518:23-513DLDWL
16ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1232715:22-711WLLLL
19CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
21AlbaceteAlbacete1221910:23-137WWLLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1212910:27-175LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1223:527
2AlmeriaAlmeria1223:1026
3EibarEibar1221:1423
4Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
5Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1213:1322
6GironaGirona1222:1121
7BurgosBurgos1217:1321
8MallorcaMallorca1113:619
9OviedoOviedo1217:1518
10SabadellSabadell1212:1117
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1217:2117
12CordobaCordoba1219:2216
13TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
14EldenseEldense1213:1714
15Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1218:2313
16ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1215:2211
19CadizCadiz1114:1410
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
21AlbaceteAlbacete1210:237
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1210:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Sporting Gijon vs Eldense forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting Gijon and Eldense in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sporting Gijon are 5th and Eldense 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Gijon 13-13, Eldense 13-17. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.