Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar Prediction

Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+6.6%
Sportivo Italiano Rest
7 days
Real Pilar Rest
8 days

Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar: the result in context

Sportivo Italiano and Real Pilar drew 1-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.45
X
32%2.70
2
27%3.10
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
59%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.23
No
54%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.97 = 2.22
Over 1.5
64%1.58
Over 2.5
36%2.83
Over 3.5
19%5.80
Under 1.5
36%2.12
Under 2.5
64%1.35
Under 3.5
81%1.09
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'V. Gelos
16'F. Centurion INK. Gimenez out
20'E. Rodriguez
41'P. Durante
46'N. Basualdo INN. Escurra out
48'C. Bifiguer
59'P. Durante
63'V. Mancini IND. Vergara out
63'B. Martin INJ. Cesar out
64'N. Rios
73'A. Guerra INC. Ordonez out
73'L. Laborda INL. Guzman out
79'M. Crocco INF. Martinez out
79'T. Camargo INM. Rojas out
81'P. Caceres INR. Fortino out
81'L. Fantino INA. Daivez out
90+3'

Team Comparison

Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
Real PilarReal Pilar
1577Elo Rating 1525
1.18Attack 0.67
2.61Defense 2.13
59%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Real PilarReal Pilar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano2Wins · 22%
Draws778%
Real PilarReal Pilar0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana22/02/2026
Real PilarSportivo Italiano
12
Primera B Metropolitana31/08/2025
Real PilarSportivo Italiano
11
Primera B Metropolitana12/04/2025
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
22
Primera C05/08/2023
Real PilarSportivo Italiano
11
Primera C01/04/2023
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
10
Primera C27/08/2022
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
11
Primera C24/04/2022
Real PilarSportivo Italiano
00
Primera C19/10/2021
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
00
Primera C23/06/2021
Real PilarSportivo Italiano
44

Recent Form

Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
3W3D4L
28/06/2026
UAI UrquizaSportivo Italiano
00
D
20/06/2026
Villa DalmineSportivo Italiano
21
L
13/06/2026
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
01
L
06/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiSportivo Italiano
13
W
31/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
02
L
27/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoSan Martín Burzaco
12
L
23/05/2026
Talleres RemediosSportivo Italiano
01
W
18/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Laferrere
11
D
09/05/2026
Brown DE AdrogueSportivo Italiano
00
D
02/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Armenio
10
W
Real PilarReal Pilar
2W4D4L
27/06/2026
Real PilarSan Martín Burzaco
00
D
20/06/2026
Real PilarVilla San Carlos
11
D
14/06/2026
LiniersReal Pilar
01
W
05/06/2026
ItuzaingóReal Pilar
20
L
30/05/2026
Real PilarUAI Urquiza
21
W
26/05/2026
Dock SudReal Pilar
20
L
23/05/2026
Villa DalmineReal Pilar
11
D
16/05/2026
Real PilarExcursionistas
01
L
10/05/2026
Arsenal SarandiReal Pilar
21
L
02/05/2026
Real PilarArgentino de Merlo
11
D

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas40239864:31+3378DWLWW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi402013753:26+2773DWLWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano401912947:29+1869DWWWD
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4019111042:26+1668LDLWD
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros401813947:32+1567WDLLL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine401714939:27+1265LDLDW
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4017111242:38+462DDWWW
8Real PilarReal Pilar4017111242:39+362DLWLW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4014151139:34+557DDDDW
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4014131349:52-355WDWLL
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4012151341:45-451DLWLW
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4012141440:43-350WLWWD
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4011151439:53-1448WDDLW
14Dock SudDock Sud4011141541:45-447LLLWD
15LiniersLiniers4010151533:41-845DDWLL
16FlandriaFlandria401291936:48-1245WWDLL
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4011111836:44-844LLLLW
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes409171432:40-844LDDDD
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue409161525:37-1243DWDWD
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos409151633:40-742DLDWL
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza406211323:36-1339DWWDL
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó401142527:64-3717DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4064:3178
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4053:2673
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4047:2969
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4042:2668
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4047:3267
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4039:2765
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4042:3862
8Real PilarReal Pilar4042:3962
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4039:3457
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4049:5255
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4041:4551
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4040:4350
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4039:5348
14Dock SudDock Sud4041:4547
15LiniersLiniers4033:4145
16FlandriaFlandria4036:4845
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4036:4444
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4032:4044
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4025:3743
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4033:4042
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4023:3639
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4027:6417
PromotionRelegation

About the Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sportivo Italiano and Real Pilar in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd and Real Pilar 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sportivo Italiano 47-29, Real Pilar 42-39. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.