SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rest
5 days
1. FC Nürnberg Rest
5 days
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg: result, form and history
1. FC Nürnberg beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-2 in the 2. Bundesliga on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%3.00
X28%3.50
231%2.20
Double Chance
1X69%1.62
X259%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.53
No43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.16 = 2.57
Over 1.576%1.20
Over 2.549%1.67
Over 3.530%2.63
Under 1.524%4.20
Under 2.551%2.16
Under 3.570%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.563%1.41
Over 9.551%1.73
Over 10.542%2.15
Under 8.537%2.60
Under 9.549%2.00
Under 10.558%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.557%-
Over 4.535%-
Under 3.543%-
Under 4.565%-
Match Events
22'F. Klaus(Penalty)
26'P. ScobelAssist: J. Justvan
28'J. Fernandez
39'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Klaus
41'F. KlausAssist: D. Srbeny
45+3'J. JustvanAssist: P. Scobel
45+6'J. Justvan
54'J. JustvanAssist: F. Otto
55'T. Janisch ING. Masouras out
60'E. Porstner
62'F. Klaus(Penalty missed)
67'D. Srbeny INA. Keller out
74'P. Scobel
75'F. Becker INR. Ghrieb out
77'J. Fernandez INR. Lubach out
77'R. Ghrieb
77'J. Dehm INL. Reich out
77'O. Pohlmann INM. Wallentowitz out
77'S. Banse INO. Sillah out
88'P. Scobel INA. Grimaldi out
88'J. Justvan INM. Kornwachs Barjuan out
89'A. Keller
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
4-2-3-1Coach: Miroslav KloseAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Hellstern
23J. Dehm
29K. Keresztes
22J. Heuer
27L. Itter
10O. Pohlmann
8S. Appelkamp
13P. Will
6S. Banse
C30F. Klaus
7D. Srbeny
C1J. Reichert
32T. Janisch
4A. Kalogeropoulos
20F. Otto
41E. Porstner
6A. Markhiev
8J. Fernandez
10J. Justvan
22F. Ole Becker
23M. Ali Zoma
19P. ScobelSpVgg Greuther Fürth Substitutes
11Aaron Keller67'for D. Srbeny89'
43Silas Prüfrock
48Jakob Krautkramer
5Maxim Dal
2Lukas Reich77'for J. Dehm
17Noah König
21Mika Wallentowitz77'for O. Pohlmann
28Doni Arifi
42Omar Sillah77'for S. Banse
1. FC Nürnberg Substitutes
21Giannis Masouras55'for T. Janisch
13Robin Lisewski
43Tobias Hess
36Kristian Mandic
35Marc Kornwachs Barjuan88'for J. Justvan
28Can Yahya Moustfa
18Rafael Lubach77'for J. Fernandez
7Rayan Ghrieb75'for F. Becker77'
39Adriano Grimaldi88'for P. Scobel
Match Stats
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg 44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls15
4Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
339Total Passes442
274Passes Accurate380
81%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg1570Elo Rating 1685
0.96Attack 1.54
1.50Defense 0.57
23%Hit Rate 14%
13.7Shots per Game 17.0
3.4Shots on Target 5.4
7.1Corners per Game 6.4
0.7Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
Game State Tendencies
SpVgg Greuther Fürth- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
1. FC Nürnberg- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3Wins · 30%Draws440%
1. FC Nürnberg3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
03/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg11
07/12/20251. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth22
16/03/20251. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth30
20/10/2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg04
25/02/2024SpVgg Greuther FurthFC Nurnberg21
15/09/2023FC NurnbergSpVgg Greuther Furth11
04/02/2023SpVgg Greuther FurthFC Nurnberg10
23/07/2022FC NurnbergSpVgg Greuther Furth20
21/03/2021SpVgg Greuther FurthFC Nurnberg22
29/11/2020FC NurnbergSpVgg Greuther Furth23
FrankenderbyFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5W2D3L
09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D18/07/2026
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth23
W11/07/2026
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth13
W08/07/2026
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth03
W05/07/2026
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth10
L26/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther FürthRot-Weiß Essen20
W22/05/2026Rot-Weiß EssenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß EssenSpVgg Greuther Fürth10
L17/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf30
W10/05/2026
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth21
L03/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg11
D1. FC Nürnberg6W4D0L
09/08/20261. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden30
W01/08/20261. FC Nürnberg
Oviedo
1. FC NürnbergOviedo21
W25/07/2026
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg22
D18/07/20261. FC Nürnberg
Waldhof Mannheim
1. FC NürnbergWaldhof Mannheim32
W11/07/2026
Ansbach1. FC Nürnberg
Ansbach1. FC Nürnberg15
W08/07/2026
Kornburg1. FC Nürnberg
Kornburg1. FC Nürnberg010
W02/07/20261. FC Nürnberg
Legia Warszawa
1. FC NürnbergLegia Warszawa22
D17/05/2026
Hannover 961. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 961. FC Nürnberg33
D09/05/20261. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
1. FC NürnbergFC Schalke 0430
W03/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg11
DReferee Profile
4.52Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.52 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).
Cards come from 87 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | +11 | 21 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 17 | DWLWD |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 | LDLDD |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 | WLWLL |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 12:20 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel 08/08/26
- Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld 08/08/26
- VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 08/08/26
- Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 15/08/26
- VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg 15/08/26
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC 15/08/26
- Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg 16/08/26
- Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 16/08/26
About the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg forecast
As a derby, this 2. Bundesliga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 13-16, 1. FC Nürnberg 24-13. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.