SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth· Tom Bauer, Germany 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel35%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rest
5 days
1. FC Nürnberg Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%3.00
X
28%3.50
2
31%2.20
Double Chance
1X
69%1.62
X2
59%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.16 = 2.57
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.63
Under 1.5
24%4.20
Under 2.5
51%2.16
Under 3.5
70%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.41
Over 9.5
51%1.73
Over 10.5
42%2.15
Under 8.5
37%2.60
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
58%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

22'F. Klaus(Penalty)
26'P. ScobelAssist: J. Justvan
28'J. Fernandez
39'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Klaus
41'F. KlausAssist: D. Srbeny
45+3'J. JustvanAssist: P. Scobel
45+6'J. Justvan
54'J. JustvanAssist: F. Otto
55'T. Janisch ING. Masouras out
60'E. Porstner
62'F. Klaus(Penalty missed)
67'D. Srbeny INA. Keller out
74'P. Scobel
75'F. Becker INR. Ghrieb out
77'J. Fernandez INR. Lubach out
77'R. Ghrieb
77'J. Dehm INL. Reich out
77'O. Pohlmann INM. Wallentowitz out
77'S. Banse INO. Sillah out
88'P. Scobel INA. Grimaldi out
88'J. Justvan INM. Kornwachs Barjuan out
89'A. Keller

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5-3-2Coach: Heiko Vogel
1. FC Nürnberg
4-2-3-1Coach: Miroslav Klose
Florian Hellstern1F. HellsternFlorian Hellstern
Jannik Dehm23J. DehmJannik Dehm
Krisztián Keresztes29K. KeresztesKrisztián Keresztes
Jannis Heuer22J. HeuerJannis Heuer
Luca Itter27L. ItterLuca Itter
Ole Pohlmann10O. PohlmannOle Pohlmann
Shinta Appelkamp8S. AppelkampShinta Appelkamp
Paul Will13P. WillPaul Will
Sacha Banse6S. BanseSacha Banse
Felix Klaus30F. KlausFelix Klaus
Dennis Srbeny7D. SrbenyDennis Srbeny
Jan Reichert1J. ReichertJan Reichert
Tim Janisch32T. JanischTim Janisch
Alexios Kalogeropoulos4A. KalogeropoulosAlexios Kalogeropoulos
Fynn Otto20F. OttoFynn Otto
Eric Porstner41E. PorstnerEric Porstner
Adam Markhiev6A. MarkhievAdam Markhiev
Javier Fernandez8J. FernandezJavier Fernandez
Julian Justvan10J. JustvanJulian Justvan
Finn Ole Becker22F. Ole BeckerFinn Ole Becker
Mohamed Ali Zoma23M. Ali ZomaMohamed Ali Zoma
Piet Scobel19P. ScobelPiet Scobel

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Substitutes

11Aaron KellerM
43Silas PrüfrockG
48Jakob KrautkramerD
5Maxim DalD
2Lukas ReichD
17Noah KönigD
21Mika WallentowitzM
28Doni ArifiM
42Omar SillahF

1. FC Nürnberg Substitutes

21Giannis MasourasD
13Robin LisewskiG
43Tobias HessD
36Kristian MandicD
35Marc Kornwachs BarjuanD
28Can Yahya MoustfaF
18Rafael LubachM
7Rayan GhriebF
39Adriano GrimaldiF

Match Stats

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls16
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
337Total Passes441
274Passes Accurate378
81%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
1573Elo Rating 1700
1.50Attack 2.51
1.02Defense 1.63
19%Hit Rate 61%
15.1Shots per Game 17.3
5.6Shots on Target 6.4
6.9Corners per Game 5.6
1.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 14%Draw 50%36% 1. FC Nürnberg
3.13Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
3W1D1L
09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
11
D
18/07/2026
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth
23
W
11/07/2026
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
13
W
08/07/2026
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
03
W
05/07/2026
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
10
L
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
4W1D0L
09/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden
30
W
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
W
25/07/2026
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
18/07/2026
1. FC NürnbergWaldhof Mannheim
32
W
11/07/2026
Ansbach1. FC Nürnberg
15
W

Referee Profile

Tom Bauer, Germany · 5 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC550015:6+915WWWWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg541015:6+913WDWWW
31. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim540112:10+212WWWLW
41. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg530210:8+29WLWWL
5VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg522110:7+38LDWWD
61. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern52215:4+18LWWDD
7Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus521213:12+17WDLLW
8VfL BochumVfL Bochum52124:407DWLWL
9FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli51317:706WDLDD
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück52038:11-36LWWLL
11SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth51228:10-25DLWLD
12Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC51226:11-55LDLDW
13Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig511312:1204DLLLW
14Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld51138:10-24LDLWL
15Hannover 96Hannover 9651135:8-34LDWLL
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9851134:8-44WLLLD
17Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden51137:12-54DLLWL
18Holstein KielHolstein Kiel50326:9-33LDLDD
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this 2. Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About 2. Bundesliga

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Key Factors for This Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.13 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.