Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Prediction

Stal Mielec
3-3
Finished
HT 3-0
Podbeskidzie
Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec·P. Horozaniecki 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+11.9%
Stal Mielec Rest
7 days
Podbeskidzie Rest
5 days

Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie: the result in context

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie drew 3-3 in the I Liga on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.48
X
22%3.49
2
51%2.50
Double Chance
1X
49%1.44
X2
73%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.54
Under 1.5
36%4.30
Under 2.5
61%2.17
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'T. GmurAssist: P. Wlazlo
9'P. KruszelnickiAssist: M. Cebula
20'K. GetingerAssist: P. Wlazlo
22'O. Tomczyk
46'K. Gach INA. Kasperkiewicz out
46'D. Takac INW. Slomka out
46'M. Sitek IND. Pietraszkiewicz out
49'K. Getinger
56'A. KasperkiewiczAssist: L. Klisiewicz
59'O. Tomczyk INY. Shikavka out
60'M. Cebula INM. Domanski out
62'M. Urynowicz
64'I. Puerto
65'M. Biernat(Penalty)
68'M. Domanski
68'P. Kruszelnicki INS. Oure out
68'T. Gmur INN. Niedzwiedz out
73'K. Kolanko INB. Martosz out
83'F. Gerbowski INK. Koscielny out
83'K. Odolak INK. Sommerfeld out
86'L. Klisiewicz

Team Comparison

Stal MielecStal Mielec
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
1410Elo Rating 1515
0.70Attack 0.92
0.68Defense 2.04
19%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Stal MielecStal Mielec
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Stal MielecStal Mielec1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa15/03/2021
Stal MielecPodbeskidzie
21
Ekstraklasa03/10/2020
PodbeskidzieStal Mielec
10

Recent Form

Stal MielecStal Mielec
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
Unia SkierniewiceStal Mielec
12
W
11/07/2026
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
14
L
04/07/2026
Stal MielecSandecja Nowy Sącz
10
W
01/07/2026
Stal MielecPodhale Nowy Targ
15
L
24/05/2026
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
41
W
15/05/2026
Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
13
W
09/05/2026
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
11
D
02/05/2026
Miedz LegnicaStal Mielec
10
L
25/04/2026
Stal MielecSlask Wroclaw
23
L
17/04/2026
Chrobry GłogówStal Mielec
21
L
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
6W4D0L
27/07/2026
Miedz LegnicaPodbeskidzie
11
D
18/07/2026
NiecieczaPodbeskidzie
11
D
12/07/2026
Wisla KrakowPodbeskidzie
01
W
07/07/2026
PodbeskidzieBaník Ostrava II
21
W
04/07/2026
Zaglebie SosnowiecPodbeskidzie
22
D
06/06/2026
PodbeskidzieSandecja Nowy Sącz
31
W
02/06/2026
PodbeskidzieŚląsk Wrocław II
21
W
30/05/2026
PodbeskidziePodhale Nowy Targ
21
W
23/05/2026
Resovia RzeszówPodbeskidzie
11
D
16/05/2026
PodbeskidzieSokół Kleczew
30
W

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1263319:11+821LLWWL
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1263315:11+421WWLLW
5NiecieczaNieciecza1262419:17+220LWDWW
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1261522:19+319LWWWW
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1253418:11+718DWLLL
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1260619:16+318LWLWW
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1246220:20018WWWDD
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1252516:22-617LWLWW
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1228215:16-114WLWDD
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1234516:27-1113DLWLL
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole123368:13-512LLWLL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1232713:20-711LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1219:1121
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1215:1121
5NiecieczaNieciecza1219:1720
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1222:1919
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1218:1118
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1219:1618
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1220:2018
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1216:2217
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1215:1614
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1216:2713
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole128:1312
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1213:2011
PromotionRelegation

About the Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie in the I Liga table

Podbeskidzie and Stal Mielec are close in the I Liga table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Stal Mielec 16-27, Podbeskidzie 15-16. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.