Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Prediction

Stjarnan
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
KA Akureyri
28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap+9.3%
Stjarnan Rest
6 days
KA Akureyri Rest
6 days

Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri: the result in context

Stjarnan beat KA Akureyri 3-1 in the Úrvalsdeild on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.10
X
25%3.95
2
25%2.75
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
50%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.29
No
56%3.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.05
Over 2.5
39%1.30
Over 3.5
20%1.78
Under 1.5
37%7.00
Under 2.5
61%3.20
Under 3.5
80%1.97
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'E. Atlason
21'B. WarenAssist: O. Eggertsson
41'G. KjeldsenFoul
51'H. SteingrimssonAssist: O. Heidarsson
56'D. DjuricFoul
59'D. Dankerlui INT. Thorisson out
65'D. Djuric IND. Montiel out
65'J. Arnason INJ. Robertsson out
67'K. GautasonFoul
68'B. BaldvinssonFoul
70'B. Waren IND. Matthiasson out
70'O. Eggertsson INA. Hauksson out
72'H. GudmundssonFoul
76'K. Gautason ING. Hrafnkelsson out
82'O. Heidarsson INB. Baldursson out
89'G. Nokkvason INA. Bjarnason out
89'B. Ingason INH. O. Brink out
89'H. O. BrinkFoul
90+5'T. Thorisson

Team Comparison

StjarnanStjarnan
KA AkureyriKA Akureyri
1517Elo Rating 1473
2.46Attack 2.66
0.90Defense 1.39
41%Hit Rate 63%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StjarnanStjarnan
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
KA AkureyriKA Akureyri
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

StjarnanStjarnan5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
KA AkureyriKA Akureyri3Wins · 30%
3.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Úrvalsdeild12/04/2026
KA AkureyriStjarnan
23
Úrvalsdeild31/08/2025
StjarnanKA Akureyri
32
Úrvalsdeild01/06/2025
KA AkureyriStjarnan
11
Úrvalsdeild18/08/2024
KA AkureyriStjarnan
11
Úrvalsdeild26/05/2024
StjarnanKA Akureyri
50
Úrvalsdeild26/08/2023
KA AkureyriStjarnan
21
Úrvalsdeild02/06/2023
StjarnanKA Akureyri
40
Úrvalsdeild23/10/2022
StjarnanKA Akureyri
03
Úrvalsdeild21/08/2022
StjarnanKA Akureyri
24
Úrvalsdeild21/05/2022
KA AkureyriStjarnan
02

Recent Form

StjarnanStjarnan
2W2D6L
21/06/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan
21
L
16/06/2026
StjarnanBreidablik
44
D
10/06/2026
AftureldingStjarnan
31
L
31/05/2026
Thor AkureyriStjarnan
13
W
26/05/2026
StjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
13
L
22/05/2026
StjarnanFram Reykjavik
01
L
17/05/2026
KeflavikStjarnan
11
D
13/05/2026
StjarnanKR Reykjavik
21
W
08/05/2026
StjarnanKR Reykjavik
23
L
03/05/2026
StjarnanIA Akranes
12
L
KA AkureyriKA Akureyri
3W1D6L
21/06/2026
BreidablikKA Akureyri
31
L
15/06/2026
KA AkureyriFram Reykjavik
34
L
31/05/2026
KR ReykjavikKA Akureyri
53
L
22/05/2026
KA AkureyriValur Reykjavik
01
L
17/05/2026
FH hafnarfjordurKA Akureyri
12
W
14/05/2026
KA AkureyriÆgir
12
L
10/05/2026
KA AkureyriIBV Vestmannaeyjar
20
W
02/05/2026
Thor AkureyriKA Akureyri
01
W
26/04/2026
KA AkureyriKeflavik
12
L
22/04/2026
IA AkranesKA Akureyri
11
D

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026

Urvalsdeild: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653DWDWW
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445DLLDL
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544WWWLW
4BreidablikBreidablik2286843:41+230LLWLW
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2286839:41-230DWDWL
6KeflavikKeflavik22841033:38-528DLLDL
7StjarnanStjarnan22841042:50-828WLLLW
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik22831139:45-627LWLDW
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221LLWWW
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri22631322:50-2821WWWLL
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri22551235:48-1320WLWWL
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2267:2153
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2256:4245
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2274:4944
4BreidablikBreidablik2243:4130
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2239:4130
6KeflavikKeflavik2233:3828
7StjarnanStjarnan2242:5028
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2239:4527
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2227:3921
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2222:5021
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2235:4820
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2232:4518

Urvalsdeild: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StjarnanStjarnan271041353:61-834WLLLW
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik271041351:59-834LWLDW
3FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur27791142:49-730LLWWW
4Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri27931529:59-3030WWWLL
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri27851447:56-929WLWWL
6IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar27571537:55-1822LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1StjarnanStjarnan2753:6134
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2751:5934
3FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2742:4930
4Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2729:5930
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2747:5629
6IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2737:5522
PromotionRelegation

About the Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri forecast

The forecasts for this Úrvalsdeild match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Stjarnan and KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild table

In the Úrvalsdeild table, Stjarnan are 7th and KA Akureyri 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Stjarnan 42-50, KA Akureyri 35-48. The full standings are on the Úrvalsdeild Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.