Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand Prediction

Surkhon
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Dinamo Samarqand
Stadion Surkhon, Termez·A. Khudoyberganov 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+9.6%
Surkhon Rest
5 days
Dinamo Samarqand Rest
5 days

Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: the result in context

Dinamo Samarqand beat Surkhon 2-1 in the Super League on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dinamo Samarqand have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.70
X
28%3.20
2
43%1.91
Double Chance
1X
57%1.78
X2
71%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.31
Over 2.5
38%1.98
Over 3.5
18%3.42
Under 1.5
36%3.23
Under 2.5
62%1.75
Under 3.5
82%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. KhozhimirzaevAssist: H. Hajdarevic
30'R. Friday
40'F. Abdurakhmonov
46'F. Kodirov INM. Mirusmonov out
46'D. Ramazonov INT. Dzebniauri out
54'H. Hajdarevic INN. Tukhtasinov out
54'J. Abdusalomov INO. Ormonjonov out
61'A. Dumbuya
61'A. Dumbuya
64'R. Djeparov INA. Radayev out
65'D. Tursunov
68'D. Tursunov INM. Musaxonov out
68'T. Ashuboyev INB. Rahimjonov out
75'F. Abdurakhmonov INB. Oblakulov out
77'A. KhozhimirzaevAssist: O. Ormonjonov
81'S. Abdukhamidov INU. Kuvandikov out
90+1'B. Shamsiev
90+3'E. NemanovOG

Team Comparison

SurkhonSurkhon
Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand
1446Elo Rating 1540
0.41Attack 2.00
2.73Defense 1.92
14%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

SurkhonSurkhon
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

SurkhonSurkhon1Wins · 13%
Draws112%
Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand6Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Super League04/10/2025
SurkhonDinamo Samarqand
02
Super League09/05/2025
Dinamo SamarqandSurkhon
10
Cup29/04/2025
SurkhonDinamo Samarqand
01
Super League26/09/2024
Dinamo SamarqandSurkhon
30
Super League13/05/2024
SurkhonDinamo Samarqand
11
Super League07/11/2022
SurkhonDinamo Samarqand
14
Super League18/06/2022
Dinamo SamarqandSurkhon
13
Cup29/04/2021
Dinamo SamarqandSurkhon
31

Recent Form

SurkhonSurkhon
4W3D3L
18/07/2026
AndijanSurkhon
12
W
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
SogdianaSurkhon
52
L
22/04/2026
SurkhonMash'al
21
W
17/04/2026
SurkhonQizilqum
01
L
12/04/2026
NavbahorSurkhon
20
L
08/04/2026
OlmaliqSurkhon
11
D
04/04/2026
SurkhonBuxoro
31
W
20/03/2026
NasafSurkhon
01
W
11/03/2026
SurkhonBunyodkor
00
D
Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand
3W2D5L
18/07/2026
QizilqumDinamo Samarqand
12
W
02/05/2026
Dinamo SamarqandMash'al
31
W
28/04/2026
AndijanDinamo Samarqand
21
L
23/04/2026
Dinamo SamarqandOlmaliq
22
D
18/04/2026
PakhtakorDinamo Samarqand
42
L
12/04/2026
Dinamo SamarqandLokomotiv
12
L
08/04/2026
Dinamo SamarqandSogdiana
21
W
03/04/2026
XorazmDinamo Samarqand
21
L
19/03/2026
BuxoroDinamo Samarqand
31
L
12/03/2026
Dinamo SamarqandNasaf
11
D

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi26194361:23+3861WWWDW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor27178248:26+2259WWLDW
3NavbahorNavbahor27167446:25+2155WWWDD
4NasafNasaf27129639:24+1545WDWDW
5OlmaliqOlmaliq27136839:35+445LWWWD
6LokomotivLokomotiv27127844:34+1043WLDDW
7BuxoroBuxoro27126938:34+442LDDWW
8Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand271071042:40+237WWDLL
9QizilqumQizilqum271051225:32-735LDDWD
10SurkhonSurkhon277101020:29-931DDDDD
11AndijanAndijan27941431:37-631LLDLL
12SogdianaSogdiana27861344:53-930LDLDL
13XorazmXorazm27681323:38-1526WLLDD
14BunyodkorBunyodkor26821627:43-1626LWDLW
15Kokand-1912Kokand-191227591326:39-1324LDLLW
16Mash'alMash'al27122412:53-415DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2661:2361
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2748:2659
3NavbahorNavbahor2746:2555
4NasafNasaf2739:2445
5OlmaliqOlmaliq2739:3545
6LokomotivLokomotiv2744:3443
7BuxoroBuxoro2738:3442
8Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2742:4037
9QizilqumQizilqum2725:3235
10SurkhonSurkhon2720:2931
11AndijanAndijan2731:3731
12SogdianaSogdiana2744:5330
13XorazmXorazm2723:3826
14BunyodkorBunyodkor2627:4326
15Kokand-1912Kokand-19122726:3924
16Mash'alMash'al2712:535
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand in the Super League table

Dinamo Samarqand and Surkhon are close in the Super League table, 8th and 10th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Surkhon 20-29, Dinamo Samarqand 42-40. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.