Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction

Seymour Shaw Park 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Sutherland Sharks Rest
7 days
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Rest
6 days

Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: result, form and history

Sutherland Sharks beat APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 in the New South Wales NPL on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.06
X
18%3.77
2
65%1.70
Double Chance
1X
35%2.00
X2
83%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.56
No
45%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 2.06 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.56
Over 3.5
36%2.46
Under 1.5
18%4.45
Under 2.5
40%2.23
Under 3.5
64%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Y. Nicolaou
51'P. Ortiz
60'D. Bonilla
77'P. Ortiz
80'T. van Amerongen

Team Comparison

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks
APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
1509Elo Rating 1644
1.03Attack 1.74
1.82Defense 1.80
23%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals

Game State Tendencies

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks0Wins · 0%
Draws110%
APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers9Wins · 90%
3.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

New South Wales NPL21/03/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersSutherland Sharks
21
New South Wales NPL17/08/2025
APIA Leichhardt TigersSutherland Sharks
50
New South Wales NPL03/05/2025
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
02
New South Wales NPL07/07/2024
APIA Leichhardt TigersSutherland Sharks
32
New South Wales NPL30/03/2024
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
07
New South Wales NPL24/06/2023
APIA Leichhardt TigersSutherland Sharks
10
New South Wales NPL11/03/2023
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
01
New South Wales NPL13/07/2022
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
11
New South Wales NPL16/04/2022
APIA Leichhardt TigersSutherland Sharks
30
New South Wales NPL05/06/2021
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
02

Recent Form

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks
5W2D3L
27/06/2026
UNSWSutherland Sharks
13
W
20/06/2026
Western Sydney Wanderers U23Sutherland Sharks
03
W
13/06/2026
Sutherland SharksBlacktown City
12
L
06/06/2026
St. George SaintsSutherland Sharks
12
W
31/05/2026
Sydney UnitedSutherland Sharks
01
W
23/05/2026
Sutherland SharksNWS Spirit
10
W
16/05/2026
SD RaidersSutherland Sharks
22
D
09/05/2026
St George City FASutherland Sharks
10
L
02/05/2026
Sutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
24
L
24/04/2026
Sydney FC U23Sutherland Sharks
00
D
APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
7W1D2L
28/06/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersRockdale City Suns
02
L
21/06/2026
Blacktown CityAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
13
W
13/06/2026
Wollongong WolvesAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
02
W
06/06/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersManly United
20
W
30/05/2026
NWS SpiritAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
12
W
24/05/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersMarconi Stallions
11
D
16/05/2026
St George City FAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
21
L
09/05/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney United
21
W
02/05/2026
SD RaidersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
23
W
26/04/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersSt. George Saints
21
W

League Table

New South Wales NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers30215466:35+3168WDWDW
2Sydney UnitedSydney United30204647:20+2764WDWWW
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions30195650:22+2862DWWLL
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks301441246:38+846LWLDW
5Manly UnitedManly United301281039:35+444WWLWD
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns301341348:42+643WLLLD
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit301251337:38-141DWWWL
8SD RaidersSD Raiders301251344:49-541WLLWW
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23301181138:43-541DWLDL
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23301151455:49+638WLLLW
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves301151435:43-838LWWLL
12St George City FASt George City FA301071330:46-1637LLWWW
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City30881441:48-732LLDLW
14UNSWUNSW30951638:49-1132LLDLL
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints30831928:55-2727LWWDL
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic30651932:62-3023DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3066:3568
2Sydney UnitedSydney United3047:2064
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions3050:2262
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks3046:3846
5Manly UnitedManly United3039:3544
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns3048:4243
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit3037:3841
8SD RaidersSD Raiders3044:4941
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233038:4341
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U233055:4938
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves3035:4338
12St George City FASt George City FA3030:4637
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City3041:4832
14UNSWUNSW3038:4932
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints3028:5527
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic3032:6223

About the Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sutherland Sharks and APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the New South Wales NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 1st in the New South Wales NPL, 22 points ahead of Sutherland Sharks in 4th. League goal record so far: Sutherland Sharks 46-38, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 66-35. The full standings are on the New South Wales NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.