Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II Prediction

Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Tallinna Kalev Rest
7 days
Nõmme United II Rest
6 days

Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II: the result in context

Tallinna Kalev beat Nõmme United II 3-1 in the Esiliiga A on 18 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tallinna Kalev had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Nõmme United II.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.22
X
22%4.10
2
32%2.39
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
54%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.19
No
56%3.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.05
Over 2.5
38%1.16
Over 3.5
20%1.48
Under 1.5
37%10.00
Under 2.5
62%4.10
Under 3.5
80%2.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'R. Ilves
45'R. Ilves
52'O. Rootsma
55'O. De Pizzol(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
1473Elo Rating 1489
1.36Attack 1.84
0.81Defense 1.16
0%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Nõmme United IINõmme United II0Wins · 0%
5.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A18/06/2026
Nõmme United IITallinna Kalev
12
Esiliiga A01/05/2026
Tallinna KalevNõmme United II
44

Recent Form

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
3W2D5L
11/07/2026
FCI Levadia IITallinna Kalev
32
L
03/07/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
33
D
21/06/2026
Tallinna KalevNõmme Kalju II
51
W
18/06/2026
Nõmme United IITallinna Kalev
12
W
14/06/2026
Flora IITallinna Kalev
31
L
31/05/2026
Tallinna KalevFCI Levadia II
12
L
27/05/2026
Tallinna KalevViimsi
03
L
24/05/2026
ElvaTallinna Kalev
31
L
14/05/2026
FC TallinnTallinna Kalev
11
D
09/05/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
20
W
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
1W3D6L
12/07/2026
Nõmme United IIFlora II
11
D
04/07/2026
FC TallinnNõmme United II
43
L
30/06/2026
Nõmme United IIFlora II
33
D
21/06/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme United II
52
L
18/06/2026
Nõmme United IITallinna Kalev
12
L
15/06/2026
Nõmme Kalju IINõmme United II
41
L
25/05/2026
FCI Levadia IINõmme United II
42
L
16/05/2026
Nõmme United IIElva
10
W
13/05/2026
Flora IINõmme United II
22
D
09/05/2026
MaarduNõmme United II
21
L

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco33225696:42+5471WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi331761061:32+2957WDWLL
3Flora IIFlora II321561176:57+1951DLDLW
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II321621464:56+850WWWWD
5ElvaElva321471147:48-149DLDWL
6MaarduMaardu301271147:59-1243DDDWW
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev311071454:59-537LLDLD
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II331061755:70-1536LLLWW
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn33981641:76-3535LLWDL
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II33662138:80-4224DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3396:4271
2ViimsiViimsi3361:3257
3Flora IIFlora II3276:5751
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3264:5650
5ElvaElva3247:4849
6MaarduMaardu3047:5943
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3154:5937
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II3355:7036
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn3341:7635
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3338:8024

About the Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II forecast

The forecasts for this Esiliiga A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A table

Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme United II are close in the Esiliiga A table, 7th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tallinna Kalev 54-59, Nõmme United II 55-70. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme United II have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.