Tapatío vs Tlaxcala Prediction

Tapatío
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
Estadio Akron, Zapopan·B. Jimenez Morales 21/09/2026
TapatíoTapatío
4-0
Finished
TlaxcalaTlaxcala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-10.5%
Tapatío Rest
7 days
Tlaxcala Rest
8 days

Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: result, form and history

Tapatío beat Tlaxcala 4-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 21 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tapatío have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.91
X
26%3.55
2
28%3.50
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
54%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'G. Garcia
13'G. GarciaAssist: J. Uribe
30'C. Soldati
46'G. Garcia IND. Villaseca out
52'D. Alvarez(Penalty missed)
54'V. MoragregaAssist: D. Villaseca
59'E. Hernandez INR. E. Camacho Lastra out
59'D. Alvarez INChristian out
60'V. MoragregaAssist: J. Uribe
61'J. HernandezAssist: S. Zamora
67'J. Zamudio INF. Plascencia out
67'E. Santos INC. Gonzalez out
67'V. Moragrega IND. Latorre out
68'C. Soldati INS. Esparza out
77'J. Uribe INR. Nuno out
77'J. Hernandez INM. Cendejas out
84'I. Govea INA. Sanchez out
87'F. Plascencia
90'S. Esparza

Team Comparison

TapatíoTapatío
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
1492Elo Rating 1499
1.87Attack 2.31
0.48Defense 1.08
37%Hit Rate 39%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TapatíoTapatío
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TapatíoTapatío6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
TlaxcalaTlaxcala1Wins · 10%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX08/04/2026
TapatíoTlaxcala
30
Liga de Expansión MX13/09/2025
TlaxcalaTapatío
10
Liga de Expansión MX09/03/2025
TapatíoTlaxcala
10
Liga de Expansión MX22/09/2024
TlaxcalaTapatío
23
Liga de Expansión MX13/03/2024
TlaxcalaTapatío
03
Liga de Expansión MX25/08/2023
TapatíoTlaxcala
20
Liga de Expansión MX07/05/2023
TapatíoTlaxcala
11
Liga de Expansión MX04/05/2023
TlaxcalaTapatío
22
Liga de Expansión MX22/02/2023
TlaxcalaTapatío
12
Liga de Expansión MX10/09/2022
TapatíoTlaxcala
11

Recent Form

TapatíoTapatío
3W2D5L
13/09/2026
DoradosTapatío
31
L
07/09/2026
TapatíoLeones Negros UDG
13
L
28/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
11
D
24/08/2026
TapatíoMineros de Zacatecas
42
W
15/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTapatío
23
W
09/08/2026
Venados FCTapatío
32
L
02/08/2026
TapatíoCDS Tampico Madero
10
W
27/07/2026
TapatíoCruz Azul Hidalgo
00
D
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
L
27/04/2026
CancúnTapatío
10
L
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
2W3D5L
13/09/2026
TlaxcalaCDS Tampico Madero
31
W
05/09/2026
DurangoTlaxcala
11
D
30/08/2026
TlaxcalaVenados FC
31
W
21/08/2026
TepatitlánTlaxcala
32
L
16/08/2026
DoradosTlaxcala
22
D
07/08/2026
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
02
L
01/08/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasTlaxcala
31
L
26/07/2026
TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG
24
L
01/07/2026
PueblaTlaxcala
31
L
19/04/2026
TlaxcalaVenados FC
22
D

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1373330:17+1324DWLWW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1373329:19+1024LDWWL
3MonarcasMonarcas1372423:15+823LDDLW
4PiratasPiratas1363421:14+721WLWLW
5Venados FCVenados FC1363428:23+521DDWWL
6DurangoDurango1363416:11+521WDWWW
7CancúnCancún1354422:18+419DDWLW
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1353526:23+318LDLWW
9TapatíoTapatío1352623:25-217LWLLW
10DoradosDorados1344523:24-116WLLLD
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1344521:22-116LLDWL
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1344525:27-216DWDWL
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1351712:24-1216WWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1343614:20-615WDLLD
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1335516:20-414WWDLL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán13211010:37-277LLDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1330:1724
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1329:1924
3MonarcasMonarcas1323:1523
4PiratasPiratas1321:1421
5Venados FCVenados FC1328:2321
6DurangoDurango1316:1121
7CancúnCancún1322:1819
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1326:2318
9TapatíoTapatío1323:2517
10DoradosDorados1323:2416
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1321:2216
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1325:2716
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1312:2416
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1314:2015
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1316:2014
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1310:377
Promotion

About the Tapatío vs Tlaxcala forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tapatío and Tlaxcala in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tapatío are 9th and Tlaxcala 12th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Tapatío 23-25, Tlaxcala 25-27. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.