Tondela vs Amarante Prediction

Tondela
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Amarante
F. Lima 08/08/2026
TondelaTondela
2-1
Finished
AmaranteAmarante

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Tondela Rest
7 days
Amarante Rest
7 days

Tondela vs Amarante: result, form and history

Tondela beat Amarante 2-1 in the Segunda Liga on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tondela tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 5.0 for Amarante.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.65
X
27%3.54
2
30%5.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.15
X2
58%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.02
No
56%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.10
Over 3.5
18%3.75
Under 1.5
36%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.69
Under 3.5
82%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'M. CostaAssist: G. Cunha
21'CascavelAssist: Carraca
26'Nito
35'Didi
45+1'Joao Lima(Penalty)
56'H. Tavares INX. Armendariz out
59'X. Armendariz
69'Nito INArome out
73'A. Zangre
78'Joao Lima INTomane out
79'E. Maviram INFarru out
79'Cascavel INBebeto out
82'Farru
88'L. Ferreira INR. Silva out
90+1'Ze Ricardo
90+1'D. Pereira INR. Guedes out
90+2'H. Felix INB. Almeida out
90+2'Bebeto

Team Comparison

TondelaTondela
AmaranteAmarante
1571Elo Rating 1568
1.96Attack 1.63
2.81Defense 0.98
73%Hit Rate 19%
23.0Shots per Game 6.2
5.0Shots on Target 3.0
8.0Corners per Game 5.0
3.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TondelaTondela
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
AmaranteAmarante
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

TondelaTondela
4W2D4L
01/08/2026
Rio AveTondela
31
L
29/07/2026
TondelaSão João Ver
11
D
25/07/2026
TondelaBeira-Mar
12
L
25/07/2026
FamalicaoTondela
10
L
22/07/2026
TondelaAcademica
21
W
19/07/2026
TondelaNacional
11
D
15/07/2026
TondelaVarzim
10
W
16/05/2026
AroucaTondela
31
L
11/05/2026
TondelaMoreirense
20
W
03/05/2026
Casa PiaTondela
01
W
AmaranteAmarante
4W4D2L
01/08/2026
MoreirenseAmarante
20
L
22/07/2026
ChavesAmarante
21
L
16/05/2026
Guimaraes BAmarante
13
W
10/05/2026
AmaranteUnião Santarém
10
W
01/05/2026
TrofenseAmarante
00
D
26/04/2026
AmaranteCF Os Belenenses
22
D
19/04/2026
MafraAmarante
14
W
12/04/2026
AcademicaAmarante
11
D
04/04/2026
AmaranteVarzim
10
W
29/03/2026
AmaranteAcademica
11
D

Referee Profile

F. Lima78 matches

5.89Cards per match
5.44Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Lima5.89
Other referees5.65

5.89 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.65).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
2Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa752012:5+717DWWWD
3AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
4FarenseFarense742113:6+714WWDLD
5Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
6PenafielPenafiel741214:7+713LWWWW
7TondelaTondela74038:6+212WWWLL
8VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria731310:9+110LDWWW
10LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
11PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
12AVSAVS72328:7+19WDLWD
13ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
14FC Porto BFC Porto B72146:14-87WDLLW
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193271335:7-26LLLWD
16TorreenseTorreense71337:10-36LDWLD
17AmaranteAmarante71246:10-45LDLWD
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
2Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa712:517
3AcademicaAcademica814:1015
4FarenseFarense713:614
5Benfica BBenfica B88:514
6PenafielPenafiel714:713
7TondelaTondela78:612
8VizelaVizela88:811
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria710:910
10LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
11PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
12AVSAVS78:79
13ChavesChaves88:158
14FC Porto BFC Porto B76:147
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193275:76
16TorreenseTorreense77:106
17AmaranteAmarante76:105
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
PromotionRelegation

About the Tondela vs Amarante forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tondela and Amarante in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, Tondela are 7th and Amarante 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Tondela 8-6, Amarante 6-10. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tondela have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Tondela and Amarante have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.