Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction

Tunisia
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Uganda
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi 24/09/2026
TunisiaTunisia
1-1
Finished
UgandaUganda

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-15.3%
Tunisia Rest
90 days
Uganda Rest
268 days

Tunisia vs Uganda: result, form and history

Tunisia and Uganda drew 1-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 24 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tunisia tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.5 for Uganda.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.39
X
26%4.05
2
18%7.80
Double Chance
1X
82%1.07
X2
43%2.73
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Adem ArousAssist: Khalil Ayari
45'Khalil Ayari INsayfallah ltaief out
45'Rayan Elloumi INSadok Kadida out
63'Travis Mutyaba INJames Bogere out
68'Rogers MatoAssist: Nathan Asiimwe
69'Ismael Gharbi INAnis Ben Slimane out
69'Sebastian Tounekti INElias Achouri out
77'Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane INHamza Rafia out
82'Rogers Mato INSteven Dese Mukwala out
82'Allan Okello INAllan Oyirwoth out
90'Baba Alhassan INHilary Mukundane out
90+2'Aziz Abdu KayondoArgument
90+2'Sadok KadidaArgument

Match Stats

TunisiaUganda
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
18Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
491Total Passes402
411Passes Accurate324
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

TunisiaTunisia
UgandaUganda
1530Elo Rating 1556
1.10Attack 1.00
0.28Defense 1.60
0%Hit Rate 27%
12.9Shots per Game 9.0
4.1Shots on Target 2.3
5.9Corners per Game 3.5
1.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TunisiaTunisia
  • No tendency data available
UgandaUganda
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

TunisiaTunisia1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
UgandaUganda0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Africa Cup of Nations23/12/2025
TunisiaUganda
31

Recent Form

TunisiaTunisia
2W1D7L
26/06/2026
TunisiaNetherlands
13
L
21/06/2026
TunisiaJapan
04
L
15/06/2026
SwedenTunisia
51
L
06/06/2026
BelgiumTunisia
50
L
01/06/2026
AustriaTunisia
10
L
03/01/2026
MaliTunisia
3121
L
30/12/2025
TanzaniaTunisia
11
D
27/12/2025
NigeriaTunisia
32
L
23/12/2025
TunisiaUganda
31
W
13/10/2025
TunisiaNamibia
30
W
UgandaUganda
4W2D4L
30/12/2025
UgandaNigeria
13
L
27/12/2025
UgandaTanzania
11
D
23/12/2025
TunisiaUganda
31
L
14/10/2025
AlgeriaUganda
21
L
09/10/2025
BotswanaUganda
01
W
08/09/2025
UgandaSomalia
20
W
05/09/2025
UgandaMozambique
40
W
23/08/2025
UgandaSenegal
01
L
18/08/2025
South AfricaUganda
33
D
11/08/2025
UgandaNiger
20
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UgandaUganda21102:1+14WD
2BotswanaBotswana20204:402DD
3TunisiaTunisia20203:302DD
4LibyaLibya20112:3-11LD
#TeamMPGPts
1UgandaUganda22:14
2BotswanaBotswana24:42
3TunisiaTunisia23:32
4LibyaLibya22:31
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About the Tunisia vs Uganda forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tunisia and Uganda have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.