Ulaanbaatar vs Deren Prediction
Mongolia · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: the result in context
Deren beat Ulaanbaatar 3-2 in the Premier League on 6 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Ulaanbaatar have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Ulaanbaatar
DerenAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Ulaanbaatar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
Deren- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Ulaanbaatar6Wins · 60%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
27/06/2026DerenUlaanbaatar23/05/2026UlaanbaatarDeren26/10/2025DerenUlaanbaatar20/07/2025DerenUlaanbaatar11/06/2025UlaanbaatarDeren09/03/2025DerenUlaanbaatar22/06/2024DerenUlaanbaatar21/04/2024UlaanbaatarDeren21/10/2023DerenUlaanbaatar28/05/2023UlaanbaatarDerenRecent Form
Ulaanbaatar
KhangaridUlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
Central StallionsDerenUlaanbaatarUlaanbaatarKhangaridCentral StallionsUlaanbaatarCentral StallionsUlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
KhoromkhonUlaanbaatarDeren
HuntersUlaanbaatarUlaanbaatarKhangaridDerenCentral StallionsDerenDerenKhangaridDerenUlaanbaatarDerenCentral StallionsKhangaridDeren
KhovdDerenDerenCentral StallionsUlaanbaatarDerenDerenKhoromkhonDerenHuntersLeague Table
Premier League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 65:9 | +56 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 54:14 | +40 | 39 | WLWDL |
| 3 | Khangarid | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 59:19 | +40 | 33 | LLLDL |
| 4 | Deren | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 57:16 | +41 | 30 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Hunters | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 44:27 | +17 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 6 |  Khovd Western | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:36 | -7 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Khovd | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 28:73 | -45 | 12 | WDLLL |
| 8 | Khoromkhon | 16 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 27:86 | -59 | 6 | LLLLL |
| 9 |  Ulaangom City | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16:99 | -83 | 4 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Falcons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWDDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 16 | 65:9 | 41 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 16 | 54:14 | 39 |
| 3 | Khangarid | 16 | 59:19 | 33 |
| 4 | Deren | 16 | 57:16 | 30 |
| 5 | Hunters | 16 | 44:27 | 24 |
| 6 | Khovd Western | 16 | 29:36 | 18 |
| 7 | Khovd | 16 | 28:73 | 12 |
| 8 | Khoromkhon | 16 | 27:86 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 16 | 16:99 | 4 |
| 10 | Falcons | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Premier League: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | +62 | 54 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 60:26 | +34 | 47 | WLWDL |
| 3 | Deren | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 70:25 | +45 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Khangarid | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 68:34 | +34 | 34 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 23 | 82:20 | 54 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 23 | 60:26 | 47 |
| 3 | Deren | 23 | 70:25 | 45 |
| 4 | Khangarid | 22 | 68:34 | 34 |
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About the Ulaanbaatar vs Deren forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ulaanbaatar and Deren in the Premier League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ulaanbaatar are 1st in the Premier League, 11 points ahead of Deren in 4th. League goal record so far: Ulaanbaatar 65-9, Deren 57-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ulaanbaatar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.