Umeå FC vs Järfälla Prediction

Umeå FC
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Järfälla
Umea Energi Arena, Umea 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSTRONGModel22%SurpriseHighGap+20.7%
Umeå FC Rest
7 days
Järfälla Rest
4 days

Umeå FC vs Järfälla: the result in context

Järfälla beat Umeå FC 3-1 in the Ettan - Norra on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.83
X
27%3.85
2
31%3.40
Double Chance
1X
69%1.24
X2
58%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.42
No
56%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.42
Over 3.5
19%2.07
Under 1.5
37%5.20
Under 2.5
61%2.62
Under 3.5
81%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'E. Drugge
21'
33'R. Hadad(Penalty)
48'A. Khalil
64'N. Linden INT. Lindgren out
67'
86'
90'
90+6'

Team Comparison

Umeå FCUmeå FC
JärfällaJärfälla
1508Elo Rating 1446
1.82Attack 1.87
1.72Defense 1.11
59%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Umeå FCUmeå FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JärfällaJärfälla
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

Umeå FCUmeå FC
3W4D3L
21/06/2026
EnköpingUmeå FC
31
L
12/06/2026
Umeå FCPiteå
20
W
07/06/2026
SollentunaUmeå FC
11
D
31/05/2026
Umeå FCStocksund
22
D
24/05/2026
Umeå FCIF Karlstad
02
L
17/05/2026
FBK KarlstadUmeå FC
11
D
08/11/2025
UtsiktenUmeå FC
14
W
01/11/2025
Umeå FCSandviken
12
L
25/10/2025
Umeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
22
D
19/10/2025
Landskrona BoISUmeå FC
13
W
JärfällaJärfälla
3W1D6L
23/06/2026
JärfällaArlanda
02
L
18/06/2026
Hammarby TalangJärfälla
11
D
13/06/2026
JärfällaArlanda
23
L
08/06/2026
JärfällaStocksund
16
L
03/06/2026
VasalundJärfälla
31
L
23/05/2026
JärfällaGefle IF
40
W
16/05/2026
KarlbergJärfälla
13
W
13/08/2025
JärfällaDjurgardens IF
14
L
24/06/2025
JärfällaFranke
51
W
10/10/2024
JärfällaDjurgardens IF
16
L

League Table

Ettan - Norra 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale29204569:25+4464LWDWW
2ArlandaArlanda29166753:36+1754WWLLW
3AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna29165855:40+1553LWWLD
4EnköpingEnköping29164946:43+352DWWWW
5Hammarby TalangHammarby Talang29147855:31+2449LDWLL
6FBK KarlstadFBK Karlstad29147846:39+749WLWLD
7IF KarlstadIF Karlstad29128943:33+1044LLLWD
8Umeå FCUmeå FC291261143:44-142WDWWW
9Gefle IFGefle IF291151336:47-1138WWDDL
10KarlbergKarlberg291071240:48-837WDLDW
11Assyriska FFAssyriska FF291051446:53-735LLLWL
12SollentunaSollentuna297101230:40-1031LWDWL
13VasalundVasalund29871441:62-2131WLLDL
14PiteåPiteå29691439:56-1727WLDDD
15JärfällaJärfälla29661740:61-2124DDWLD
16StocksundStocksund29362049:73-2415LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale2969:2564
2ArlandaArlanda2953:3654
3AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna2955:4053
4EnköpingEnköping2946:4352
5Hammarby TalangHammarby Talang2955:3149
6FBK KarlstadFBK Karlstad2946:3949
7IF KarlstadIF Karlstad2943:3344
8Umeå FCUmeå FC2943:4442
9Gefle IFGefle IF2936:4738
10KarlbergKarlberg2940:4837
11Assyriska FFAssyriska FF2946:5335
12SollentunaSollentuna2930:4031
13VasalundVasalund2941:6231
14PiteåPiteå2939:5627
15JärfällaJärfälla2940:6124
16StocksundStocksund2949:7315

About the Umeå FC vs Järfälla forecast

The forecasts for this Ettan - Norra match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Umeå FC and Järfälla in the Ettan - Norra table

In the Ettan - Norra table, Umeå FC are 8th and Järfälla 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Umeå FC 43-44, Järfälla 40-61. The full standings are on the Ettan - Norra Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Umeå FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Umeå FC and Järfälla have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.