Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer Prediction

Ümraniyespor
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarıyer
Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul·Erdem Mertoglu 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Ümraniyespor Rest
21 days
Sarıyer Rest
20 days

Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer: result, form and history

Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer drew 1-1 in the 1. Lig on 9 Oct 2026. Sarıyer had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Ümraniyespor.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.45
X
29%3.13
2
34%2.67
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
63%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.63 = 2.99
Over 1.5
74%1.33
Over 2.5
50%2.06
Over 3.5
29%3.75
Under 1.5
26%3.00
Under 2.5
50%1.69
Under 3.5
71%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.92
Over 9.5
42%2.49
Over 10.5
29%3.49
Under 8.5
47%1.76
Under 9.5
58%1.44
Under 10.5
71%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
52%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
48%-

Match Events

17'Tomislav GlumacFoul
23'Oguz Yildirim
45'Berat Yılmaz INAtalay Babacan out
45'Işık Kaan Arslan INErdi Dikmen out
61'Furkan Gedik INEren Karadağ out
61'Barış Alıcı INDogan Can Davas out
61'Batuhan Kor INMamadou Thiam out
61'Yunus Emre Gedik INAli Yaşar out
73'Efecan Karaca
78'Tunahan Ergul INJoseph Attamah out
78'Alejandro Blanco INKerem Sen out
78'Serkan Göksu INBengali-Fodé Koita out
79'Erdi DikmenFoul

Lineups

Ümraniyespor
4-3-3Coach: T. Albayrak
Sarıyer
4-1-4-1Coach: B. Bölükbaşı
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.76
C. Topaloğlu6.435C. Topaloğlu
O. Yıldırım7.870O. Yıldırım
M. Kartal6.958M. Kartal
T. Glumac6.444T. Glumac
E. Gedik7.388E. Gedik
S. Göksu6.08S. Göksu
A. Đokanović6.210A. Đokanović
Berat Yılmaz7.217B. Yılmaz
Álex Blanco6.511Á. Blanco
C. Soukou6.827C. Soukou
S. Hostikka6.77S. Hostikka
I. Šehić7.613I. Šehić
C. Karayel6.577C. Karayel
K. Arslan6.724K. Arslan
C. Osmanpaşa6.988C. Osmanpaşa
E. Korkmazoğlu6.95E. Korkmazoğlu
Marcos Silva7.28M. Silva
B. Alici6.27B. Alici
F. Gedik6.441F. Gedik
T. Ergül7.014T. Ergül
E. Karaca8.210E. Karaca
B. Kör6.39B. Kör

Ümraniyespor Substitutes

28O. Aydoğan
20A. Babacan45'for Berat Yılmaz6.3
9M. Bostan
55F. Koita78'for Serkan Göksu6.6
12Toheeb Kosoko
13Ö. Köklü
77T. Taşçı
66A. Yaşar61'for Yunus Emre Gedik6.9
53B. Öksüz
16K. Şen78'for Alejandro Blanco6.3

Sarıyer Substitutes

19Yagiz Sen
11E. Karadağ61'for Furkan Gedik7.1
93M. Thiam61'for Batuhan Kor7.0
90E. Eze
23Ü. Ergün
4E. Dikmen45'for Işık Kaan Arslan79'6.3
17D. Davas61'for Barış Alıcı5.8
53A. Biyogo Poko
3J. Attamah78'for Tunahan Ergul6.4
1F. Akyüz

Match Stats

ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls5
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves6
482Total Passes596
413Passes Accurate519
5Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
SarıyerSarıyer
1581Elo Rating 1618
1.13Attack 1.17
2.30Defense 1.31
46%Hit Rate 17%
9.1Shots per Game 14.5
4.2Shots on Target 3.8
3.1Corners per Game 4.1
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals

Game State Tendencies

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SarıyerSarıyer
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SarıyerSarıyer1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Lig06/03/2026
SarıyerÜmraniyespor
12
1. Lig17/10/2025
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
13

Recent Form

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
1W3D6L
18/09/2026
BandırmasporÜmraniyespor
01
W
12/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporAntalyaspor
12
L
05/09/2026
PendiksporÜmraniyespor
10
L
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
L
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
L
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D
17/07/2026
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray
15
L
02/05/2026
ÜmraniyesporKeçiörengücü
14
L
SarıyerSarıyer
6W2D2L
19/09/2026
SarıyerBoluspor
21
W
11/09/2026
SarıyerBandırmaspor
11
D
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
L
01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
20
W
28/08/2026
AntalyasporSarıyer
12
W
23/08/2026
SarıyerBatman Petrolspor
12
L
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
09/08/2026
SarıyerMuğlaspor
20
W
02/05/2026
Bodrum FKSarıyer
01
W
26/04/2026
SarıyerEsenler Erokspor
10
W

Referee Profile

Erdem Mertoglu100 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.23Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erdem Mertoglu4.43
Other referees4.70

4.43 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KayserisporKayserispor1182124:7+1726DWWWW
2BursasporBursaspor1181222:9+1325WWLWD
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1172215:8+723WDWDW
4KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1155121:11+1020WDWDD
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1162322:19+320DWLLL
6Mardin 1969Mardin 19691153314:10+418LWWLL
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1160517:17018WLWWW
8SarıyerSarıyer1144314:15-116DLDWD
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1136213:14-115WLDDD
10BandırmasporBandırmaspor1135316:8+814LDWLD
11Bodrum FKBodrum FK1135313:10+314WWLDW
12SivassporSivasspor1127215:14+113DDWDD
13Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1134414:15-113LLDWD
14Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1126310:13-312WDWLD
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor102449:10-110LDWLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210LDLLD
17PendiksporPendikspor1124512:21-910LLLDD
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1123610:22-127LWLLD
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor111289:26-175LLLWL
20BolusporBoluspor100193:22-191WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1KayserisporKayserispor1124:726
2BursasporBursaspor1122:925
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1115:823
4KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1121:1120
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1122:1920
6Mardin 1969Mardin 19691114:1018
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1117:1718
8SarıyerSarıyer1114:1516
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1113:1415
10BandırmasporBandırmaspor1116:814
11Bodrum FKBodrum FK1113:1014
12SivassporSivasspor1115:1413
13Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1114:1513
14Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1110:1312
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor109:1010
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1118:2010
17PendiksporPendikspor1112:2110
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1110:227
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor119:265
20BolusporBoluspor103:221
PromotionRelegation

About the Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Sarıyer are 8th and Ümraniyespor 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Ümraniyespor 9-10, Sarıyer 14-15. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.