Unión Adarve vs Móstoles Prediction

Unión Adarve
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Móstoles
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Unión Adarve Rest
7 days
Móstoles Rest
7 days

Unión Adarve vs Móstoles: the result in context

Unión Adarve beat Móstoles 2-1 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Móstoles had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Unión Adarve.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.99
X
27%3.15
2
43%2.18
Double Chance
1X
57%1.57
X2
70%1.30
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'D. Rodriguez
12'T. Acuna
37'
61'

Team Comparison

Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
MóstolesMóstoles
1485Elo Rating 1523
2.01Attack 1.54
1.52Defense 2.35
50%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
MóstolesMóstoles
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Unión AdarveUnión Adarve2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
MóstolesMóstoles1Wins · 25%
1.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División RFEF - Group 526/01/2025
MóstolesUnión Adarve
10
Segunda División RFEF - Group 515/09/2024
Unión AdarveMóstoles
21
Segunda División RFEF - Group 110/04/2022
MóstolesUnión Adarve
00
Segunda División RFEF - Group 121/11/2021
Unión AdarveMóstoles
10

Recent Form

Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
2W5D3L
04/10/2026
TorrejónUnión Adarve
40
L
27/09/2026
Unión AdarveFuenlabrada
22
D
19/09/2026
Alcobendas SportUnión Adarve
11
D
13/09/2026
Unión AdarveColonia Moscardó
11
D
06/09/2026
SS Reyes IIUnión Adarve
02
W
30/08/2026
MarchamaloUnión Adarve
20
L
27/08/2026
Unión AdarveGetafe II
22
D
04/05/2025
Unión AdarveCD Coria
31
W
27/04/2025
IllescasUnión Adarve
21
L
20/04/2025
Unión AdarveConquense
00
D
MóstolesMóstoles
6W2D2L
04/10/2026
MóstolesLeganés II
11
D
27/09/2026
TorrejónMóstoles
01
W
20/09/2026
MóstolesCala Pozuelo
10
W
13/09/2026
FuenlabradaMóstoles
13
W
06/09/2026
MóstolesRayo Vallecano II
00
D
04/05/2025
CF TalaveraMóstoles
10
L
27/04/2025
MóstolesGuadalajara
42
W
19/04/2025
MelillaMóstoles
32
L
13/04/2025
MóstolesAtlético Paso
41
W
05/04/2025
Colonia MoscardóMóstoles
02
W

League Table

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MóstolesMóstoles852116:5+1117WWLDW
2Las RozasLas Rozas852120:12+817WDWWL
3Pozuelo AlarcónPozuelo Alarcón843113:13015WWWLW
4Colonia MoscardóColonia Moscardó835017:8+914DDDWD
5GalapagarGalapagar842217:14+314WLWLW
6Cala PozueloCala Pozuelo842213:11+214DDWWW
7Unión AdarveUnión Adarve834113:10+313DWWLD
8Trival ValderasTrival Valderas834112:9+313DDLWW
9Leganés IILeganés II832315:12+311DWLDL
10TorrejónTorrejón831411:7+410LWDWL
11FuenlabradaFuenlabrada82429:9010DLDWD
12RC AlcobendasRC Alcobendas822414:17-38LLLLW
13Real AranjuezReal Aranjuez814312:16-47DDDWL
14Parla EscuelaParla Escuela814310:15-57DLDLD
15SS Reyes IISS Reyes II821514:21-77DWLLL
16Alcobendas SportAlcobendas Sport813412:15-36LDLWL
17Rayo Vallecano IIRayo Vallecano II812511:18-75DLWLL
18Villanueva PardilloVillanueva Pardillo81167:24-174LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1MóstolesMóstoles816:517
2Las RozasLas Rozas820:1217
3Pozuelo AlarcónPozuelo Alarcón813:1315
4Colonia MoscardóColonia Moscardó817:814
5GalapagarGalapagar817:1414
6Cala PozueloCala Pozuelo813:1114
7Unión AdarveUnión Adarve813:1013
8Trival ValderasTrival Valderas812:913
9Leganés IILeganés II815:1211
10TorrejónTorrejón811:710
11FuenlabradaFuenlabrada89:910
12RC AlcobendasRC Alcobendas814:178
13Real AranjuezReal Aranjuez812:167
14Parla EscuelaParla Escuela810:157
15SS Reyes IISS Reyes II814:217
16Alcobendas SportAlcobendas Sport812:156
17Rayo Vallecano IIRayo Vallecano II811:185
18Villanueva PardilloVillanueva Pardillo87:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Unión Adarve vs Móstoles forecast

The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Unión Adarve and Móstoles in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table, Móstoles are 1st and Unión Adarve 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Unión Adarve 13-10, Móstoles 16-5. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.