Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata Prediction

Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-11.6%
Union Comercio Rest
14 days
Molinos El Pirata Rest
14 days

Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata: the result in context

Union Comercio beat Molinos El Pirata 2-0 in the Segunda División on 27 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union Comercio had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Molinos El Pirata.

Union Comercio have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.33
X
23%4.20
2
14%7.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.06
X2
37%2.81
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'B. Goluz Pena
43'A. Pinedo
54'P. Serra
70'G. Guerrero
74'G. Guerrero INC. Vargas out
82'B. Goluz Pena

Team Comparison

Union ComercioUnion Comercio
Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata
1561Elo Rating 1497
1.65Attack 0.80
1.84Defense 1.80
34%Hit Rate 63%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Union ComercioUnion Comercio
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Union ComercioUnion Comercio5Wins · 83%
Draws00%
Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata1Wins · 17%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División17/08/2026
Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio
12
Segunda División03/05/2026
Union ComercioMolinos El Pirata
12
Segunda División24/07/2022
Union ComercioMolinos El Pirata
41
Segunda División23/04/2022
Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio
02
Segunda División10/08/2021
Union ComercioMolinos El Pirata
42
Segunda División26/05/2021
Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio
03

Recent Form

Union ComercioUnion Comercio
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaUnion Comercio
10
L
06/09/2026
Union ComercioU. San Martin
10
W
30/08/2026
Deportivo LlacuabambaUnion Comercio
11
D
23/08/2026
Union ComercioCarlos A. Mannucci
00
D
17/08/2026
Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio
12
W
07/08/2026
Union ComercioAcademia Cantolao
40
W
25/07/2026
Cesar VallejoUnion Comercio
00
D
27/06/2026
Sporting CristalUnion Comercio
20
L
20/06/2026
Union ComercioComerciantes
01
L
15/06/2026
Estudiantil CNIUnion Comercio
13
W
Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata
2W3D5L
13/09/2026
Deportivo LlacuabambaMolinos El Pirata
00
D
07/09/2026
Molinos El PirataCarlos A. Mannucci
24
L
23/08/2026
Academia CantolaoMolinos El Pirata
11
D
17/08/2026
Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio
12
L
09/08/2026
Cesar VallejoMolinos El Pirata
11
D
26/07/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaMolinos El Pirata
31
L
20/07/2026
Molinos El PirataU. San Martin
32
W
10/07/2026
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata
32
L
22/06/2026
Atletico GrauMolinos El Pirata
32
L
13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
20
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union ComercioUnion Comercio1695219:5+1432WLWDD
2Carlos A. MannucciCarlos A. Mannucci1693422:12+1030WWWDL
3Deportivo LlacuabambaDeportivo Llacuabamba1684423:10+1328DDLDL
4Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata1674525:20+525LDLDL
5U. San MartinU. San Martin1673626:17+924WLDLW
6Deportiva AgropecuariaDeportiva Agropecuaria1556414:12+221DWWLD
7Cesar VallejoCesar Vallejo1554614:13+119DLLWW
8Academia CantolaoAcademia Cantolao1635819:30-1114DDWLD
9San MarcosSan Marcos1400141:44-430LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Union ComercioUnion Comercio1619:532
2Carlos A. MannucciCarlos A. Mannucci1622:1230
3Deportivo LlacuabambaDeportivo Llacuabamba1623:1028
4Molinos El PirataMolinos El Pirata1625:2025
5U. San MartinU. San Martin1626:1724
6Deportiva AgropecuariaDeportiva Agropecuaria1514:1221
7Cesar VallejoCesar Vallejo1514:1319
8Academia CantolaoAcademia Cantolao1619:3014
9San MarcosSan Marcos141:440

About the Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Comercio and Molinos El Pirata in the Segunda División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Union Comercio are 1st in the Segunda División, 7 points ahead of Molinos El Pirata in 4th. League goal record so far: Union Comercio 19-5, Molinos El Pirata 25-20. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.